Fed Rates · resolved market
Will Trump nominate Ron Paul as the next Fed chair?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfee4b6988b9513dab72118c97abeb4369f0d9a7c2290337ca5d5c2f116a148c2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fed Ratesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,652,618
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $109,563
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,652,618 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 215 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fed Rates is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fed Rates | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4947…eeafbacked Yes | 0c | 221,330$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Yes | 0c | 195,643$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.64 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc773…1ac9backed Yes | 0c | 122,870$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x398a…4129backed Yes | 0c | 122,870$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.87 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbea4…93f2backed Yes | 0c | 120,751$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x940b…c1febacked Yes | 0c | 120,078$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa380…e0d9backed Yes | 0c | 117,358$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacb1…9998backed Yes | 0c | 108,715$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.71 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec9f…21bdbacked Yes | 0c | 108,715$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.71 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d21…3e74backed Yes | 0c | 108,715$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.71 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0e…0f19backed Yes | 0c | 107,977$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5e…e9f4backed Yes | 0c | 105,400$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbe…1b01backed Yes | 0c | 105,400$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x713d…9adebacked Yes | 0c | 105,400$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…88b9backed Yes | 0c | 105,400$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bda…a277backed Yes | 0c | 100,960$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.96 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6446…a2a3backed Yes | 0c | 100,960$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.96 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…2dd7backed Yes | 0c | 100,960$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.96 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd217…e1dabacked Yes | 0c | 100,960$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.96 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9d…ada7backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab9…e2f0backed Yes | 0c | 86,202$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.2 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x639e…aa73backed Yes | 0c | 82,912$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…26a3backed Yes | 0c | 73,000$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x115d…f608backed Yes | 0c | 72,943$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.94 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa010…029abacked Yes | 0c | 72,681$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f0f…ce2dbacked Yes | 0c | 72,631$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1688…1a5cbacked Yes | 0c | 72,571$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8636…daf4backed Yes | 0c | 72,357$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8236…54b7backed Yes | 0c | 72,309$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2989…166ebacked Yes | 0c | 72,297$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46e1…d15abacked Yes | 0c | 72,074$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe5…8259backed Yes | 0c | 72,013$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf632…7608backed Yes | 0c | 71,987$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca1…12a3backed Yes | 0c | 71,899$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x637e…b33cbacked Yes | 0c | 71,885$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x992c…b687backed Yes | 0c | 71,876$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…e5afbacked Yes | 0c | 71,770$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x958b…59d1backed Yes | 0c | 71,768$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7973…4c8cbacked Yes | 0c | 71,350$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21da…75c0backed Yes | 0c | 71,209$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac7…51b2backed Yes | 0c | 71,128$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c73…bdbebacked Yes | 0c | 71,082$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…d188backed Yes | 0c | 71,081$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b3…450dbacked Yes | 0c | 71,020$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc173…72edbacked Yes | 0c | 70,985$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e00…c74fbacked Yes | 0c | 70,983$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f4…dcffbacked Yes | 0c | 70,981$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4f…f2dcbacked Yes | 0c | 70,979$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…2c4bbacked Yes | 0c | 70,974$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54ce…cd4cbacked Yes | 0c | 70,913$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0005…fd51backed Yes | 0c | 70,891$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77f6…9931backed Yes | 0c | 70,751$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86d3…0af4backed Yes | 0c | 70,664$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee87…1e4fbacked Yes | 0c | 70,661$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad4…a1dabacked Yes | 0c | 70,608$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9da…6788backed Yes | 0c | 70,559$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a5a…f60fbacked Yes | 0c | 70,546$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b30…4228backed Yes | 0c | 70,500$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a13…a794backed Yes | 0c | 70,492$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbe2…6294backed Yes | 0c | 70,466$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf444…4e96backed Yes | 0c | 70,435$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06b3…e836backed Yes | 0c | 70,390$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x111b…bb35backed Yes | 0c | 70,308$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff95…c064backed Yes | 0c | 70,291$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58b5…0c4bbacked Yes | 0c | 70,259$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62a6…59c1backed Yes | 0c | 70,254$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5171…bb5ebacked Yes | 0c | 70,216$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe79f…6ef3backed Yes | 0c | 70,200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd6…eb12backed Yes | 0c | 70,168$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad40…dd7cbacked Yes | 0c | 70,132$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf5a…2846backed Yes | 0c | 70,118$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a06…4936backed Yes | 0c | 70,115$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2580…a1d0backed Yes | 0c | 70,103$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6120…802dbacked Yes | 0c | 70,098$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee6…51fdbacked Yes | 0c | 70,017$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a88…cdc0backed Yes | 0c | 70,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x287e…02e9backed Yes | 0c | 69,998$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe100…39c8backed Yes | 0c | 69,974$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…4f34backed Yes | 0c | 69,964$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd8d…e071backed Yes | 0c | 69,959$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9499…f3a8backed Yes | 0c | 69,914$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd83f…0a7abacked Yes | 0c | 69,819$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef6…48a2backed Yes | 0c | 69,761$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6032…86b3backed Yes | 0c | 69,733$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0557…5ccdbacked Yes | 0c | 69,720$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d9e…5c35backed Yes | 0c | 69,610$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf394…b8f5backed Yes | 0c | 69,570$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x335e…d576backed Yes | 0c | 69,544$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a3…d30dbacked Yes | 0c | 69,521$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3e…5018backed Yes | 0c | 69,489$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd844…ba48backed Yes | 0c | 69,459$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51a0…4907backed Yes | 0c | 69,395$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x425b…b553backed Yes | 0c | 69,394$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ef…2c24backed Yes | 0c | 69,338$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6d…6d6cbacked Yes | 0c | 69,254$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9096…f365backed Yes | 0c | 69,197$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fc…4423backed Yes | 0c | 69,161$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a2…c084backed Yes | 0c | 69,145$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a1…a246backed Yes | 0c | 69,125$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86ff…1cc4backed Yes | 0c | 69,108$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fed Rates and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump nominate Ron Paul as the next Fed chair?this page
- Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair?No won
- Will Trump nominate Barron Trump as the next Fed chair?No won
- Will Trump nominate Bill Pulte as the next Fed chair?No won
- Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?No won
- Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair?No won
- Will Trump nominate David Zervos as the next Fed chair?No won
- Will Trump nominate Howard Lutnick as the next Fed chair?No won
- Will Trump nominate James B. Bullard as the next Fed chair?No won
- Will Trump nominate Janet Yellen as the next Fed chair?No won
- Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?No won
- Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?No won
- Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?No won
- Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes won
- Will Trump nominate Larry Kudlow as the next Fed chair?No won
- Will Trump nominate Larry Lindsey as the next Fed chair?No won
- Will Trump nominate Lorie K. Logan as the next Fed chair?No won
- Will Trump nominate Marc Sumerlin as the next Fed chair?No won
- Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?No won
- Will Trump nominate Philip Jefferson as the next Fed chair?No won
- Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?No won
- Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?No won
- Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?No won
- Will Trump nominate himself as the next Fed chair?No won
- Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.