AI · resolved market
Will Apple announce the iPhone 17e by February 28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2850353da31ae0f2ba9c2534922aaad13631850dead69264af71a345d1d1ae78
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $166,931
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $155,295
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $166,931 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 215 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xefe1…d798backed No | 36c | 14,047$5,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,951.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +175.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…820cbacked Yes | 1c | 8,691$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.51 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…977fbacked Yes | 2c | 6,433$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.26 | 34 | 8.8%3 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -88.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8556…fad9backed Yes | 2c | 4,755$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc529…4f2cbacked Yes | 12c | 3,894$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.63 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbcd…49a5backed Yes | 59c | 3,830$2,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,243.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 2c | 3,510$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.67 | 252 | 2%5 W · 247 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 16c | 2,750$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.7 | 51 | 11.8%6 W · 45 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…d1a8backed Yes | 4c | 2,521$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 1c | 2,257$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.65 | 263 | 12.9%34 W · 229 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,747$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 217 | 13.4%29 W · 188 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd416…d9e2backed Yes | 1c | 1,599$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.27 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -39%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33db…417abacked Yes | 7c | 1,583$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.8 | 190 | 40.5%77 W · 113 L | +14.4wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc9…2997backed Yes | 5c | 1,528$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 10c | 1,463$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.15 | 186 | 7%13 W · 173 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33f0…b7aebacked Yes | 4c | 1,412$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 4c | 1,388$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.5 | 288 | 26.7%77 W · 211 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c6…e302backed Yes | 70c | 1,361$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d8…3484backed Yes | 73c | 1,353$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.17 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 68cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ac…bc7dbacked No | 51c | 1,345$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.71 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +151%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4453…dd3bbacked No | 38c | 1,245$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x170d…c42cbacked Yes | 76c | 1,214$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d3e…534ebacked Yes | 73c | 1,198$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.47 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab1c…35a7backed Yes | 6c | 1,179$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.64 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x755d…2721backed No | 29c | 1,109$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb900…05c6backed Yes | 2c | 1,077$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 2c | 1,038$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7845…417bbacked Yes | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -5.7wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed Yes | 61c | 959.35$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.59 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +5.5wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x49ae…f3babacked No | 38c | 954.65$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.58 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.42per pick | 25cpaid | +145.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ce…2fa6backed Yes | 3c | 909.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c13…ef7cbacked Yes | 72c | 861.17$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 40c | 836.33$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.51 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…a9eabacked Yes | 44c | 819.53$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 4c | 780.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.15 | 304 | 2%6 W · 298 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe876…1d22backed Yes | 6c | 740$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0474…2894backed Yes | 7c | 736.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked No | 33c | 690.61$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.53 | 190 | 11.6%22 W · 168 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x294d…b362backed Yes | 72c | 689.75$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.78 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 36cpaid | -81%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd64e…07cabacked Yes | 65c | 669.61$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e3…a970backed Yes | 44c | 665$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdea…a777backed No | 40c | 659.36$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.96 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9eb…e9b4backed Yes | 4c | 613.42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…a75fbacked No | 33c | 579.93$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.85 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8745…4805backed No | 56c | 571$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.24 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd950…ad1bbacked Yes | 44c | 564.43$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.95 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…65a5backed No | 40c | 551.98$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +168.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa99e…fa3dbacked No | 28c | 544.82$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +263.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xece8…cac6backed No | 31c | 529.46$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.46 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +90.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e55…b890backed Yes | 2c | 526.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd72…6cc4backed Yes | 69c | 516.41$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.95 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 8c | 514.13$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.19 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5970…3f20backed Yes | 47c | 485.62$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Yes | 5c | 476.91$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63d0…87edbacked Yes | 24c | 463.99$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 67c | 441.03$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.47 | 205 | 44.4%91 W · 114 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…fdb8backed Yes | 3c | 438.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 48 | 6.3%3 W · 45 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc326…1db1backed No | 27c | 425.08$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.59 | 258 | 37.6%97 W · 161 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed Yes | 16c | 424.44$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.91 | 55 | 10.9%6 W · 49 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59d0…d9b8backed Yes | 64c | 403.16$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.03 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -75%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e65…e33fbacked Yes | 50c | 396.67$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.37 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6beb…6ea2backed Yes | 44c | 391.09$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecd7…c7e1backed Yes | 63c | 379.45$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.66 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5f…81c0backed Yes | 44c | 378$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.32 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +10%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked Yes | 42c | 375.64$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.26 | 142 | 50%71 W · 71 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12bf…bcf0backed Yes | 5c | 375$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0aec…fdafbacked Yes | 60c | 374$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.4 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed47…5d79backed Yes | 76c | 350.36$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78b3…b95abacked Yes | 58c | 339.99$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8116…d945backed Yes | 59c | 339.9$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe4…5504backed Yes | 61c | 337.17$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.01 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82fd…deb1backed Yes | 54c | 335.37$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1cf…8739backed No | 41c | 331.61$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 29c | 329.57$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.06 | 207 | 31.9%66 W · 141 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2452…4571backed Yes | 63c | 319.47$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa172…b716backed Yes | 61c | 315$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.86 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c6…a6c6backed Yes | 70c | 305$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4b…eedfbacked No | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c9…a644backed Yes | 63c | 300$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c37…d40fbacked Yes | 4c | 300$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 79 | 0%0 W · 79 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43b3…6193backed Yes | 55c | 293.29$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.79 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 27cpaid | -79.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11fc…8262backed Yes | 37c | 292.86$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc346…345fbacked Yes | 5c | 283.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6789…52f9backed No | 40c | 282$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.2 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0e…4838backed Yes | 4c | 277.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -82.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f1…23bcbacked No | 56c | 269.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5741…fb99backed No | 41c | 267.83$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.83 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.55per pick | 20cpaid | +450.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x88ee…13d8backed No | 48c | 260.24$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.24 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b7…6936backed Yes | 59c | 252.61$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 70cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6d…ed0bbacked No | 34c | 240.6$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.65 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35b2…8abdbacked Yes | 60c | 234.69$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.41 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Yes | 57c | 229.89$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.82 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb4…0872backed No | 39c | 217.27$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb8…9a11backed No | 47c | 211.01$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a31…d45bbacked No | 49c | 205.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8952…1f26backed No | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 36cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x878d…1a9bbacked Yes | 68c | 200$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59ad…8a1abacked Yes | 70c | 200$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee65…5067backed Yes | 56c | 199.99$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…4442backed Yes | 61c | 199.99$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Apple announce the iPhone 17e by February 28?this page
- Will Apple announce the iPhone 17e by March 15?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.