TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xecb1…5da3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,234
Categories scored
40
Categories below 50
16

Best Category: Champions League, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 60 out of 100; worst Middle East at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST19645.4%89 W · 107 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 196 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$4,596Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+376.4%+$17,301.68
Big Game: Player/HC to cry during National Anthem?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$432Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+121.5%+$525.06
Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,338Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$1,337.91
Will "MONACO" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$15.98
Will Bad Bunny perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$417Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+32.6%+$136.02
Will the Super Bowl national anthem last between 110 and 120 seconds?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$756Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+122.7%+$928.41
Will the Super Bowl national anthem last between 120 and 130 seconds?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,876Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$1,876.38
Will the Super Bowl national anthem last between 100 and 110 seconds?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$328Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+54.6%+$179.04
Big Game: National Anthem O/U 119.5 secondsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$64.25
Big Game: Coin Toss Team Winnerbacked NE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$6,809Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+72.4%+$4,927.43
Big Game: Coin Tossbacked Tails · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$5,681Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$5,681.09
Will Drake Maye win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$7,095Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$7,094.58
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$5,306Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+81.5%+$4,323.58
Will the Broncos win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$7,050Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$7,050
Will the Patriots win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$557Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+170.3%+$948.46
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$17,454Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+27.3%+$4,768.36
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$3,218Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$3,217.84
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20,263Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20,263.29
Bills vs. Broncos: O/U 46.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,750Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$2,750
Spread: Eagles (-3.5)backed Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$2,800
Spread: Eagles (-4.5)backed Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,650Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$2,650
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$4,817Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$4,817.05
Bills vs. Jaguars: 1H Moneylinebacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$421Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$421.09
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$10,999.99
Showing 25 of 196 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT11352.2%59 W · 54 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 113 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,232Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,231.84
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$9,460Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,459.65
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Sabres vs. Canadiens backed Habs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,350Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$2,650
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$3,272Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,272.46
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,827Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+40.2%+$734.4
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$5,878Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+187.8%+$11,041.62
Avalanche vs. Wildbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10,304Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+85.1%+$8,765.27
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Canadiens vs. Lightning backed Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,119Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,119.28
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$3,950Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,949.97
Senators vs. Penguinsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,954Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+78.1%+$1,526.42
Islanders vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,838Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$1,837.52
Jets vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,436Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$1,435.92
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,532Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+107.9%+$2,732.76
Sharks vs. Capitalsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,264Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+223.2%+$2,820.4
Wild vs. Kingsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,650Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$2,650
Kraken vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,425Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$1,424.95
Utah vs. Rangersbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+92.3%+$1,200
Predators vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,274Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$1,274.21
Islanders vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$7,228Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+79.3%+$5,732.91
Canucks vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$3,254Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+81.8%+$2,660.9
Canucks vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$131.13
Utah vs. Penguinsbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+76%+$37.51
Panthers vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$2,800
Red Wings vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$2,520Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$2,520
Avalanche vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$81.59
Showing 25 of 113 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT8939.3%35 W · 54 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-8.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 89 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$291Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+198.5%+$576.94
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$703Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$702.56
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$2,996Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,996.15
Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$106.6
Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$258Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$258.14
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$2,990Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,990.31
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$4,539Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+58.9%+$2,673.58
Will Lando Norris win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.59
Will George Russell win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$721Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+31.4%+$226.07
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$919Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$919.25
Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$316Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$315.65
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$8,355Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+63%+$5,261.56
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$6,533Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+45.2%+$2,954.17
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+335.2%+$152.94
Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$754Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+313.6%+$2,364.28
Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+100%+$119.53
Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.33
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+90.6%+$102.29
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.27
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$4,767Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$4,767.29
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$466Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$465.7
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$3,551Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+46%+$1,632.17
Will Mercedes finish second in the 2025 Constructors' Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+238.7%+$179.81
Will Lando Norris finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+88.7%+$23
Will Oscar Piastri finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$93.67
Showing 25 of 89 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT8840.9%36 W · 52 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-27.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 88 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13,022Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+64.4%+$8,386.25
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$89,645Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+48.9%+$43,796.81
Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$494Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$494.01
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$132,055Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+37.3%+$49,315.43
Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$59,049Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+115.1%+$67,985.45
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30,021Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$30,020.84
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.16
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$3,152Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,151.53
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,596Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,596.36
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$5,857Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,856.94
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 221.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.31
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Cavaliers vs. Pistons backed Cavs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$23,444Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+128.8%+$30,204.37
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,233Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,232.84
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$18,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$18,700
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$2,321Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,321.07
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$6,130Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$3,757.06
Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$970Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$970
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$400.09
Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$155.61
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$5,700Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$1,799.98
Spread: Raptors (-13.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,399.98
Celtics vs. Hawks: O/U 222.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+100%+$49.25
Raptors vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$2,234Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,233.63
Raptors vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$3,900Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$6,099.99
Showing 25 of 88 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT8134.6%28 W · 53 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 81 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,198Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+54.2%+$649.89
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$945Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$944.99
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$76,592Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+51.2%+$39,231.7
Will Trump be impeached in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$5,411Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$5,411.27
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,550Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$2,550
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$6,154Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+81.6%+$5,022.89
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$268Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$267.92
Will the government shutdown end November 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$3,112Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+403.8%+$12,565.76
Will the government shutdown end November 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$101,824Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$101,824.06
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$37,006Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+65.7%+$24,308.25
Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$2,061Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,061.04
US government shutdown by October 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,900Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$2,100
Will Eric Adams drop out?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$3,962Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,962.11
Trump x Epstein files made public in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+525%+$1,246.87
US-China tariff agreement before 90 day deadline?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$369Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$368.84
Israel military action against Iran in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$4,955Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+30.8%+$1,525.63
Dan Bongino out as Deputy Director of the FBI by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$141.77
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with European Union in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.67
Will Andrew Cuomo's first round margin of victory be between 10% and 15%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$29.4
Will Andrew Cuomo’s RCV margin of victory be less than 5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$286Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$335.5
Will Andrew Cuomo's first round margin of victory be less than 5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$102.6
Will Elon Musk create a new political party in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+426.6%+$818.15
Will Elon Musk create a new political party by July 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$665Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$664.98
Will Elon Musk create a new political party in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$291Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$290.55
Trump x Epstein files made public in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$48.91
Showing 25 of 81 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST7545.3%34 W · 41 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 75 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$6,383Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+26.9%+$1,715.72
Oregon vs. Indianabacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$7,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$7,399.96
Miami vs. Ole Missbacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$9,496Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$9,495.71
Spread: Texas State (-17.5)backed Rice · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$15.51
Spread: Texas State (-16.5)backed Rice · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$827Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$827.49
Will Georgia win the 2026 College Football National Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,069Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+26.6%+$284.1
Miami vs. Ohio Statebacked Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$6,095Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$6,094.99
Spread: BYU (-3.5)backed BYU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,997Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+106%+$2,116.55
Georgia Tech vs. BYUbacked BYU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$4,590Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+63.4%+$2,910.56
Miami vs. Texas A&Mbacked Texas A&M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,882Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$2,882.27
Alabama vs. Oklahomabacked Oklahoma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$15,299.97
Troy vs. Jacksonville Statebacked Jacksonville State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11,340Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+96.1%+$10,895.17
Duke vs. Virginia: O/U 58.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$66.88
Miami (OH) vs. Western Michiganbacked Miami (OH) · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$6,750Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$6,750
North Texas vs. Tulanebacked North Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,080Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$2,080
Spread: UTSA Roadrunners (-7.5)backed Army · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,863Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+100%+$1,863.5
Miami vs. Pittsburghbacked Pittsburgh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$5,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$5,600
Boise State vs. Utah Statebacked Utah State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$5,307Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$5,306.53
O/U 62.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,714Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+104.1%+$2,824.44
Spread: BYU (-2.5)backed BYU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$7,650Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+96.1%+$7,350
Tennessee vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Florida Gators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$6,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$6,800
Pittsburgh vs. Georgia Techbacked Pittsburgh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$8,700Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+118.4%+$10,300
Spread: New Mexico (-3.5)backed New Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$7,200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+108.3%+$7,800
East Carolina vs. UTSA Roadrunnersbacked UTSA Roadrunners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$7,536Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+108.3%+$8,164
Jacksonville State vs. Florida Internationalbacked Florida International · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$5,400Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+85.2%+$4,600
Showing 25 of 75 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT6943.5%30 W · 39 L+5.8wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+39.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Music — the 69 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+100%+$2,500
Will "Habibti" - Drake debut week album sales be between 100k and 120k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$734Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+181.3%+$1,331.21
Will "Habibti" - Drake debut week album sales be between 120k and 140k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$222.61
