TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5ecd…0787

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
500
Categories scored
38
Categories below 50
19

Best Category: Earnings, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Earnings at 59 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT7052.9%37 W · 33 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 70 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$365Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$365.01
Will G2 Esports win First Stand 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$4,170Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,169.99
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs LYON (+2.5)backed LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$731Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+28.9%+$211.03
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$160
LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$120
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX - Game 4 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$395Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$105
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$300
LoL: GIANTX vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,485Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+68.4%+$1,015
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5)backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$600
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs BNK FEARX (+2.5)backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+66.7%+$800
LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$422Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$421.89
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$22.14
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$3,180Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$3,179.88
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,069Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+26.6%+$284.13
LoL: DN Freecs vs DRX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$8,222Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$8,221.75
LoL: DN Freecs vs DRX - Game 3 Winnerbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+108%+$173.4
LoL: DN Freecs vs DRX - Game 2 Winnerbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$237
Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs BNK FEARX (+2.5)backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+72.4%+$10.12
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$10.42
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$677Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+300%+$2,031.79
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$629Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+35.1%+$220.89
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$590Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$590
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$95.18
Showing 25 of 70 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT4955.1%27 W · 22 L+4.5wins+0.09per pick46cpaid-3.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$11,562Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+56%+$6,475.02
Will Mamdani make NYC buses free by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$5,076Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+29.5%+$1,496.58
Will Epstein Data Set 13 be released by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$549Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+118.5%+$650.79
Will the DHS shutdown last 14 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+33.3%+$37.5
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$4,542Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+29.8%+$1,351.59
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+44.6%+$80.61
Will the government shutdown last 14 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$11.11
Will Epstein Data Set 9 be released before March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$384Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+46.3%+$177.6
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+29.9%+$69
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+109.6%+$11.06
Will Ghislaine Maxwell testify before Congress in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$33.7
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$14,085Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+32.6%+$4,593.64
Will Trump admin release any Epstein files on December 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,023Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$2,022.73
Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Will Zohran Mamdani praise Donald Trump on Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$27,201Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+32.1%+$8,727.35
Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$30.14
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+28.2%+$10.6
Will Tom Emmer vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+91.6%+$48.28
Will Jim Jordan vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+25%+$4
Will the Government shutdown end by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$16.54
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$327Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$326.51
Will the next government funding bill be a clean CR?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,707Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+51.1%+$872.24
Will Trump pardon Rudy Giuliani in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$893Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$893.37
Will Curtis Sliwa drop out?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$426Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$425.89
Will Stephen Hawking be named in the Epstein survivors' list?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.4
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT4637%17 W · 29 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-33.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.5
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40,151Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+58.4%+$23,437.72
1k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in Q1 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.36
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$5,437Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+645.1%+$35,073.25
US forces enter Iran by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$3,674Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+26.3%+$967.45
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$40,765Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$40,765.49
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$8,721Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,721.16
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$43,724Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$43,723.73
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$10,649Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,648.58
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$4,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,700
Will UK strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$7,250Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+25.3%+$1,835.96
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.98
US forces enter Iran by March 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$14,590Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+28.5%+$4,164.18
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.26
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$540
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$290
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$510
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$697Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$697.41
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,550Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$950.31
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 5, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+78.6%+$88
US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$8,128Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+33.7%+$2,736.39
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,568Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$1,568.26
