TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf6ef…095e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
109
Categories scored
24
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: AI, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category AI at 58 out of 100; worst Movies at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2254.5%12 W · 10 L+3.5wins+0.16per pick39cpaid+58.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
AI — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Google Gemini score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.54
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.28
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$355Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$355.32
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$154.16
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.83
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$231.42
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$234.24
Will Craig Federighi be the next CEO of Apple?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.1
Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.86
Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$122.4
Will Tesla deliver between 350000 and 375000 vehicles in Q1 2026backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$614.9
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$370.44
Will Larry Page be 2nd richest person on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$108.55
Will Sergey Brin be 3rd richest person on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$273Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+150.5%+$411
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$489Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+119.4%+$583.94
Will Jensen Huang say "Alpamayo" at the NVIDIA GTC keynote?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$159
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.50 (HIGH) by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+66.7%+$46
Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+376.2%+$82.95
Will "Microsoft" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$382Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+51.5%+$196.86
Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+257.1%+$201.6
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+62.2%+$107.78
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+85.2%+$124.77
All 22 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+21.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$354Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$354.2
Will Venezuela recognize Israel by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.52
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+203%+$136.68
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$313Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$88.22
Military action against Iran ends by April 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$370.04
Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$160.82
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 25, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$541Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$540.9
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$426Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$200.64
US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$426Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+25%+$106.6
Nothing Ever Happens: Khameneibacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+488.2%+$219.12
Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+127.3%+$183.68
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+78.6%+$75.68
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+72.4%+$136.92
Will Israel strike 3 countries in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$53.12
Will Israel strike ≤1 countries in January 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$314Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$313.5
Hezbollah strike on Israel by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$96
Will Donald Trump say "Syria" during Israel President events on December 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$297Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+88.7%+$263.67
All 17 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+41.3%+$100.56
Will the Phoenix Suns make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$186.4
Will Cade Cunningham lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+66.9%+$187.67
Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.44
Will the New York Knicks win more than 53.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$227.54
Will the New York Knicks win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$112.75
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder finish with the best record in the NBA?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.61
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.08
Will the Milwaukee Bucks make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$304Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+25%+$76
Will the San Antonio Spurs make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$26.4
Cam Spencer: Assists Over 8.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+29.7%+$30.23
Will Ja Morant be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$72.48
All 12 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+45.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Weather — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.77
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+97.5%+$132.29
Named storm forms before hurricane season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$46.8
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Will there be at least 1,200 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$119.4
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 5 be between 60 and 70?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$34.73
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+426.3%+$291.6
Will global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in December 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+300%+$320.25
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+61.6%+$118.87
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$68.73
Will NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$965Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+33.3%+$321.75
All 11 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.24per pick51cpaid-50%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Movies — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+69.8%+$124.53
No one announced as next James Bond?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+150%+$327
Will "Sex" be said at the Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$734Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$734.32
Will The Perfect Neighbor win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$481Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$480.96
Will Train Dreams win Best Feature at the 41st Film Independent Spirit Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$58.88
Will Adam Sandler be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$147.41
Will Cutting Through Rocks be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$395Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$394.5
Will Jennifer Venditti (Marty Supreme) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$214.69
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 27m and 30m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$92.18
Will Hannah Einbinder (Hacks) win Best Supporting Actress – Television at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+29.9%+$41.86
Will "The Grinch" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (December 30, 2025)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$334Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$333.96
All 11 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-29.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+43.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick21cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Galatasaray advance to the round of 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+233.3%+$401.1
Will Qarabağ advance to the round of 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$61.71
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+150%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-01-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$172.98
Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+400%+$164
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stefon Diggs arrested by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$268Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$89.25
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers make the playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$217.14
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Viking FK win on 2026-04-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$427Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$427.2
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-02-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$318Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+44.9%+$142.91
All 2 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+222.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will three people dissent the December Fed decision?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+222.6%+$24.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oregon and Miami win their 2026 CFP semifinal games?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+61.3%+$26.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia enter Toretske by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+49.3%+$69.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+35.1%+$69.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Logan Paul Break 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 500k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+29.9%+$107.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$16.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Washington Capitals win the Metropolitan Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-04-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$401Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$400.61
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.