Ukraine · resolved market
Will Trump say "Pakistan" during Zelensky events on August 18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5eb02ae6df0b88483bbc14b1e54115269a51ba78d99f170ce646f522bb5a6f9d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,781
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,745
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,781 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Yes | 30c | 5,238$1,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,689.85 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Yes | 34c | 3,114$1,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,056.35 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb59…0a22backed Yes | 33c | 1,380$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930.36 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 71c | 1,361$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.16 | 255 | 28.2%72 W · 183 L | -17.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 64c | 1,100$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x277f…ed32backed No | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.24per pick | 42cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…fa3fbacked Yes | 31c | 888$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.02 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf6…cf40backed No | 68c | 872.15$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.97 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +30%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d33…209abacked Yes | 38c | 860.49$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.73 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 67c | 799$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.78 | 308 | 37.7%116 W · 192 L | -18.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0523…e38bbacked No | 70c | 750$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.5 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -6.1wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5c1f…ec98backed Yes | 33c | 740.99$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.02 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 38cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa638…1d87backed No | 63c | 735.81$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.16 | 75 | 25.3%19 W · 56 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a08…2e25backed Yes | 37c | 689.99$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.79 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x141c…7154backed No | 60c | 657.6$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.26 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +5.5wins | +0.18per pick | 37cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 32c | 648.59$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.02 | 141 | 21.3%30 W · 111 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5d9…72eebacked No | 64c | 628.4$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd3…e662backed No | 63c | 600$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +4.7wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +81.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37ef…39b9backed No | 62c | 535.14$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c67…8b76backed Yes | 41c | 534.48$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.2 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccb…19cbbacked No | 71c | 519.25$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90a0…7e0abacked Yes | 31c | 500$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab07…e6f1backed Yes | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecd…0787backed No | 66c | 500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…af59backed No | 60c | 500$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.66 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed Yes | 29c | 499.98$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.99 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +5.0wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 70c | 483$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.87 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450a…c24fbacked No | 65c | 464.9$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Yes | 44c | 460.5$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.05 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 38c | 454.07$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.46 | 87 | 25.3%22 W · 65 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6147…d34ebacked No | 58c | 416.56$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.76 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…b050backed No | 63c | 411.35$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed No | 66c | 400$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Yes | 39c | 393.42$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.99 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…a76cbacked Yes | 35c | 372.09$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.43 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24fb…a48ebacked Yes | 39c | 355.77$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.77 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c4…c131backed Yes | 38c | 350$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.5 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeed6…510ebacked Yes | 58c | 343.66$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.66 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c39…56dcbacked Yes | 38c | 333$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.46 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed No | 64c | 313.48$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6447…69b7backed No | 64c | 300$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed No | 70c | 300$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 154 | 51.3%79 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a1…2b76backed Yes | 39c | 300$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed No | 65c | 282.97$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.51 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0815…d0ddbacked Yes | 36c | 250$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc406…07d9backed No | 69c | 248.58$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.72 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 63c | 248.21$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 39c | 247.27$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151 | 394 | 29.4%116 W · 278 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 42c | 244.84$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.86 | 47 | 19.1%9 W · 38 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…2ff6backed No | 65c | 238$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x297a…92e0backed Yes | 42c | 235.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.33 | 102 | 41.2%42 W · 60 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 35c | 228.66$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.63 | 101 | 37.6%38 W · 63 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…3e65backed Yes | 39c | 226.16$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.75 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x749f…a8f9backed Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c42…1f72backed No | 68c | 217.75$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a79…8e05backed No | 69c | 200.5$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.8 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 69c | 200$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -38.4wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1e…b315backed No | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked Yes | 31c | 200$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +8.4wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked Yes | 39c | 199.99$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes | 37c | 199.99$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.99 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30c3…5d8ebacked No | 60c | 197.39$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.51 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc324…4cd6backed No | 67c | 191.14$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.83 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 30c | 181.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.96 | 214 | 26.2%56 W · 158 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed Yes | 36c | 179.99$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.19 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e3…cad2backed Yes | 42c | 172.05$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.01 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79c9…c040backed No | 63c | 163.65$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.82 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed No | 67c | 160.79$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.49 | 115 | 42.6%49 W · 66 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa248…04f3backed Yes | 37c | 160$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4020…11d1backed No | 63c | 158.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +21%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed No | 65c | 152.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd466…6ce6backed Yes | 41c | 152.8$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.55 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e88…bd30backed Yes | 38c | 150$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 41c | 150$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.64 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5cc…dea4backed Yes | 37c | 150$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.5 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 67c | 149$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.83 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97ef…5289backed No | 67c | 149$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.83 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -4.1wins | -0.24per pick | 47cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed No | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f23…27cbbacked No | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55bc…5b19backed No | 72c | 139.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2853…3482backed Yes | 36c | 136.85$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.47 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 37cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82d0…9637backed No | 60c | 133.55$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39d0…4fe8backed No | 60c | 113.94$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.97 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | +7.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x98f3…d9b2backed Yes | 34c | 112.39$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x725b…576dbacked Yes | 43c | 106.17$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +152.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba4…f8c2backed Yes | 43c | 106.17$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.52 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +4.2wins | +0.32per pick | 44cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2f…578fbacked No | 62c | 104$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.39 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a2…973cbacked Yes | 39c | 103.08$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4c…4bdbbacked Yes | 42c | 102.62$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.52 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e0e…938fbacked Yes | 50c | 100.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.94 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1f…94aabacked No | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfdb…703dbacked No | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90be…c800backed No | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03be…f6d9backed No | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7487…fc0cbacked Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcbf…4ffabacked No | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 59cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4680…b33dbacked No | 60c | 97.84$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Yes | 33c | 87.58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.26 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab6a…3319backed No | 59c | 84.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.9 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2944…4f3dbacked No | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump say "Pakistan" during Zelensky events on August 18?this page
- Will Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?No won
- Will Trump say "Card" during Zelensky events on August 18?No won
- Will Trump say "Ceasefire" 3+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Crimea" or "Donetsk" during Zelensky events on August 18?No won
- Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Zelensky events on August 18?No won
- Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?No won
- Will Trump say "Hottest Country" during Zelensky events on August 18?No won
- Will Trump say "Marco" or "Rubio" during Zelensky events on August 18?No won
- Will Trump say "NATO" during Zelensky events on August 18?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Nuclear" during Zelensky events on August 18?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Putin" 5+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Rare Earth" or "Mineral" during Zelensky events on August 18?No won
- Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 15+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?No won
- Will Trump say "Suit" during Zelensky events on August 18?No won
- Will Trump say "Thousand / Million / Billion" 12+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.