TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xea00…42e8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
97
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Tennis, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 55 out of 100; worst Lol at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST240%0 W · 24 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Lorie K. Logan as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Trump nominate Barron Trump as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Trump nominate Larry Lindsey as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Trump nominate Philip Jefferson as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Trump nominate Ron Paul as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Trump nominate Larry Kudlow as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Trump nominate James B. Bullard as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Trump nominate Howard Lutnick as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Trump nominate Janet Yellen as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Trump nominate Marc Sumerlin as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Trump nominate David Zervos as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Trump nominate Bill Pulte as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$15.15
Will Trump nominate himself as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10.05
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.78
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
All 24 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT2020%4 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick20cpaid-38.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on March 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 11°C on March 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$332Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$332.15
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C on March 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.5
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on March 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.1
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 5°C on March 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on March 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.44
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C on March 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+76.2%+$74.29
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 6°C on March 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.99
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 5°C on March 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$192
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 4°C on March 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+400%+$218.3
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 7°C on March 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$300.51
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 6°C on March 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.3
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on March 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+171.6%+$189.56
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on March 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$249.1
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$14.09
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$56.24
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$75
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20.19
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 6°C on March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$139.38
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 5°C on March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$13.98
All 20 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST1216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-58.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$777Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$776.76
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$184.98
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$794Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+101.5%+$806
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,027Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,027.5
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 3 Winnerbacked CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,956Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,955.92
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5)backed CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$117.82
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$233.8
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$304Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$303.62
LoL: T1 vs Invictus Gaming (BO5)backed Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$235
LoL: T1 vs Invictus Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$134.8
LoL: T1 vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$364
LoL: T1 vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$90
All 12 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST70%0 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 11, 2025, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$63.97
Bucks vs. Raptorsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$5,761Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+110.9%+$6,389.5
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,560Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,560
Celtics vs. Raptorsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Pistons vs. Bucksbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$57
All 5 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 25, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+79.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Targu Mures: Felix Balshaw vs Martin Krumichbacked Felix Balshaw · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$133.83
Mallorca Championships: Ethan Quinn vs Vit Koprivabacked Ethan Quinn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+30.5%+$51.23
Plovdiv: Andres Santamarta vs Ognjen Milicbacked Andres Santamarta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$39
All 3 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Oct 23, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+40.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ducks vs. Bruinsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,704Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+105.4%+$1,795.49
Ducks vs. Blackhawksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,573Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,572.99
Islanders vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$58.7
All 3 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 19, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+107.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Colts vs. Chargersbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$104.04
Spread: Panthers (-1.5)backed Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,070Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+111.7%+$1,195.51
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Opinion launch a token on March 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$199.3
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$350
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Caroline van der Plas become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sora by OpenAI be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$21
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.