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 400k and 450k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$1,280Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,279.67
Will "Maid of Honor" - Drake debut week album sales be between 120k and 140k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$306Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$305.83
Will "Maid of Honor" - Drake debut week album sales be between 100k and 120k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.37
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$26,708Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$13,754.8
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$5,366Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+37%+$1,986.41
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$158.04
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19,002Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+80.9%+$15,378.8
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$555Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$554.99
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$2,686Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,686.14
Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$369Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$369.1
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$5,502Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,501.99
Will Romania win the televote for Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.18
Will Albania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$696Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$695.75
Will Italy be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$3,401Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+54.2%+$1,843.07
Will Bulgaria be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,352Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+57.6%+$778.22
Will Italy be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$2,550Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+292.2%+$7,449.97
Will Italy be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.55
Will Greece be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$812Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$364.85
Will Australia be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$1,082.31
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25,209Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+59.3%+$14,952.61
Will Bulgaria win the televote for Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$2,971Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+61.4%+$1,822.88
Showing 25 of 69 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT6660.6%40 W · 26 L+6.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+11.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
MLB — the 66 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Yankeesbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+67.4%+$90.67
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked No Run · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$49.51
NRFI: Texas Rangers vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$882Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$881.99
NRFI: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Metsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$617Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$616.77
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15,626Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$12,277.32
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$9,620Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$9,620
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$18,689Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+60.3%+$11,276.57
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$8,400Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$6,600
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$2,899.99
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$44,715Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+90.2%+$40,310.85
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$5,200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$4,800
Blue Jays vs. Marinersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$2,967Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,966.8
Blue Jays vs. Marinersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$9,100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+119.8%+$10,900
Blue Jays vs. Marinersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$4,500Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$5,499.99
Dodgers vs. Brewersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,060Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$940
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$7,801Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$7,801.06
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$6,599Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$6,598.82
Tigers vs. Marinersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$8,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$8,250
Will the New York Yankees win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$1,031Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,031.17
Blue Jays vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$4,180Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,180
Blue Jays vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$9,629Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$8,205.95
Yankees vs. Blue Jaysbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14,183Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$14,183.12
Red Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$8,750Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+71.4%+$6,249.98
Reds vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,060Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$940
Red Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$10,687Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+65%+$6,946.79
Showing 25 of 66 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT6643.9%29 W · 37 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 66 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$2,550Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$10,869.06
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$8,734Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,734.2
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$7,381Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,380.7
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-7.5)backed Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$644Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$527.21
Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$994Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$264.28
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Alabama Crimson Tidebacked Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+100%+$15,000
UCLA Bruins vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked UCLA Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11,100
Utah State Aggies vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Utah State Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$3,260Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,260.11
Miami Hurricanes vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Miami Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,485Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,485.45
VCU Rams vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked VCU Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$7,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,000
High Point Panthers vs. Arkansas Razorbacksbacked High Point Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,664Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,664.05
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked Vanderbilt Commodores · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$5,550Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,550.12
Texas Longhorns vs. Gonzaga Bulldogsbacked Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,320Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+203%+$2,680.02
Texas A&M Aggies vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Texas A&M Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$2,483Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,483.29
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked TCU Horned Frogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$3,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,900
Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State Spartansbacked Louisville Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$458Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$457.86
Saint Louis Billikens vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Saint Louis Billikens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,199.99
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-12.5)backed Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$297Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$309.51
Furman Paladins vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked Furman Paladins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$920Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$920
Missouri Tigers vs. Miami Hurricanesbacked Miami Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16,683Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+85.3%+$14,237.17
California Baptist Lancers vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked California Baptist Lancers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$166.38
Prairie View A&M Panthers vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Prairie View A&M Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
UCF Knights vs. UCLA Bruinsbacked UCLA Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,226Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$1,047.32
Queens (NC) Royals vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Queens (NC) Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$162.34
Northern Iowa Panthers vs. St. John's Red Stormbacked Northern Iowa Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.11
Showing 25 of 66 picks, newest first.
World Politicslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT6439.1%25 W · 39 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-17.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 64 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11,350Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+120.3%+$13,650
Will Nigel Farage win 50–60% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.83
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 60% or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$55.4
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,973Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$5,614.91
Will Iain Black win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.67
Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,328Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,327.55
Will Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$689Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$688.79
Will Peter Milobar win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$354Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+55.6%+$196.83
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$3,911Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+73.5%+$2,874.31
Lee Jae-myung impeached in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$59.78
North Korea x South Korea military clash by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$96.44
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$7,607Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+60.4%+$4,592.55
Will the Party for Freedom win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$9,517Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+27.9%+$2,659.2
Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$9,291Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+33.7%+$3,127.69
Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$971Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+54.9%+$533.32
Will Marco Francis win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.24
Will Dr Patrick Herminie win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$117.29
Will Jair Bolsonaro be arrested in Brazil by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$128.46
Lee Jae-myung arrested before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.8
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$183,930Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+145.9%+$268,400.59
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$237,725Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$237,724.58
Will Adrienne Adams win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.3
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Canadian federal election be between 19-20m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,598Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT+90.4%+$2,348.31
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Canadian federal election be between 20-21m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$422Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$422.1
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Canadian federal election be between 17-18m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$385Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$115
Showing 25 of 64 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT6134.4%21 W · 40 L-5.4wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-42%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 61 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$5,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,699.96
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$3,350Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$1,650
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,586Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+203%+$3,219.23
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$117,487Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+67.9%+$79,831.41
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$83,858Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$83,858.41
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$539Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$538.85
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$1,344Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,344.05
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$132.11
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$822Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$822.15
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$10,272Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,272.27
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$10,788Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+31%+$3,342.78
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$19,892Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+45.7%+$9,093.39
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.54
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$9,178Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,177.6
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$5,841Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+130.1%+$7,597.06
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$37,695Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+41%+$15,456.99
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$7,761Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,761.49
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$3,127Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,127.06
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$906Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$905.77
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$807Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+28.3%+$228.09
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$774Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+54.1%+$419.03
Will Hassan Rouhani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$448Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$447.6
Will Ali Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.39
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$5,596Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+48%+$2,685.34
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$38,977Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$38,977.2
Showing 25 of 61 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT5545.5%25 W · 30 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 55 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Alejandro Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$2,003Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,003.19
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$499Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+88.8%+$442.88
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovicbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$14,600Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+37%+$5,400
Australian Open Women's: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakinabacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$9,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$9,000
Battle of the Sexes: Aryna Sabalenka vs Nick Kyrgiosbacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$1,211Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$1,210.98
Next Gen ATP Finals, Final Stage: Learner Tien vs Alexander Blockxbacked Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$4,390Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+68%+$2,986.4
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jaume Munar vs Novak Djokovicbacked Munar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$317Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$317.4
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$10,441Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+174.2%+$18,190.36
US Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$8,553Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$5,468.3
US Open Final: Sinner vs. Alcaraz? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+25%+$20
US Open: Novak Djokovic vs Carlos Alcarazbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$6,088Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$1,818.61
US Open: Felix Auger Aliassime vs Alex de Minaurbacked Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT+300%+$1,050
US Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Taylor Townsendbacked Krejcikova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$590Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$410
US Open: Novak Djokovic vs Cameron Norriebacked Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.32
US Open: Ben Shelton vs Adrian Mannarinobacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15,061Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$15,060.94
US Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Flavio Cobollibacked Brooksby · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$741Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$740.82
US Open: Novak Djokovic vs Zachary Svajdabacked Svajda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,249Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,248.62
Will Jasmine Paolini win the 2025 WTA Cincinnati?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$320
Will Iga Swiatek win the 2025 WTA Cincinnati?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$320
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 ATP Cincinnati?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$3,190Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,189.99
ATP Cincinnati - Shelton vs. Zverevbacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$840Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$840
ATP Cincinnati - Shelton vs. Leheckabacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$4,247Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT+71.6%+$3,039.8
ATP Toronto – Khachanov vs. Sheltonbacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$8,149Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT+57.4%+$4,673.58
ATP Toronto – Shelton vs. Fritzbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$5,876Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,876.44
Will Holger Rune win the 2025 ATP Toronto tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.45
Showing 25 of 55 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick48cpaid-9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+61.1%+$80.8
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,198Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+47.5%+$568.47
Harry Kane: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$3,976Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+61.1%+$2,428.48
Jude Bellingham: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+25%+$21.6
England vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,415Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,415.17
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$2,475Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,475
