TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdfdb…703d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
401
Categories scored
37
Categories below 50
21

Best Category: Champions League, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 59 out of 100; worst AI at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT8235.4%29 W · 53 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 82 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.61
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.1
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Israeli forces cross the Litani River again by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.75
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.31
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.42
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$30
US announces military support of Iran opposition by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.98
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$83
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.5
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$62
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$86
Showing 25 of 82 picks, newest first.
World Politicslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT4325.6%11 W · 32 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$18.6
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+119.6%+$39.76
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.34
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$78.29
Andalusia Election: PP Absolute Majority?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$19.18
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+452.8%+$100.14
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$36
Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$21.6
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$37.5
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$11.5
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$10.28
Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Will Keir Starmer say "Christmas" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10.2
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$14.2
Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+392%+$207.76
Will Karel Havlíček be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$10.4
Will Anca Alexandrescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$10.8
Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$11.7
Nicolas Sarkozy released from custody by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$22
Nicolas Sarkozy released from custody by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$21
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$11.1
Will People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$11.6
Will GreenLeft–Labour win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$14.22
Will Issa Tchiroma Bakary win the Cameroon Presidential Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.8
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT3441.2%14 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+23.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit Japan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$27.5
Another confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$36
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C or below on May 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on May 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$38.5
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on May 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will there be 3 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+249.6%+$34.9
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on May 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$56
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on April 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on April 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.29
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on April 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+178.3%+$48.18
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - April 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$61
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on April 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.08
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on April 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.51
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on April 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on April 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on April 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on April 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$24.89
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on April 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on April 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$51.08
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on April 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.01
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on April 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+128.9%+$42.47
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on April 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.22
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on April 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$239.12
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on April 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.8
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT3414.7%5 W · 29 L-4.6wins-0.14per pick28cpaid-78.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
AI — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Waymo operate in 6 cities on June 30 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$9.2
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+25%+$14
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Marvell Q1 Data Center revenue be above $1.85B?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$31
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 225,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$33
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk be richest person on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.02
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10.2
Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Will no company have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$15.3
Will Claude win the okbet trading competition?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+66.7%+$12
Will Jensen Huang say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 20+ times during NVIDIA keynote?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$14.55
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$11.4
Will Charlie Kirk be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Will Sydney Sweeney be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$13.8
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Jimmy Kimmel rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$130
Will Pope Leo XIV rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT3240.6%13 W · 19 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-2.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Movies — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 47m and 52m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+29.5%+$39.9
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 280m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.18
Will "Young Washington" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 22m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.27
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 92m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 55m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$25.95
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 20.5m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$32.38
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 95m and 100m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+25%+$11.55
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.65
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+219.5%+$38.47
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+488.2%+$83
Will Will Byers die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Will Jim Hopper die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$11.2
Will "The Croods: A New Age" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? (December 23, 2025)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$19.5
Wicked vs Avatar: Bigger Domestic Opening Weekend?backed Avatar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Will "Frankenstein" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (November 25 2025)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$11.7
Will "Regretting You" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 9m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.4
Will "Soul on Fire" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 3m and 3.5m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$98.86
Will "The Conjuring: Last Rites" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $67m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.23
Will "The Conjuring: Last Rites" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $52m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.62
Will "F1" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 80–89?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2025, EDT+150%+$24
Will "28 Years Later" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $34m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$16.5
Will "Materialists" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $10m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.2
Will "How to Train Your Dragon" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $78m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.4
Will "From the World of John Wick: Ballerina" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $29m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$27.6
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT2931%9 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.3
Will Trump visit China by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$76
Will Trump visit China by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$68
Will Epstein Data Set 13 be released by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$34
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$24.8
Will Elon Musk be named in newly released Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$187.07
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+244.8%+$49.7
Will Barack Obama be named in newly released Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+346.4%+$38.8
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$17.5
House passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$11
U.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+177.8%+$19.2
Current shutdown longest in U.S. history?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Trump endorse Eric Adams?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$10.8
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Brazil in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.2
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.4
Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.1
US government shutdown by October 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.4
Will Elon Musk create a new political party in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$18.4
Will Trump issue a Gold Card before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.5
Will Trump remove Harvard's Intl Student ban before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.4
Trump and Elon publicly reconcile before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$17.1
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with South Korea before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$16.99
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with India before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$25.6
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT2040%8 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid+12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+525%+$168
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$57
Nuclear weapon detonation by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$29
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+316.7%+$38
Trump x Putin Meeting in Hungary by Dec 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.5
Will Russia capture Rodynske by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Successful Ukrainian counterattack in Donbass by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+25%+$6
Will Trump and Zelenskyy shake hands for between 2 and 4 seconds?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.3
Will Trump say "Suit" during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$5
Will Trump say "Ukraine" or "Ukrainian" 10+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.79
Will Trump say "Biden" 4+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$31.5
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.3
Will Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$31
Will Trump say "Pakistan" during Zelensky events on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$73
Trump x Putin talk before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+198.5%+$19.95
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
Trump x Ukraine mineral deal signed before May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.2
All 20 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+123.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Commodities — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$136
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+400%+$80
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$124.5
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.57
Houthis successfully target shipping by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$30
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$37
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.5
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+880.4%+$89.79
Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Will Gold close at $3,200 or more at the end of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 12 picks, newest first.
Tweetslast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.19per pick14cpaid+139.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Tweets — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$86
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$11.9
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$10.6
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+681.3%+$87.2
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+900%+$90
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.2
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+283.1%+$29.56
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.6
All 12 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+33%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$91.92
Over $2M committed to the TownSquare public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$39.5
Over $45M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+69.6%+$72.95
Over $15M committed to the Printr public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+165.9%+$61.14
Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Over $30M committed to the Trove public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$16.91
Will edgeX launch a token in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$11
No airdrop in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$14.24
Over $40M committed to the Solomon public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$35.5
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.2
Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$8.4
Will gainzy shave his shoulders by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$17.2
All 12 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-29.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 15 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.56
Trump drops Powell investigation before Warsh is confirmed?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+300%+$75
Will Powell say "Sorry" during December press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+53.8%+$10.5
Will Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during December press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+122.2%+$16.5
Will Powell say "Pandemic" during December press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$10.5
Will the Fed cut-cut-cut in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$10.4
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Will Trump try and fire Powell before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.2
Will Powell say "Future" during Princeton Commencement on May 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.6
All 11 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-73.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.1
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$6.51
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.46
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.12
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+37%+$27
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$43.3
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$11.4
Will Real Madrid beat Barcelona?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.27
Will Atletico Madrid win La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.9
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick37cpaid+61.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.40per pick43cpaid+153.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick31cpaid-72.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick15cpaid+83.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2025, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-55.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-61.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Cricket — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 17, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blue Jays vs. Marinersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.6
White Sox vs. Astrosbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$7.6
Giants vs. Rockiesbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$6.8
All 3 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+120.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hawks vs. Wizardsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+28.2%+$6.6
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$27.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick11cpaid+733.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 June 1-7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+1,566.7%+$188
Will Solana dip to $90 before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Space — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Disney say "Debt" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Will EA say "Acquisition" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.24
All 2 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Chess — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.69
Will Australia be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.07
All 2 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Sep 21, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will The MongolZ win FISSURE Playground 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.16
BLAST.tv Austin Major: Legacy vs. MOUZbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: MOUZ vs BetBoom Team (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+96.1%+$9.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United win on 2025-12-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+66.7%+$8
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Detroit Lions win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$10.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Poker Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Poker — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$38.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$11.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oilers vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.