TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6789…52f9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
110
Categories scored
25
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Middle East, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 55 out of 100; worst World Politics at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT2147.6%10 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.77
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$145.04
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$222.23
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$671Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+203%+$1,361.44
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$261Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$261
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.68
Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$174.68
Military action against Iran ends by April 11, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$216.48
Will Netanyahu visit NYC by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.6
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$331Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$141.9
Will Khamenei tweet again on March 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.4
Will Khamenei tweet again by March 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$337Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+29.9%+$100.74
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+233.3%+$155.4
Will Israel strike 2 countries in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+233.3%+$478.8
Will Israel strike ≤1 countries in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$195.6
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$164.82
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$300.69
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+63.9%+$32.37
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+143.9%+$64.9
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$53.24
Will the US strike Somalia next?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+96.1%+$14.7
All 21 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT1625%4 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-11.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
AI — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$367Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$366.66
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$326Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$326.4
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.24
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $3.00 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.2
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.20 (LOW) by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.31
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$204.6
Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$284Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$284
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$324Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$323.68
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+203%+$239.19
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$239Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$614.88
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.18
Will Apple announce the iPhone 17e by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+150%+$169.2
Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$18.96
GPT ads by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$959Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$959.02
Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$145.54
Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+400%+$779.2
All 16 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$121.1
Will the Portland Trail Blazers make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.5
Will Karl-Anthony Towns lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.96
Will Stephen Curry lead the NBA in three pointers made during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.64
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$174.04
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$201.6
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win more than 43.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$332Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$332.45
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2025–2026 NBA Southwest Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$828Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$827.54
Will Lauri Markkanen be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$402Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+28.9%+$116.17
Will Ja Morant be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$335Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+25%+$83.8
Will Anthony Davis be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$209Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+156.4%+$326.96
Will Keon Ellis be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$372Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$372.22
Will CJ McCollum be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$509Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$508.8
All 13 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Weather — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$7.92
CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$120.9
Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.6
Will 140 to 169 tornadoes occur in the United States in April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.08
Will February 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$101.27
Will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.92
Will Seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+138.1%+$241.28
Will there be at least 1,250 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$132.3
Will NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+127.3%+$282.24
Will January 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$279Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+35.1%+$98.02
Will NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+27.4%+$123.24
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$495Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$495.39
All 12 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+27.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$444Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+71.2%+$316.58
Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+25%+$55
Will Marty Supreme win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.04
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.85
Will Frankenstein win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$457Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$304.4
Will Liz Patrick - SNL50: The Anniversary Special win Best Director of Variety at the 78th DGA Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$728Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+31.6%+$229.92
Will 2000 Meters to Andriivka be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+455.6%+$218.94
Will Ariana Grande be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$139.23
Will Jennifer Venditti (Marty Supreme) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$10.78
All 9 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick41cpaid-77%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
World Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+25%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+20.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sandefjord Fotball win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.94
Aberdeen FC vs. Celtic FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$238Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+35.1%+$83.46
Will NEC win on 2026-01-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$303Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+127.3%+$385.84
All 3 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$578Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$577.6
Spread: Ipswich Town FC (-1.5)backed Ipswich Town FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.1
Will Watford FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$129.03
All 3 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-55.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.57per pick44cpaid+133.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$315Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+163.2%+$514.6
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+104.1%+$201.45
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+285.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+536.8%+$1,202.91
Will Bitcoin outperform Silver in February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+33.3%+$19.75
All 2 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+28.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.88per pick12cpaid+733.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$482.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Powell say "Data Center" during April press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$269Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$691.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the Atlantic Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$77.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons vs. IU Indy Jaguarsbacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+63.4%+$19.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Macarthur FC win on 2026-02-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+61.3%+$74.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stefon Diggs arrested by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$865Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+45.6%+$394.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Christian Menefee win the Texas House special election runoff by 15% or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$122.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$205.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jynxzi win the PogChamps chess tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.2
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.