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,728Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$1,413.47
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$14,778Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+35.3%+$5,218.75
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,463Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+103%+$2,537.5
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$5,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,100
Jan Paul van Hecke: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.37
France leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,250Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$750
France vs. Iraq: France 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$229Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$229.27
Spread: France (-2.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,704Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$2,124.76
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$800
Spread: Ecuador (-2.5)backed Ecuador · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,800
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$3,300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$1,700
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$4,275Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$3,224.98
Spread: Brazil (-2.5)backed Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$505Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+98%+$495
Spread: Canada (-1.5)backed Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$3,825Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$3,675
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,312Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,311.84
Will Denmark vs. Ukraine end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$716Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$715.74
Will Denmark win on 2026-06-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,226Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,226.05
Concacaf Gold Cup: USA vs. Costa Rica (To Advance) backed USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,175Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+100%+$1,175
Will Portugal win the UEFA Nations League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$432Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$432.15
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT2236.4%8 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15,767Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+396.9%+$62,578.51
Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$940Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+300%+$2,820.75
Over $70M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12,522Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$12,521.96
Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$9,170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$9,170.15
Over $50M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$6,371Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$6,371.48
Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$1,280Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$1,279.83
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$3,150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$3,150
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$16,160Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$16,159.87
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$6,624Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$6,623.53
Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$513Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+203%+$1,041.64
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$43,816Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+79.5%+$34,846.05
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$7,174Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$7,174.49
Over $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10,800Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$9,199.99
Pump.fun market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.89
Pump.fun market cap (FDV) $6-8B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.49
Pump.fun >$8B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.05
Pump.fun >$5B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$2,400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT+25%+$600.1
Will Pump.fun launch a token by July 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$88.51
Linea airdrop in Q1 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$602Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+416.6%+$2,508.78
Will Kanye launch a coin in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$980Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$980.2
Pump.fun airdrop in Q1 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$249.81
Berachain airdrop in Q1 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$306Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2025, EST-100%-$306.21
All 22 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT1952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 330: Vicente Luque vs. Tresean Gore (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed Tresean Gore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$70.22
Will Max Holloway win by KO or TKO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$54,280Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$54,279.99
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Ilia Topuria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15,799.96
UFC Fight Night: Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Lerone Murphy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$195
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Charles Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$3,702Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+39.6%+$1,466.38
Ankalaev vs. Pereirabacked Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$620Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$1,380
Dvalishvili vs. Sandhagenbacked Dvalishvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$3,800Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$1,200
UFC Fight Night: Saint Denis vs. Ruffy backed Ruffy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,800
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. de Ridderbacked Whittaker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$13,178Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$13,178.39
UFC 318: Prado vs. Veretennikovbacked Veretennikov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$13.3
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Bonfimbacked Bonfim · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$8,550Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$2,272.85
UFC 317: Pantoja vs. Kara-Francebacked Pantoja · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$6,900Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$3,100
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. backed Hill · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,233Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,233.34
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Kunievbacked Kuniev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$600
UFC Fight Night: Musayev vs. Orolbaibacked Orolbai · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,214Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+56.7%+$1,254.34
UFC Fight Night: Sadykhov vs. Mottabacked Sadykhov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+25%+$40
Shevchenko vs. Fiorotbacked Fiorot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$540
Pereira vs. Ankalaevbacked Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$777Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$777.41
Holland vs. de Ridderbacked de Ridder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST+78.6%+$220
All 19 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-38.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24,950Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$24,950.2
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$6,274Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+32.6%+$2,043.65
Will Trump and Zelenskyy shake hands for between 6 and 8 seconds?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$266Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT+90.3%+$240.12
Will Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$981Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$981.2
Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 15+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$392Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$391.5
Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$86.45
Will Trump say "Hottest Country" during Zelensky events on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$441Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$441.19
Will Trump say "Marco" or "Rubio" during Zelensky events on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,199.87
Will Trump say "Thousand / Million / Billion" 12+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$691Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$811.27
Will Trump say "Putin" 5+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,454Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+35.7%+$519.13
Will Trump say "Pakistan" during Zelensky events on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+125.2%+$256.05
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$33
Will Ukraine join NATO before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$175.1
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$282Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$282.49
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$3,642Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,641.98
Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14,150Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+112%+$15,849.98
Ukraine agrees to resume Russian natural gas transit in January? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$46.32
Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$240
All 18 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick33cpaid-24.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$241Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+92.4%+$222.78
Will another AI-generated song reach number 1 on any Billboard chart by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$24.26
GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$201
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$813Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+45.7%+$371.35
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,337Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+65.1%+$1,520.81
Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$24.37
Will Bianca Censori be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$4,157Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$4,156.8
