TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7d3e…534e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
119
Categories scored
28
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Middle East, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 58 out of 100; worst AI at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,521Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+73.9%+$1,864.13
Will England win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$358.95
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$317Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$316.76
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,370Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$1,316.66
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$2,805Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,804.73
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,531Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$2,335.92
Spread: England (-1.5)backed DR Congo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,650Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$1,522.86
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$686Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$686.1
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$514Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$387.68
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$207.3
South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$393Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$117.44
Will Scotland be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,554Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$546.09
Will France win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$94.25
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$107.41
All 15 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT1478.6%11 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.18per pick61cpaid+36.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$366Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+101.9%+$372.98
Will Xabi Alonso be the next permanent manager of Chelsea F.C.?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$375Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$125
Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$201
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$245.45
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$140
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$232Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$362.95
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$32.4
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+63.9%+$35.8
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$338Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+49.3%+$166.72
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+150%+$235.82
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$715Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$714.96
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+26.6%+$42
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+33.3%+$26.72
All 14 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+29.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 10°C on May 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+47%+$14.3
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 8°C on May 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$33.92
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 23°C on May 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$38.5
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on April 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+43%+$8.45
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C or below on March 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+36%+$4.47
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or below on March 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$173.43
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on March 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$34.88
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$35.07
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on February 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+127.3%+$21.29
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on February 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$12.31
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on February 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$51.74
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on February 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+436.1%+$108.93
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on February 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+25.9%+$8.49
All 13 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT1090%9 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick72cpaid+26.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
World Politics — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BN win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$382Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+33.1%+$126.32
Will Carlos Vila Nova win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,497Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+30.9%+$463.28
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$978Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+35.3%+$345.23
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$58.63
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,650Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+45.5%+$750
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,124Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+31.5%+$354.55
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$296
Will AKEL win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$610Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+26.3%+$160.54
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+46.9%+$18.11
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$569Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$320
All 10 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jose Mourinho be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,346Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+45.8%+$616.48
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$14.8
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.53
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-04-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.54
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$11.6
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+44.9%+$60.43
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$25.8
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$73.95
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+57.5%+$142.48
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-02-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+72.4%+$217.24
All 10 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.26per pick52cpaid+50.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Middle East — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+57.2%+$11.98
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+43.4%+$11.29
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+40.8%+$5.06
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$432Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+270.4%+$1,168
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+51.5%+$45.56
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$672Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+138.1%+$928
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$150
US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$830Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$830.12
US x Iran meeting by February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$536Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+50.5%+$270.79
All 9 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+16.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick60cpaid-56.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+125.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Execration (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffsbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.26
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Virtus.pro (BO3)backed Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+224.7%+$33.71
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+81.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-08-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$31.67
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$13.12
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+33.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SG Dynamo Dresden win on 2026-02-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+166.4%+$374.33
Will 1. FC Magdeburg win on 2026-02-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$696Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$696.22
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iasi Open: Paula Badosa vs Tamara Zidansekbacked Tamara Zidansek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$263Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$263.24
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovicbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+44.9%+$89.86
All 2 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$689Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+61.1%+$420.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+53.8%+$63.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+25.1%+$10.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
O/U 51.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$150
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brisbane Roar FC win on 2025-12-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$212.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Devils vs. Maple Leafsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$259Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$258.51
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-02-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$309Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$308.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Seoul win on 2026-07-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,354Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,353.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-04-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.88
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.