MLB · resolved market
Blue Jays vs. Yankees
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c4036e906cc09c7a8c9c35cd6a4c8255e7da5f2383499eed7ae420aed9b7c9e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yankeesof Blue Jays, Yankees
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,493,613
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,532,543
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,493,613 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 748 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Blue Jays | 40c | 1,100,791$440,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440,316.54 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1d…74ccbacked Yankees | 60c | 500,000$300,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200,000 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Blue Jays | 36c | 460,896$163,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163,810.48 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Yankees | 62c | 377,249$232,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144,399.49 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +7.0wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +28%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Blue Jays | 21c | 246,519$50,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,552.36 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Yankees | 74c | 205,399$152,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,420.41 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Blue Jays | 12c | 129,980$15,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,633.57 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3672…edbdbacked Yankees | 65c | 126,410$81,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,711.62 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | -11.7wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Yankees | 60c | 112,795$67,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,117.94 | 94 | 62.8%59 W · 35 L | +11.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Blue Jays | 29c | 100,000$29,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,499.93 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Yankees | 58c | 79,999$46,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,599.74 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Blue Jays | 42c | 73,598$30,953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,953.4 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +50%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Yankees | 60c | 70,653$42,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,261.25 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Yankees | 60c | 50,000$30,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,000 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Yankees | 60c | 40,000$24,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,000 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Yankees | 56c | 34,220$18,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,223.81 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Blue Jays | 67c | 27,525$18,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,471.39 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Yankees | 60c | 25,687$15,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,351.51 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Yankees | 60c | 25,000$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d89…5846backed Blue Jays | 40c | 24,987$9,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,994.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Blue Jays | 26c | 22,767$5,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,928.92 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Yankees | 59c | 20,880$12,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,552 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Blue Jays | 40c | 20,010$8,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,004 | 173 | 51.4%89 W · 84 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…0ccbbacked Blue Jays | 43c | 20,000$8,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,586.23 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaefe…1e4abacked Yankees | 51c | 19,608$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,607.84 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96e1…50aabacked Yankees | 58c | 19,082$11,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,997.67 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Yankees | 59c | 17,925$10,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,349.25 | 130 | 65.4%85 W · 45 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Yankees | 54c | 17,835$9,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,205.95 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Blue Jays | 40c | 17,500$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98b1…d855backed Yankees | 28c | 17,097$4,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,249.43 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yankees | 60c | 14,582$8,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,856.73 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed Yankees | 60c | 13,000$7,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Yankees | 34c | 12,494$4,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,234.27 | 171 | 36.8%63 W · 108 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yankees | 64c | 12,283$7,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,400.29 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefc9…b337backed Blue Jays | 40c | 11,197$4,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,502.74 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2745…17b3backed Blue Jays | 41c | 11,189$4,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,587.49 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Blue Jays | 53c | 11,133$5,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,915.94 | 207 | 47.8%99 W · 108 L | -11.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Yankees | 60c | 10,000$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eab…e02dbacked Blue Jays | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x190e…c21cbacked Blue Jays | 40c | 10,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Yankees | 60c | 10,000$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -6.9wins | -0.18per pick | 44cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf137…a557backed Yankees | 59c | 10,000$5,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,099.99 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Blue Jays | 41c | 10,000$4,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,049.97 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Blue Jays | 33c | 9,370$3,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,134.56 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yankees | 59c | 9,367$5,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,796.53 | 115 | 44.3%51 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yankees | 60c | 9,285$5,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,714 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Yankees | 54c | 8,500$4,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,942.38 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yankees | 22c | 8,492$1,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,597.7 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa4…e9d2backed Yankees | 60c | 8,246$4,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,298.46 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Yankees | 61c | 8,197$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,196.72 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Blue Jays | 17c | 8,042$1,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,396.09 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Yankees | 61c | 8,033$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,132.79 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd24f…849ebacked Blue Jays | 40c | 7,962$3,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,193.4 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.24per pick | 57cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb9…ce7ebacked Blue Jays | 40c | 7,755$3,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,102 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Yankees | 60c | 7,500$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 133 | 53.4%71 W · 62 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Blue Jays | 42c | 7,096$2,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,980.32 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a2…372abacked Yankees | 60c | 7,000$4,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,810 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1eb…f5b9backed Blue Jays | 29c | 6,826$1,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,988.74 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…7122backed Yankees | 61c | 6,557$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,557.38 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff9…bb89backed Blue Jays | 63c | 6,555$4,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,100.59 | 124 | 50%62 W · 62 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0432…1660backed Blue Jays | 19c | 6,165$1,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,171.93 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b0b…5e43backed Blue Jays | 41c | 6,000$2,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,430 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68db…e12bbacked Blue Jays | 26c | 5,916$1,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,533.76 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Yankees | 28c | 5,614$1,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,049.79 | 195 | 40%78 W · 117 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Blue Jays | 80c | 5,209$4,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,157 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8854…0d9cbacked Yankees | 61c | 5,117$3,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,995.44 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Blue Jays | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Blue Jays | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Blue Jays | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.99 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…823abacked Blue Jays | 74c | 4,890$3,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,619.13 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf341…d026backed Blue Jays | 41c | 4,881$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41e…d27dbacked Blue Jays | 43c | 4,749$2,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,029.52 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75e6…70c4backed Blue Jays | 42c | 4,400$1,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,848 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66b2…892bbacked Yankees | 59c | 4,400$2,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,804 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Yankees | 60c | 4,334$2,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,739.63 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb99…5d0fbacked Yankees | 58c | 4,332$2,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,832.73 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yankees | 60c | 4,258$2,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,703 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb90…87b7backed Blue Jays | 42c | 4,100$1,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,722 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Blue Jays | 41c | 4,069$1,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,668.32 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Blue Jays | 55c | 4,040$2,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,204.94 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Yankees | 60c | 4,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a0…edb6backed Yankees | 59c | 3,950$2,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,619.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9d…4d41backed Blue Jays | 42c | 3,940$1,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,654.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a4…9e63backed Yankees | 36c | 3,933$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,533.31 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x079e…599dbacked Blue Jays | 46c | 3,913$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 42cpaid | -67%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…e036backed Yankees | 60c | 3,900$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…664bbacked Blue Jays | 42c | 3,800$1,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,596 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Blue Jays | 39c | 3,600$1,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,404 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Blue Jays | 23c | 3,355$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.92 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Yankees | 60c | 3,333$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.2 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Yankees | 50c | 3,164$1,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,570.9 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Blue Jays | 60c | 3,136$1,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,891.41 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Blue Jays | 38c | 3,132$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c2…95dfbacked Blue Jays | 42c | 3,100$1,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,302 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Yankees | 60c | 3,055$1,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,235.77 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Blue Jays | 41c | 3,000$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Blue Jays | 43c | 3,000$1,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,301.08 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x440f…b7d8backed Blue Jays | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Yankees | 58c | 3,000$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.98 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Yankees | 53c | 2,918$1,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,374.6 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Blue Jays vs. Yankeesthis page
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)New York Yankees won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.