TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x87d6…9357

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
58
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Middle East, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 54 out of 100; worst Movies at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+29.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.94
US strikes Yemen by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$378Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$194.82
Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$323Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+285.7%+$923.73
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$296.1
Will Israel strike 3 countries in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$34.08
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.65
Will US or Israel strike Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+96.1%+$162.68
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$76.54
Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 20% in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$346Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+33.3%+$115.25
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$411Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+127.3%+$523.04
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+233.3%+$240.8
All 11 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$145.54
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.75 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.6
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $3.00 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.08
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$165.24
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$273Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$272.8
Another critical Cloudflare incident by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.77
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$63.44
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.6
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.50 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$375Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$374.68
Will OpenAI GPT score at least 35% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$287Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$702.19
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$37.44
All 11 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.23per pick45cpaid-65.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Movies — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "You, Me & Tuscany" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 10m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$254Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$254.07
Will Sinners win Best Sound at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.72
Will "Sentimental Value" win no awards at the Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.68
Will The Secret Agent win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$12.03
Will Zendaya attend the Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$130.29
Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress in a Motion Picture at the 2026 SAG Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$233.73
Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress in a Motion Picture at the 2026 SAG Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$75.84
Will "Wuthering Heights" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 59m and 65m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$100.13
Will Eva Victor - Sorry, Baby win Best First-Time Director of a Theatrical Feature Film at the 78th DGA Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$254Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$253.55
All 9 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+38.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$91.5
Will Green Left be part of the next Government of Denmark?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.02
Will Fidesz-KDNP win 70-84 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.81
UK Cabinet Minister resigns by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$83.22
Will Albin Kurti be the next Prime Minister of Kosovo?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+484.8%+$210.57
Will Keir Starmer say "Dialogue" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$82.95
Will Keir Starmer say "Affordable" or "Affordability" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+222.6%+$228.39
Will Keir Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 15+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$121.04
All 8 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
IPO — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Antti Paalanen win UMK 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$102.41
Will Vanilla Ninja win Eesti Laul 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$148.68
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.89per pick11cpaid+809.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$86.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$173.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-02-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$258Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+51.5%+$132.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Brugge advance to the round of 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$289Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+35.1%+$101.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Gore be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+33.3%+$90
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$298Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$99.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Jump ball" be said at the Super Bowl?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$59.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$207.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2025-12-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$680Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$680.34
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.