TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Us Politics · resolved market

Will Al Gore be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$11,840
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$11,800

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,840 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Us Politics
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1dd8…757abacked Yes11c1,258$138 inLost-$138.38333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-50.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bac…8684backed Yes5c639.49$32 inLost-$31.97911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick15cpaid-78.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd41…3796backed Yes26c577$150 inLost-$150.02250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ab…56e8backed No74c472$349 inWon+$122.72475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae18…1132backed No74c450$333 inWon+$1172100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick71cpaid+42.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadbd…93f9backed Yes26c432$112 inLost-$112.3230%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcabd…3764backed Yes14c388$54 inLost-$54.3220%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7a8…7efabacked Yes26c366$95 inLost-$95.16475%3 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.38per pick37cpaid+170.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7bd4…c334backed No74c366$271 inWon+$95.16366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea5a…e6aebacked Yes25c360$90 inLost-$90450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-23.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87d6…9357backed No75c360$270 inWon+$901100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6ef…095ebacked No68c212$144 inWon+$67.84250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b79…360fbacked Yes32c212$68 inLost-$67.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82aa…2393backed No74c178$132 inWon+$46.28333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-55%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad52…11acbacked Yes10c147.64$14 inLost-$14.3414528.3%41 W · 104 L+11.0wins+0.08per pick21cpaid+15.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc8ae…f471backed No71c118.69$84 inWon+$34.334266.7%28 W · 14 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick60cpaid-2.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x35f9…e09dbacked Yes41c96.15$40 inLost-$39.762615.4%4 W · 22 L-4.4wins-0.17per pick32cpaid-57%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xb767…9b51backed Yes26c91$24 inLost-$23.66450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-19.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabbd…f261backed No79c73.17$58 inWon+$15.17633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-57.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes26c68$18 inLost-$17.961,1366.3%72 W · 1,064 L-25.9wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-55.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed Yes20c56.55$11 inLost-$11.3333618.5%62 W · 274 L-46.5wins-0.14per pick32cpaid-60%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x010f…7730backed No64c50$32 inWon+$18.16100%6 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+53.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6684…95d1backed No64c23.4$15 inWon+$8.43855.3%21 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.