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$4,717Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$4,716.97
US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$816Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$815.87
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$2,953Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$2,952.82
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT3839.5%15 W · 23 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick35cpaid-36.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,186Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$969.76
Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$760Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$759.99
Will Google have the third-best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+121.5%+$129.83
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$181.76
Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+35.1%+$130
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+29.9%+$55.2
Grok 5 released by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$47.81
Will Nvidia have a #1 AI model this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$62.21
Will Mistral have a #1 AI model this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19.33
Will Diane Keaton be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$15.61
Will Robert Redford be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$12.35
Will Gene Hackman be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$10.28
Will xAI have the top AI model at the end of November 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,095Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+34.3%+$376.03
Will Mistral have the top AI model at the end of November 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$15.31
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$34.44
Will Google have the top AI model at the end of November 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$16.3
Will Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+53.9%+$105.11
Will Microsoft be the second most valuable company on October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$636Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$636.09
Will Oracle be the second most valuable company on October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.87
Will Other be the second most valuable company on October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.98
Will Apple be the second most valuable company on October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,169Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,168.54
Will Mistral AI have the top AI model on October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.58
Will Meta have the top AI model on October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.35
Will Tencent have the top AI model on October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.1
Will Microsoft have the top AI model on October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.47
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT3135.5%11 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-44.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.39
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,400Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$600
Peter Mandelson charged by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.5
Will Seguro win Portugal's Overseas Vote?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$584Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+37%+$216
Will BTS release any tracks in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+51.5%+$87.96
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah receive between 50,000 and 60,000 votes in the 2025 Honduran presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$199.6
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah receive between 40,000 and 50,000 votes in the 2025 Honduran presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Will Salvador Alejandro César Nasralla Salum win the 2025 Honduran presidential election by between 3% and 6%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$41.31
Will Salvador Alejandro César Nasralla Salum win the 2025 Honduran presidential election by less than 3%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$287Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$286.55
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduran presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$16.68
Will Rixi Ramona Moncada Godoy win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$58.65
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23,507Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+30.8%+$7,247.74
Will turnout in the second round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election be between 84% and 86%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$247Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+83.4%+$206.05
Will Franco Parisi endorse no candidate for President of Chile?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,147Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+142.9%+$1,639.54
Hwang Kyo-ahn in jail by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+108.3%+$52
Will Jeannette Jara win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$14.44
Will Patriotic Electoral Bloc (BEP) be part of the next Government of the Moldova?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+29.8%+$18.35
Will the JA21 win the fifth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$26.65
Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$940Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$939.76
Will the GreenLeft–Labour Party alliance win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$989Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$988.72
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during Korea CEOs Luncheon on October 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Jonas Gahr Støre become the next Prime Minister of Norway?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will APNU win the most seats in the 2025 Guyana National Assembly election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$22
Will PPP/C win the most seats in the 2025 Guyana National Assembly election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$85
Will Aubrey Norton win the 2025 Guyana presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.7
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT2240.9%9 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-23.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.79
Will there be a US x Iran ceasefire before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$290
Trump drops Powell investigation by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+87.4%+$46.64
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20.05
Will one person dissent the January Fed decision?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$12.67
Will Trump announce Chris Waller as next Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$583Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$582.98
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$3,221Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$3,220.7
Will Powell say "Projection" 5+ times during December press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$463Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+41.4%+$191.68
Fed rate hike in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$12.69
Will Powell say "Goal" 15+ times during September press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$387Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+100%+$386.69
Will Powell say "Unemployment" or "Employment" 20+ times during September press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$19.55
Will Powell say "Pandemic" during September press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$200
Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during September press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$330
Will Powell say "Uncertainty" 7+ times during July Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+244.8%+$97.44
Will Powell say "Downbeat" during July Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$63.99
Will Powell say "Pandemic" during July Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.34
