NBA · resolved market
Hawks vs. Nuggets: O/U 233.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x86cc7feddf0f0ea6735dbf03280c7e374befbca4c2a992c8bcf4cbe15a499289
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $497,040
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $494,411
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $497,040 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Over | 51c | 201,099$102,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102,549.71 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 49c | 135,203$66,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68,953.74 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Under | 49c | 92,100$45,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,669.84 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Under | 51c | 69,475$35,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,845.62 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 49c | 69,199$34,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,140.91 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Over | 51c | 40,000$20,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,400 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 48c | 25,000$11,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,900 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Under | 52c | 21,658$11,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,409 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Under | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,200 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 52c | 17,167$8,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,259.25 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 15,417$7,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,459.91 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Over | 49c | 8,325$4,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,079.14 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8a…e842backed Under | 54c | 7,188$3,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,306.43 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 55c | 6,641$3,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,993.62 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4940…05cbbacked Over | 45c | 5,676$2,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,554.08 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ef…b35fbacked Under | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Over | 36c | 3,100$1,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,127.98 | 443 | 37.9%168 W · 275 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 47c | 2,652$1,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,236.78 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 49c | 2,400$1,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,169.14 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 49c | 2,283$1,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,164 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 47c | 2,137$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.32 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 53c | 2,014$1,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.74 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 68c | 1,946$1,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.43 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Over | 51c | 1,471$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbd…c4e4backed Over | 46c | 1,435$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.1 | 176 | 53.4%94 W · 82 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 52c | 1,245$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.49 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07bc…393abacked Under | 49c | 1,012$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.14 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +7.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 46c | 855$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.3 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Over | 49c | 852.94$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.94 | 483 | 47.2%228 W · 255 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Under | 53c | 669.84$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.83 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Under | 65c | 524$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.4 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Under | 50c | 463.44$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.09 | 166 | 58.4%97 W · 69 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x239f…3174backed Under | 54c | 456.43$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.96 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 60cpaid | -63%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Under | 49c | 426.86$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.7 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c2…a50ebacked Under | 58c | 413.79$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.79 | 150 | 55.3%83 W · 67 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe00f…c254backed Under | 49c | 403.35$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.73 | 191 | 47.1%90 W · 101 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Over | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Over | 44c | 400$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Over | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66fe…e123backed Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 186 | 56.5%105 W · 81 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…5590backed Under | 50c | 166.96$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.48 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Under | 49c | 155.09$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.1 | 244 | 54.1%132 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Over | 46c | 150$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.5 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed Under | 54c | 129.63$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.63 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -7.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3888…0755backed Under | 55c | 127.27$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.27 | 250 | 58.4%146 W · 104 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Over | 48c | 125.31$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.29 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b6a…8071backed Over | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d14…1eb4backed Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 373 | 52%194 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 51c | 105.64$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.56 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd925…3ab5backed Under | 49c | 101.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.04 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce65…6759backed Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 134 | 41%55 W · 79 L | -16.1wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -30%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…0cc9backed Over | 16c | 99.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cac…f75cbacked Over | 47c | 90$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.3 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…8848backed Under | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 722 | 50.6%365 W · 357 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fd…0095backed Over | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 53 | 69.8%37 W · 16 L | +7.9wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +29%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Under | 55c | 65.74$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.48 | 522 | 46.6%243 W · 279 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…4adbbacked Under | 50c | 53.94$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.97 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 34cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed Over | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Over | 37c | 49$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3301…95bfbacked Over | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Under | 51c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 238 | 45.4%108 W · 130 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ac…1afdbacked Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 52c | 35.23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.96 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3df0…7eb8backed Under | 60c | 33.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.42 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Under | 55c | 33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 712 | 45.8%326 W · 386 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56d2…7afcbacked Under | 50c | 30.52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.26 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +6.8wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdee4…0a86backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1aa…071abacked Under | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90e4…e026backed Over | 45c | 29.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8918…f4e4backed Under | 49c | 29.41$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fba…12fcbacked Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.8wins | -0.22per pick | 46cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5b…ace4backed Under | 50c | 25.74$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Over | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2088…f932backed Over | 47c | 21.49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…bd0bbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -6.4wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf374…6a83backed Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…fb93backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 64c | 18.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.76 | 509 | 48.5%247 W · 262 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hawks vs. Nuggets: O/U 233.5this page
- Hawks vs. NuggetsHawks won
- Hawks vs. Nuggets: 1H MoneylineHawks won
- Hawks vs. Nuggets: O/U 231.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Nuggets: O/U 232.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Nuggets: O/U 234.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Nuggets: O/U 235.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Nuggets: O/U 236.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Nuggets: O/U 237.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Nuggets: O/U 238.5Under won
- Spread: Nuggets (-1.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)Hawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.