Champions League · resolved market
Will Galatasaray advance to the round of 16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e2a2accc2734d7e3eabeafebe9be2c85d733b1dd2666bc5bcd99142fe69bb8f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $147,635
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $148,393
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $147,635 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 599 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed No | 16c | 15,508$2,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,434.3 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9106…afcbbacked No | 16c | 5,912$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.73 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked No | 17c | 4,814$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.44 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked No | 14c | 4,112$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.1 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 18c | 3,673$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.76 | 440 | 33.9%149 W · 291 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 16c | 3,147$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.51 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…65dcbacked No | 6c | 1,809$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.26 | 104 | 19.2%20 W · 84 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacb1…6de8backed Yes | 32c | 1,226$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +123.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c42…1616backed Yes | 32c | 1,190$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ad…5692backed No | 18c | 1,170$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.24per pick | 35cpaid | -84.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed No | 17c | 1,158$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.74 | 50 | 18%9 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1220…741abacked Yes | 32c | 1,028$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed7…b0a5backed Yes | 29c | 1,026$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 20cpaid | +338.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed Yes | 50c | 999.99$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +5.1wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b8…84e3backed No | 78c | 975$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked No | 8c | 970$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.6 | 119 | 16.8%20 W · 99 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a10…e7d3backed Yes | 32c | 965$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +48%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbe…04b4backed Yes | 32c | 957$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +124%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe394…289cbacked No | 52c | 956.07$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.1 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +5.7wins | +0.25per pick | 49cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xccba…11f0backed No | 75c | 907.34$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 69cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd8…757abacked No | 68c | 901$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.68 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e08…7e2ebacked No | 68c | 896$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked No | 12c | 867.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 106 | 31.1%33 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab92…15ddbacked No | 69c | 842$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.98 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +94.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x169a…55e4backed No | 71c | 787$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f33…81f6backed Yes | 32c | 781$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…9a60backed Yes | 31c | 752$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.75per pick | 26cpaid | +311.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58fe…a8c5backed No | 69c | 728$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x722f…f17fbacked Yes | 31c | 727$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5383…88f0backed No | 69c | 727$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad5…6f41backed No | 68c | 720$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x646f…23c3backed No | 69c | 684$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe87e…4f70backed No | 71c | 682$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66a7…6569backed No | 14c | 681$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb212…0f8ebacked No | 14c | 645$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c6c…26e0backed Yes | 29c | 636$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef37…f2bcbacked No | 15c | 634$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c90…17fbbacked No | 68c | 613$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…2393backed No | 69c | 605$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.45 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa645…0be6backed No | 19c | 600$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb86e…e0ecbacked Yes | 31c | 577$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ef…095ebacked Yes | 30c | 573$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 21cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7d…5bc1backed No | 15c | 572$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 16cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d7c…a11bbacked Yes | 32c | 565$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd41…3796backed Yes | 31c | 553$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae4…d837backed No | 70c | 547$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f5…8e1ebacked Yes | 31c | 526$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5885…6562backed Yes | 32c | 520$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked No | 9c | 502.33$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.51 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6789…52f9backed No | 69c | 502$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc771…e858backed No | 68c | 496$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 27c | 495.77$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.65 | 173 | 22%38 W · 135 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd29f…26b4backed No | 14c | 491$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.74 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe24a…fc69backed No | 15c | 485$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6956…dd15backed Yes | 58c | 484$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb407…a978backed Yes | 22c | 481$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14a1…ab45backed Yes | 80c | 480$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d22…da8bbacked Yes | 22c | 477$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.06 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +55%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8465…6cd7backed Yes | 32c | 473$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ae…8598backed Yes | 29c | 472$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb547…a237backed Yes | 32c | 465$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +285%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef3c…ca4fbacked No | 68c | 465$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aca…cad6backed No | 68c | 457$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1326…d13dbacked No | 68c | 453$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea5a…e6aebacked No | 68c | 451$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.68 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85b9…906dbacked No | 6c | 446$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.76 | 93 | 43%40 W · 53 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88f1…8e46backed Yes | 31c | 443$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +373.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x59d7…0217backed No | 68c | 440$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +136.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefc0…4942backed Yes | 32c | 440$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed No | 12c | 439.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.2 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d05…305bbacked No | 69c | 438$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.22 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 56cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…8191backed No | 68c | 433$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x910a…91a9backed Yes | 32c | 433$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.44 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2af0…dd99backed No | 39c | 429.61$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.1 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5be7…46eebacked No | 79c | 428$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.12 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe706…89bcbacked No | 9c | 422.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -5.1wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x968f…a539backed No | 69c | 417$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.73 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…7523backed No | 71c | 412$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5f…8a9bbacked Yes | 50c | 402$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a0…1f3dbacked No | 19c | 400.68$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…783bbacked No | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8401…a498backed No | 68c | 391$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc362…7f4fbacked No | 68c | 382$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.76 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed No | 48c | 376.35$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.27 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9859…0176backed Yes | 32c | 372$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.96 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa1…eb3abacked No | 68c | 372$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…92cabacked No | 71c | 371$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.41 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked No | 17c | 367$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.39 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54d5…b5cebacked Yes | 31c | 365$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +128.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7410…ad32backed Yes | 32c | 358$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd70e…0ac1backed No | 68c | 358$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce0f…a47fbacked Yes | 22c | 355$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked Yes | 30c | 346.61$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.77 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f6…f699backed Yes | 25c | 346.02$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.42 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…1214backed No | 15c | 341$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c3…9cefbacked No | 69c | 339$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.91 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf8…c7afbacked No | 68c | 331$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.08 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x193e…8449backed Yes | 22c | 319$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0b…c3cbbacked No | 6c | 302.24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c2…7f19backed Yes | 21c | 291$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.68per pick | 33cpaid | +251.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Galatasaray advance to the round of 16?this page
- Will Ajax advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Arsenal advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Atalanta advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Athletic Bilbao advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Atlético Madrid advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Barcelona advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Bayer Leverkusen advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Bayern Munich advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Benfica advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Bodø/Glimt advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Borussia Dortmund advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Chelsea advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Club Brugge advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Copenhagen advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Eintracht Frankfurt advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Inter Milan advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Juventus advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Kairat advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Liverpool advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Manchester City advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Marseille advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Monaco advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Napoli advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Newcastle United advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Olympiacos advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will PSV Eindhoven advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Pafos advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Paris Saint-Germain advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Qarabağ advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Real Madrid advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Slavia Prague advance to the round of 16?No won
- Will Sporting CP advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Tottenham Hotspur advance to the round of 16?Yes won
- Will Union Saint-Gilloise advance to the round of 16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.