Fed rate cut by July meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$216.08
Will Powell say "Downbeat" during June Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+106.2%+$206
Will Powell say "China" during June Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$63.99
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during June Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$94.7
Will Powell say "Summer" during June Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$98
Will Powell say "Median" during June Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
All 22 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT2213.6%3 W · 19 L-4.1wins-0.18per pick32cpaid-65.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,550Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,550
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$67,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$67,500
Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$4,846Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,846.27
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$621Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$620.57
UCLA Bruins vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked UCLA Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$6,187Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,187.5
Miami Hurricanes vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Miami Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.94
VCU Rams vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked VCU Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$58,391Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$58,391.24
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked Vanderbilt Commodores · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$27,418Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$27,417.99
Texas A&M Aggies vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Texas A&M Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$21,000
Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State Spartansbacked Louisville Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$6,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,800
Saint Louis Billikens vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Saint Louis Billikens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.08
Prairie View A&M Panthers vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Prairie View A&M Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$244.42
Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Tennessee Volunteersbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$36,378Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$36,378.27
Wright State Raiders vs. Virginia Cavaliersbacked Wright State Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,350Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,350
Hofstra Pride vs. Alabama Crimson Tidebacked Hofstra Pride · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$475Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$474.74
Saint Louis Billikens vs. Georgia Bulldogsbacked Saint Louis Billikens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13,003Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$17,956.68
McNeese State Cowboys vs. Vanderbilt Commodoresbacked McNeese State Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$34,542Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$34,541.83
South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinalsbacked Louisville Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$118,680Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+51.9%+$61,535.76
High Point Panthers vs. Wisconsin Badgersbacked Wisconsin Badgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.33
Troy Trojans vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked Troy Trojans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
SMU Mustangs vs. Miami (OH) RedHawksbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20,527Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$55,498.49
North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Texas Longhornsbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$9,137Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,136.61
All 22 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT2035%7 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-23.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NFL — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stefon Diggs arrested by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$37
Will the 2026 Big Game be the most viewed Big Game ever?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$430Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$429.61
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$545Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$544.85
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$2,328Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+251.8%+$5,862.56
Will Coca Cola run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+33%+$54.39
Big Game: Odd/Even Total Pointsbacked Odd · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$11.37
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15,650Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$15,650.43
Will Bad Bunny perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,261Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$1,261.5
Will Drake Maye win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$481Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$480.54
Will Lamar Jackson win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$410Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$410
Will Josh Allen be the Top Fantasy Quarterback of the 2025-26 NFL Regular Season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$90.85
Ravens vs. Steelersbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$6,165Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$6,165.23
Will Ja'Marr Chase be the Top Fantasy Wide Receiver for the 2025–26 NFL Regular Season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+28.2%+$66
Will Justin Jefferson be the Top Fantasy Wide Receiver for the 2025–26 NFL Regular Season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$11.2
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the AFC West?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+28.2%+$44
Will the Denver Broncos win the AFC West?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$772Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$771.99
Commanders vs. Chiefsbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
Scorigami in NFL Week 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$133.9
Will Micah Parsons leave the Cowboys before Week 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+203%+$67
All 20 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT1850%9 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+32.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nets vs. Lakersbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$246.63
Bucks vs. Sunsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$450
76ers vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$4,013Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+47.1%+$1,888.31
Will the USA Stars team win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$1,399.99
Mavericks vs. Lakersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$96.24
Trail Blazers vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$2,321Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$2,320.77
Bucks vs. Thunderbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$3,220Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+272.7%+$8,779.99
Spurs vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$3,188Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$3,188
Grizzlies vs. Nuggetsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$1,500
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$2,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$2,900
Kings vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$6,400Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+56.3%+$3,600
Bucks vs. Magicbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,900Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+426.3%+$8,099.99
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$8,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$8,099.98
