Fed Rates · resolved market
Will Trump nominate Philip Jefferson as the next Fed chair?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfbb2046e013da7b66ecedf3a9de63ce446fd57c23ccc77cd019991f485522236
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fed Ratesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,813,099
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,328,706
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,813,099 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fed Rates is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fed Rates | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3f58…2813backed Yes | 0c | 329,149$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x487b…d801backed Yes | 0c | 329,149$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c04…2470backed Yes | 0c | 328,702$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11a0…cb7ebacked Yes | 0c | 328,702$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4007…3b7bbacked Yes | 0c | 328,702$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78c5…1adebacked Yes | 0c | 328,677$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.68 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aeb…27ffbacked Yes | 0c | 326,149$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4711…0069backed Yes | 0c | 326,149$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Yes | 0c | 308,345$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.35 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…7eabbacked Yes | 0c | 301,481$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc972…708ebacked Yes | 0c | 301,059$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.06 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd49d…c12bbacked Yes | 0c | 301,059$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.06 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x108a…c378backed Yes | 0c | 301,056$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.06 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f38…ff4fbacked Yes | 0c | 262,611$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.61 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab5…e123backed Yes | 0c | 262,606$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.61 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa62e…2e72backed Yes | 0c | 262,606$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.61 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x744e…4c43backed Yes | 0c | 262,406$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.41 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d43…ac2bbacked Yes | 0c | 149,790$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.79 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a7c…5cd2backed Yes | 0c | 116,903$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38db…3e6dbacked Yes | 0c | 116,903$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd611…7ef6backed Yes | 0c | 116,903$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9adb…eb41backed Yes | 0c | 116,868$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.87 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefd7…036ebacked Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58de…608abacked Yes | 0c | 99,937$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.94 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a41…4cb9backed Yes | 0c | 81,681$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.68 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e26…a3cabacked Yes | 0c | 81,681$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.68 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e7b…1f8ebacked Yes | 0c | 81,681$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.68 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e9…3cf1backed Yes | 0c | 70,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x398a…4129backed Yes | 0c | 60,417$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.42 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfac6…3f43backed Yes | 0c | 60,417$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.42 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69a7…a8b9backed Yes | 0c | 58,000$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b7f…3fbebacked Yes | 0c | 57,539$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e5…7cb1backed Yes | 0c | 56,929$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8296…26e7backed Yes | 0c | 56,181$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa743…c4f7backed Yes | 0c | 55,000$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x018a…a8e6backed Yes | 0c | 54,798$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea11…d0dfbacked Yes | 0c | 53,000$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6d…df50backed Yes | 0c | 53,000$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f72…b088backed Yes | 0c | 51,150$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb8…90c7backed Yes | 0c | 51,082$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9bd…68bebacked Yes | 0c | 50,838$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23b0…b47bbacked Yes | 0c | 50,126$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc568…16febacked Yes | 0c | 50,126$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefc…eabfbacked Yes | 0c | 44,113$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…b053backed Yes | 0c | 44,051$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…374abacked Yes | 0c | 41,499$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -45%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9c…6db3backed Yes | 0c | 39,139$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb35a…c452backed Yes | 0c | 35,636$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.64 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1051…c118backed Yes | 0c | 33,000$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd13e…ca33backed Yes | 0c | 30,470$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.47 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae4…d0d0backed Yes | 0c | 30,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15e1…89f8backed Yes | 0c | 28,825$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5a…0a4fbacked Yes | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…6321backed Yes | 0c | 24,601$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x950a…caccbacked Yes | 0c | 22,910$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4389…525ebacked Yes | 0c | 22,910$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97b1…0022backed Yes | 0c | 22,910$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa5…d416backed Yes | 0c | 22,617$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe617…4835backed Yes | 0c | 22,617$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a83…ff20backed Yes | 0c | 22,617$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x756e…d3c4backed Yes | 0c | 22,617$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa1…2ad0backed Yes | 0c | 22,546$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd953…6cacbacked Yes | 0c | 22,546$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f1…9bfbbacked Yes | 0c | 22,274$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87ad…537bbacked Yes | 0c | 22,090$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2780…536cbacked Yes | 0c | 22,079$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2987…49b0backed Yes | 0c | 22,072$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6bf…ecbcbacked Yes | 0c | 22,020$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d3e…bae7backed Yes | 0c | 21,994$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4360…c248backed Yes | 0c | 21,990$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1de6…281bbacked Yes | 0c | 21,874$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…15babacked Yes | 0c | 21,837$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41cd…77b2backed Yes | 0c | 21,770$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ae5…7145backed Yes | 0c | 21,751$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad93…15b4backed Yes | 0c | 21,646$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x509d…8cb0backed Yes | 0c | 21,638$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8582…6f68backed Yes | 0c | 21,595$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56c1…35cbbacked Yes | 0c | 21,436$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac9a…c546backed Yes | 0c | 21,371$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd447…c5b2backed Yes | 0c | 21,365$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89e6…8f6ebacked Yes | 0c | 21,358$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2edb…c27fbacked Yes | 0c | 21,302$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9727…ffd3backed Yes | 0c | 21,132$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f42…8bf8backed Yes | 0c | 21,035$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e3…d029backed Yes | 0c | 21,016$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d97…4556backed Yes | 0c | 21,013$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c5…dd3fbacked Yes | 0c | 20,751$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc06d…f2d5backed Yes | 0c | 20,707$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c55…ba0abacked Yes | 0c | 20,682$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1973…3528backed Yes | 0c | 20,666$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e05…f5a7backed Yes | 0c | 20,658$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea30…2ee7backed Yes | 0c | 20,622$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06fe…6ab6backed Yes | 0c | 20,579$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9d…6ce7backed Yes | 0c | 20,532$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bfd…2712backed Yes | 0c | 20,411$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cbc…62bbbacked Yes | 0c | 20,388$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2028…adebbacked Yes | 0c | 20,273$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ca…d88abacked Yes | 0c | 20,247$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081b…8858backed Yes | 0c | 20,209$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3440…e9e0backed Yes | 0c | 20,174$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fed Rates and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump nominate Philip Jefferson as the next Fed chair?this page
- Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair?No won
- Will Trump nominate Barron Trump as the next Fed chair?No won
- Will Trump nominate Bill Pulte as the next Fed chair?No won
- Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?No won
- Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair?No won
- Will Trump nominate David Zervos as the next Fed chair?No won
- Will Trump nominate Howard Lutnick as the next Fed chair?No won
- Will Trump nominate James B. Bullard as the next Fed chair?No won
- Will Trump nominate Janet Yellen as the next Fed chair?No won
- Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?No won
- Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?No won
- Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?No won
- Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes won
- Will Trump nominate Larry Kudlow as the next Fed chair?No won
- Will Trump nominate Larry Lindsey as the next Fed chair?No won
- Will Trump nominate Lorie K. Logan as the next Fed chair?No won
- Will Trump nominate Marc Sumerlin as the next Fed chair?No won
- Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?No won
- Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?No won
- Will Trump nominate Ron Paul as the next Fed chair?No won
- Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?No won
- Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?No won
- Will Trump nominate himself as the next Fed chair?No won
- Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.