AI · resolved market
Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x17705dd113407052c7c2f39e6d924b41f4e61885d24b0a55c033e5f98e10b754
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $454,928
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $465,719
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $454,928 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 652 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xec7d…fa1fbacked No | 15c | 24,691$3,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,601.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d15…c454backed No | 40c | 13,685$5,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,529.75 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74fa…7ff1backed No | 25c | 10,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d6e…d60cbacked No | 4c | 9,683$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4345…7897backed No | 29c | 8,532$2,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,442.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x357d…8c4fbacked No | 11c | 7,851$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.69 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff91…ab3abacked No | 34c | 7,452$2,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,563.33 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +5.5wins | +0.14per pick | 27cpaid | +24%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad0…bf3dbacked Yes | 67c | 7,404$4,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,475.67 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -42%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…2081backed Yes | 71c | 6,977$4,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,036.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x991b…f19abacked Yes | 75c | 6,644$4,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,666.75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc8…8d7bbacked No | 18c | 6,201$1,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,141.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x743d…f77ebacked No | 35c | 6,083$2,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,101.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…6dffbacked Yes | 71c | 5,400$3,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,569.42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Yes | 72c | 5,062$3,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,396.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 27c | 4,843$1,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,311.52 | 407 | 12.3%50 W · 357 L | -35.7wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed No | 2c | 4,251$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.06 | 629 | 1.3%8 W · 621 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa008…f4acbacked Yes | 50c | 4,218$2,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,103.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1997…2e36backed No | 24c | 4,018$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.61 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac9b…d4c5backed No | 28c | 4,000$1,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.31 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f55…e9a4backed No | 29c | 3,426$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81ef…39c1backed Yes | 63c | 3,348$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,247.84 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -68.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 1c | 3,233$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.33 | 263 | 12.9%34 W · 229 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dfd…6a46backed No | 38c | 3,130$1,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,203.19 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1b…a11dbacked Yes | 72c | 3,045$2,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.58 | 90 | 41.1%37 W · 53 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa8…d94fbacked No | 9c | 3,002$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62cf…5826backed Yes | 72c | 3,000$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 67cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b75…3fd1backed Yes | 60c | 2,892$1,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,168.48 | 120 | 33.3%40 W · 80 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4166…a1f8backed No | 27c | 2,864$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x668d…97d2backed Yes | 55c | 2,800$1,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,269.3 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f7…42a9backed Yes | 77c | 2,730$2,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.5 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfea2…581ebacked No | 23c | 2,719$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.97 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdf…300dbacked No | 20c | 2,628$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x549c…ad91backed Yes | 59c | 2,523$1,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,038.92 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.5wins | +0.32per pick | 50cpaid | +202.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbb…084ebacked Yes | 63c | 2,501$1,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.4 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 66c | 2,493$1,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.85 | 126 | 36.5%46 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb760…ccd7backed Yes | 70c | 2,477$1,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.06 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +10.0wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdf17…97d1backed No | 39c | 2,427$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2008…7c40backed No | 41c | 2,413$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3723…45a9backed Yes | 50c | 2,218$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,117.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 30c | 2,152$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.69 | 205 | 44.4%91 W · 114 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ad…e169backed Yes | 75c | 2,087$1,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc7…116fbacked No | 30c | 2,023$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.98 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ff…9f4abacked Yes | 76c | 2,005$1,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.35 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 21c | 2,000$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.2 | 82 | 20.7%17 W · 65 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…1f44backed No | 33c | 2,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6041…20ebbacked No | 21c | 2,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7626…e98dbacked No | 7c | 2,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 1c | 2,000$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 217 | 13.4%29 W · 188 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x396f…7f78backed Yes | 67c | 1,991$1,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.68 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb89f…1c44backed No | 11c | 1,959$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.5 | 143 | 37.8%54 W · 89 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb9d…e31bbacked Yes | 74c | 1,892$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.88 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +4.3wins | +0.20per pick | 35cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbc97…fd78backed No | 37c | 1,873$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76aa…63b0backed No | 41c | 1,814$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00e1…b679backed Yes | 71c | 1,774$1,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.01 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -31%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54cd…db0dbacked No | 19c | 1,746$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe6…69b0backed No | 29c | 1,718$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…efc7backed Yes | 59c | 1,699$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 74c | 1,698$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.47 | 574 | 26.8%154 W · 420 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed No | 16c | 1,633$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.24 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5415…2a6ebacked Yes | 79c | 1,624$1,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.88 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d95…d4bebacked No | 17c | 1,600$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 66c | 1,595$1,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.76 | 204 | 18.6%38 W · 166 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…2289backed Yes | 73c | 1,543$1,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…adc0backed Yes | 43c | 1,525$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.2 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed No | 27c | 1,524$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.93 | 114 | 25.4%29 W · 85 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47ea…55a5backed No | 28c | 1,480$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.05 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa37a…a9e7backed Yes | 69c | 1,466$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.27 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x575b…14f0backed Yes | 76c | 1,461$1,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.81 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd416…d9e2backed Yes | 66c | 1,460$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.4 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -39%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f5…1678backed No | 30c | 1,448$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Yes | 74c | 1,436$1,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.4 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +5.5wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0e9e…bd89backed Yes | 76c | 1,377$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +522%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d7…bd8ebacked Yes | 73c | 1,374$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf477…2e27backed No | 29c | 1,367$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8374…9149backed No | 22c | 1,365$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.11 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7e…013bbacked No | 37c | 1,355$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa46f…d199backed No | 37c | 1,354$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed Yes | 70c | 1,300$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.99 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | +12.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4e6c…c962backed Yes | 51c | 1,292$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59fd…832bbacked Yes | 80c | 1,248$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe598…a0a8backed No | 18c | 1,234$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.96 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -81%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4a…cd44backed No | 24c | 1,228$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -3.5wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2074…767cbacked No | 8c | 1,216$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.01 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x689d…66e8backed Yes | 72c | 1,200$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x110c…cb36backed No | 2c | 1,187$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d3e…534ebacked No | 29c | 1,175$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f50…24e9backed No | 15c | 1,169$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked No | 55c | 1,141$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.37 | 105 | 61.9%65 W · 40 L | +17.4wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x135c…c032backed No | 10c | 1,140$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1628…77cdbacked No | 35c | 1,132$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d0…f655backed No | 24c | 1,130$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.58 | 201 | 30.3%61 W · 140 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 5c | 1,120$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.52 | 186 | 7%13 W · 173 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x933f…d300backed No | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ec…25edbacked No | 43c | 1,102$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd67b…5780backed Yes | 75c | 1,100$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe13e…3a6dbacked Yes | 73c | 1,095$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0330…eb8fbacked No | 22c | 1,060$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.1 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3302…79c0backed No | 1c | 1,050$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 26c | 1,045$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.81 | 479 | 38%182 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7d…0282backed No | 21c | 1,040$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.