TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x66fb…0cc9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
57
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: NHL, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 52 out of 100; worst Premier League at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT180%0 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Taro Kono be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$11.46
Will Rui Moreira win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Catarina Martins win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will André Pestana win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Joana Amaral Dias win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Manuela Magno win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Pedro Passos Coelho win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Aristides Teixeira win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Paulo Portas win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Jorge Pinto win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will António Filipe win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Vitorino Silva win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will José Cardoso win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Orlando Cruz win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Raul Perestrello win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Ângela Maryah win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Pedro Tinoco de Faria win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 18 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST110%0 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Lorie K. Logan as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Trump nominate Barron Trump as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Trump nominate Larry Lindsey as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Trump nominate Philip Jefferson as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Trump nominate Ron Paul as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Trump nominate Larry Kudlow as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Trump nominate Janet Yellen as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Trump nominate David Zervos as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Trump nominate Bill Pulte as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Trump nominate himself as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 11 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-47.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthony Davis win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Ja Morant win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Hawks vs. Nuggets: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$15.8
Thunder vs. Grizzlies: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+91.3%+$45.35
Spread: Celtics (-9.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$17.55
Clippers vs. Nets: O/U 211.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+67.6%+$12.1
Raptors vs. Celtics: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+65.1%+$13.05
Pelicans vs. Wizards: O/U 242.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$16.6
All 10 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick26cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Devils vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+100%+$15
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Espanyol win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Getafe win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fordham Rams vs. St. Bonaventure Bonnies: O/U 140.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+53.8%+$15.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paul Mescal win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$10.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Beth Van Duyne win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ajax win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.