Fed Rates · resolved market
Will Trump nominate David Zervos as the next Fed chair?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x92291ad59a105b0fb205f8aa2d3d2dbba7ee249ad6532672c854eaaf79fc135c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fed Ratesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,922,567
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $504,389
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,922,567 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fed Rates is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fed Rates | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5636…4b35backed Yes | 0c | 2,161,647$2,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,161.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebfe…1ce7backed Yes | 0c | 2,122,262$2,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,122.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47bc…0e22backed Yes | 0c | 2,115,812$2,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,115.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe82f…79d2backed Yes | 0c | 2,111,927$2,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,111.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bae…f80bbacked Yes | 0c | 2,061,047$2,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,061.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a8…50d2backed Yes | 0c | 2,058,034$2,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,058.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c4b…f15abacked Yes | 0c | 1,045,502$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdca6…8b68backed Yes | 0c | 240,770$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.77 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 0c | 200,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22af…399abacked Yes | 0c | 192,204$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.51 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -89.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…58b0backed Yes | 0c | 186,694$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.69 | 26 | 0%0 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62b3…209ebacked Yes | 0c | 148,475$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.06 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Yes | 0c | 148,160$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.16 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 129,798$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.8 | 82 | 0%0 W · 82 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…a16dbacked Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -91.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe162…8a81backed Yes | 1c | 78,649$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc1…d84dbacked Yes | 0c | 73,052$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa9…42febacked Yes | 0c | 58,671$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.67 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8f…bc0abacked Yes | 0c | 48,458$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef80…fa9cbacked Yes | 0c | 45,395$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2db…7dc1backed Yes | 0c | 44,179$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…2551backed Yes | 0c | 44,178$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda93…73a6backed Yes | 0c | 41,915$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d8…72a0backed Yes | 0c | 41,604$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb33…45a7backed Yes | 0c | 41,378$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f83…bbcfbacked Yes | 0c | 40,141$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5115…9997backed Yes | 0c | 39,976$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba42…6f1fbacked Yes | 0c | 38,876$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5201…79eabacked Yes | 0c | 37,379$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51a1…7cebbacked Yes | 0c | 36,477$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c92…b2f6backed Yes | 0c | 35,502$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…3049backed Yes | 0c | 35,304$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…a1fabacked Yes | 0c | 34,700$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7176…0968backed Yes | 0c | 34,341$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed Yes | 0c | 34,000$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccbb…95acbacked Yes | 0c | 33,642$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3f…1819backed Yes | 0c | 32,667$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf913…844dbacked Yes | 0c | 31,901$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…5a0ebacked Yes | 0c | 31,656$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x138e…d04dbacked Yes | 0c | 31,616$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf24b…2e14backed Yes | 0c | 31,561$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c00…b48ebacked Yes | 0c | 31,543$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeac5…e826backed Yes | 0c | 31,519$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…2ac7backed Yes | 0c | 31,386$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3959…29e9backed Yes | 0c | 31,348$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dca…ee84backed Yes | 0c | 31,299$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6b…68f5backed Yes | 0c | 30,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked Yes | 0c | 30,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b9…9e4bbacked Yes | 0c | 27,921$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe33e…616dbacked Yes | 0c | 27,269$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf35c…05bfbacked Yes | 0c | 26,484$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebf2…89d2backed Yes | 0c | 25,837$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd66d…cd0ebacked Yes | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd1…8d29backed Yes | 0c | 24,260$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x299c…793fbacked Yes | 0c | 22,966$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae4…d0d0backed Yes | 0c | 22,837$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 0c | 22,439$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.83 | 318 | 7.2%23 W · 295 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -75%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa6…84a3backed Yes | 0c | 21,836$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4362…c0cbbacked Yes | 0c | 21,293$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed73…26d4backed Yes | 0c | 21,139$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ad…cc4bbacked Yes | 0c | 20,499$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd57c…eb6cbacked Yes | 0c | 20,494$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62ec…4b30backed Yes | 0c | 20,181$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf55e…0c66backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…7c6abacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1476…4078backed Yes | 0c | 19,984$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f05…439bbacked Yes | 0c | 18,587$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ff…283dbacked Yes | 0c | 18,181$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48e9…f0f9backed Yes | 0c | 16,667$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc041…411cbacked Yes | 0c | 15,790$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x816e…7257backed Yes | 13c | 14,808$1,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,923.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75ea…a356backed Yes | 0c | 14,439$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b0…46a6backed Yes | 0c | 14,037$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3006…6f28backed Yes | 0c | 13,241$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf44a…4cbdbacked Yes | 0c | 11,500$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc74…6eb6backed Yes | 0c | 11,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…42e8backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…0cc9backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c91…e623backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6183…3834backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x170f…095bbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…c04abacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fb…19dcbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -86.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf03…22b1backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc0…6a69backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bde…30b5backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 8,946$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 63 | 0%0 W · 63 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe389…8a2cbacked Yes | 0c | 8,929$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71eb…4c2dbacked Yes | 0c | 7,622$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…15c7backed Yes | 0c | 6,617$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x810f…6489backed Yes | 1c | 6,089$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…2364backed Yes | 1c | 5,169$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdce7…f553backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -79.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d72…2f0bbacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x347b…c9bcbacked Yes | 0c | 3,972$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Yes | 2c | 2,597$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.71 | 65 | 16.9%11 W · 54 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…9840backed Yes | 3c | 1,885$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c2…cfb5backed Yes | 2c | 1,214$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x759a…572abacked Yes | 3c | 1,124$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fed Rates and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump nominate David Zervos as the next Fed chair?this page
- Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair?No won
- Will Trump nominate Barron Trump as the next Fed chair?No won
- Will Trump nominate Bill Pulte as the next Fed chair?No won
- Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?No won
- Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair?No won
- Will Trump nominate Howard Lutnick as the next Fed chair?No won
- Will Trump nominate James B. Bullard as the next Fed chair?No won
- Will Trump nominate Janet Yellen as the next Fed chair?No won
- Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?No won
- Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?No won
- Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?No won
- Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes won
- Will Trump nominate Larry Kudlow as the next Fed chair?No won
- Will Trump nominate Larry Lindsey as the next Fed chair?No won
- Will Trump nominate Lorie K. Logan as the next Fed chair?No won
- Will Trump nominate Marc Sumerlin as the next Fed chair?No won
- Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?No won
- Will Trump nominate Philip Jefferson as the next Fed chair?No won
- Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?No won
- Will Trump nominate Ron Paul as the next Fed chair?No won
- Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?No won
- Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?No won
- Will Trump nominate himself as the next Fed chair?No won
- Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.