OpenAI browser by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$5,276Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+32.8%+$1,731.92
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,775Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$724.99
Will GPT-5 be released by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.32
Will Elon Musk's net worth be less than $350b on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.47
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.98
Will another model be the top AI model on January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2025, EST-100%-$19.2
All 14 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.20per pick42cpaid+192%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Commodities — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19,800Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+102%+$20,200
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20,282Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+55.4%+$11,232.06
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$14,797Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+50.8%+$7,516.77
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$24,812Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$24,811.93
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$14,073Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$14,073.23
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$582Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+2,255.7%+$13,137.37
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$5,528Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+203.3%+$11,236.16
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,036Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,036.04
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by March 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+108.8%+$161.72
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by March 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+114.4%+$185.78
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$4,626Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+106%+$4,903.84
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by March 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.57
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,176Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$1,175.52
All 13 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-51.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$718Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$717.99
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$562Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$562.24
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,148Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+96%+$1,101.99
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$41,376Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+66.6%+$27,568.48
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$10,650Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10,650.4
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$26,465Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$26,465.43
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$121.48
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$23,883Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+42%+$10,019.79
Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,096Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,096.3
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$358Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$358.25
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during September press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$482Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$481.91
Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$17,018Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+28.5%+$4,851.92
Will Powell say "good afternoon" during January press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST-100%-$58.9
All 13 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,775Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$623.55
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,273Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,272.7
Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$853Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+207.3%+$1,767.43
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,439Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+63.7%+$916.26
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$4,199Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$2,799.1
Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,286Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$1,285.56
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$35,979Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+57.3%+$20,629.99
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$885Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$885.46
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$236,335Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+26%+$61,339.26
RFK Jr. confirmed as Health & Human Services Secretary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$5,892Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$5,891.56
Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$23,942Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$23,942
Will James Uthmeier be appointed as the next Florida senator?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$91.84
All 12 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,124.63
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$6,952Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$6,951.85
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$4,766Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$4,766.35
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$9,577Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$9,577.14
Will Grimsby Town F.C beat Manchester United?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12,712Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$12,711.52
Will Manchester City win the 2024-25 FA Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$9.3
Will Tottenham win on 2025-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
Will Liverpool win on 2025-04-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$810Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT+66.3%+$536.86
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$743Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT+69.8%+$519
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$18,718Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$29,276.87
Will West Ham win on 2025-04-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,289Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$1,077.25
Will AFC Bournemouth win the 2024-25 FA Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$146.69
All 12 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.8wins+0.35per pick52cpaid+75.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12,163Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+136.5%+$16,596.9
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19,140Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+112.4%+$21,520.75
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,037Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$487.93
FIFA Club World Cup: Chelsea vs. PSG – To Lift Trophy backed Chelsea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+237.1%+$830
FIFA Club World Cup: Palmeiras vs. Botafogo (To Advance)backed Palmeiras · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,109Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$1,238.66
Will Inter Milan beat Urawa Red Diamonds?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$126
Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$41,117Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+39.6%+$16,265.99
Champions League Final: PSG vs. Inter Milanbacked Inter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$28,956Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$28,955.54
All 8 picks, newest first.
Serie Alast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+27.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-51.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2025, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+82.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Golf — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-39.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-48.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seattle Storm vs. Atlanta Dreambacked Seattle Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$2,471Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,471.17
Another dildo thrown at WNBA game by August 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$325Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT+53.9%+$175.1
Sparks vs Libertybacked Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,303Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,302.6
All 3 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+156.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+148.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$6,910Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+170.3%+$11,766.51
Will Manchester United win on 2025-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$3,397Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$4,323.46
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MSI Playoffs: T1 vs. Anyone's Legendbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$5,599Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$4,399.56
MSI Playoffs: Gen.G vs. T1backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$195.75
All 2 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England vs. India end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,046Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$855.45
Punjab Kings vs. Royal Challengers Bangalorebacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$940Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$939.97
All 2 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$11.69
TikTok sale announced before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$117.76
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,252Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$1,251.65
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2025-12-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$33
All 2 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+71%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Semifinals - Canada vs. Finlandbacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$5,873Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+71%+$4,172.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$6,800Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$3,200
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA (BO3)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$2,600
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.