Pacers vs. Netsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$3,700Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+170.3%+$6,300
Hawks vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$6,400Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+56.2%+$3,599.98
Spurs vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,072Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+212.5%+$2,278
Timberwolves vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+163.2%+$620
Warriors vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$140
All 18 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST1668.8%11 W · 5 L+3.5wins+0.22per pick47cpaid+24.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Earnings — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will TPG (TPG) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$75
Will Lockheed Martin (LMT) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,753Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+58.9%+$1,033.4
Will United Bankshares (UBSI) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$153.23
Will Kinder Morgan (KMI) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+75.4%+$214.99
Will Vail Resorts (MTN) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+92.7%+$29.8
Will GameStop (GME) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+92.3%+$9.6
Will Casey's General Stores (CASY) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+88.7%+$9.4
Will Autozone (AZO) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+88.7%+$9.4
Will Pfizer (PFE) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+38.9%+$5.6
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$865Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$864.98
Will Applied Digital (APLD) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$56.87
Will Jefferies (JEF) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$450
Will Jabil (JBL) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,295Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+94.6%+$1,224.96
Will Micron Tech (MU) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$863Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+85.5%+$737.41
Will Factset Research (FDS) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,131Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,131.4
Will Bullish (BLSH) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$11.04
All 16 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST1650%8 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FIDE World Cup 2025 - Yu Yangyi vs S.L. Narayanan (Advances)backed Yangyi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+61.3%+$16.72
FIDE World Cup 2025 - Levon Aronian vs Salem Saleh (Advances)backed Aronian · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+44.6%+$37
FIDE World Cup 2025 - Maxime Vachier-Lagrave vs Vladislav Artemiev (Advances)backed Artemiev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$31.35
FIDE World Cup 2025 - Georg Meier vs Daniil Dubov (Advances)backed Dubov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+49.3%+$19.8
FIDE World Cup 2025 - Van Nguyen Thai Dai vs Nodirbek Yakubboev (Advances)backed Dai · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$46.4
FIDE World Cup 2025 - Santosh Gujrathi Vidit vs Sam Shankland (Advances)backed Vidit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$34.8
FIDE World Cup 2025 - Yagiz Kaan Erdogmus vs Richard Rapport (Advances)backed Rapport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+40.8%+$17.4
FIDE World Cup 2025 - Kirill Alekseenko vs Peter Leko (Advances)backed Leko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+120%+$84.92
FIDE World Cup 2025 - Daniel Dardha vs Pentala Harikrishna (Advances)backed Harikrishna · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+60.9%+$48.06
FIDE World Cup 2025 - Alexander Donchenko vs Anish Giri (Advances)backed Giri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$76
FIDE World Cup 2025 - Titas Stremavicius vs Pranav Venkatesh (Advances)backed Venkatesh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+57.9%+$22.74
Will Alireza Firouzja win the 2025 FIDE Grand Swiss chess tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.85
Will Hans Moke Niemann win the 2025 FIDE Grand Swiss chess tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.35
Will Ian Nepomniachtchi win the 2025 FIDE Grand Swiss chess tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.05
Will Dommaraju Gukesh win the 2025 FIDE Grand Swiss chess tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Arjun Erigaisi win the 2025 Quantbox Chennai Grand Masters?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT+37%+$54
All 16 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT1612.5%2 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick14cpaid-58.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$946Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$945.56
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,637Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+122.9%+$2,011.22
Opinion FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$618Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+334.8%+$2,069.61
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$39
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11,999Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$11,998.81
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$5,647Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$5,647.1
Will StandX launch a token in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$65
Lighter FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$145.03
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$251Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$250.69
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$4,503Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$4,502.93
Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$823Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$822.81
Will the Monad public sale commitments be less than $400M?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$55.93
Meteora FDV above $10B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.69
Plasma >$2B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.79
Plasma >$1B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.24
All 16 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-61.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ryan Coogler win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.42
Will Jesse Plemons be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$342Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+46%+$157.51
Will Come See Me in the Good Light be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$205.83
Will Sentimental Value be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Will The Secret Agent be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+25%+$200
Will a Black Spoon win season 2 of Culinary Class Wars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$726Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+28.9%+$209.83
Will 'Wicked: For Good' have the third best domestic opening weekend in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.03
Will Lucas Sinclair die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Will Will Byers die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$33
Will Jim Hopper die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+44.9%+$31
Will "The Conjuring: Last Rites" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $62m and $67m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will "The Conjuring: Last Rites" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $72-76m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.84
Will "Fantastic Four: The First Steps" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $145m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$44.44
Will "Fantastic Four: The First Steps" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $135-145m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$44.44
All 14 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.17per pick37cpaid+48.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Music — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 'BULLY' - Ye debut week album sales be between 300k and 400k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$446Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$125.84
Will Kanye release BULLY by April 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$369Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$369.12
Will Olivia Dean win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$3,336Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+30.4%+$1,013.74
Will Leon Thomas win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$228.5
Will Kanye release BULLY by January 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$56.65
Will Diplo run the 5k in under 20 minutes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+26.6%+$63
Will Drake be the third most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+145.3%+$178.41
Will Diplo run the 5k in under 23 minutes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.5
Will Diplo run the 5k in under 21 minutes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+334.8%+$69.3
Will 'Wood' be the highest ranked song from Taylor Swift’s new album on the Billboard Hot 100 for the week of October 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.5
D4vd arrested by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+582.2%+$162.15
Justin Bieber holds 2 top 10 spots on Billboard Hot 100 for week of September 13th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Taylor Swift announces new original album by September 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$84.29
All 13 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$6,129Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,128.93
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,394Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+43.4%+$605.64
Will Trump say "Eight Wars" or "Nine Wars" during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$9.94
Will Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$306Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+63.4%+$193.92
Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 15+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$534Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+124.7%+$665.99
Will Trump say "Suit" during Zelensky events on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$365Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+37%+$135
Will Trump say "Hottest Country" during Zelensky events on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$315Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$185
Will Trump say "Thousand / Million / Billion" 12+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$356Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$355.91
Will Trump say "NATO" during Zelensky events on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during Zelensky events on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Will Trump say "Pakistan" during Zelensky events on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$330
All 12 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST128.3%1 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick28cpaid-87.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another US strike on Venezuela on January 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Maduro in U.S. custody by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$60.37
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$632Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$632.04
Maduro out by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$174.4
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$5,769Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$5,769.17
Maduro out by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$74.48
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$14,677Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$14,677.38
US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$9,069Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$9,068.78
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,052Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$2,052.4
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14,662Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$14,662.1
Maduro receives asylum by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$70
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$6,744Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+54.3%+$3,664.93
All 12 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-57.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jeannie Evans be the Republican nominee for Senate in Illinois?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.1
Will Ken Paxton come in 2nd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$236Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+46.5%+$109.73
U.S. Government Funding Lapse on January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$514Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+25%+$128.4
Will Mikie Sherrill win by >14%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$3,166Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$3,165.56
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,110Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$1,110
Will Zohran Mamdani win Queens in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$132.64
Will Zohran Mamdani win Staten Island in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$600
Will Zohran Mamdani win Manhattan in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$28.22
NYC Election: Sliwa drops out and Cuomo wins?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$80
Will Eric Adams drop out first?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$327Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+51.4%+$167.99
All 10 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-47.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$100.28
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$34.44
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$8,317Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+92.5%+$7,693.61
Will George Russell finish fourth in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$16.96
Will George Russell finish third in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+40.6%+$62.72
Will Max Verstappen finish fourth in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$20.51
Will Charles Leclerc finish fourth in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$102.43
Will Charles Leclerc finish third in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$47.3
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$30.77
All 9 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick62cpaid+40.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Aug 18, 2025, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick21cpaid-39.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick39cpaid-81.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Boxing — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-51.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-63%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick34cpaid+63.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,200
LoL: HLE vs T1backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$130
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.89per pick11cpaid+788%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bodø/Glimt reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+788%+$2,046.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Korea Republic win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+81.8%+$45
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX file for an IPO by March 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$261Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$87.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$4,756Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+28.4%+$1,348.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will XRP reach $3.7 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+25%+$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Xi events on October 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Poker Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Poker — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mariano vs Jungleman: Higher winnings at Hustler Casino on Friday?backed Mariano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$362Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$361.88
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.