World Politics · resolved market
Will Green Left be part of the next Government of Denmark?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xded7e84b9452327b6382d9c8ffa6251c85771d216657a9834f38dc8acc1fd0b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,408
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,224
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,408 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc336…9f48backed Yes | 80c | 3,346$2,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.2 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7e…a7b0backed No | 63c | 3,039$1,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900.86 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x253f…e642backed No | 20c | 2,599$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2e…2358backed No | 16c | 2,553$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.39 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…c40bbacked Yes | 73c | 1,977$1,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.93 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…ca7abacked No | 18c | 1,969$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.35 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | +28.4wins | +0.25per pick | 24cpaid | +106.5%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xab38…77febacked Yes | 80c | 1,891$1,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.2 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b69…6622backed Yes | 80c | 1,456$1,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…d77dbacked No | 20c | 1,360$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbd…6e72backed No | 20c | 1,228$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.68 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +18.2wins | +0.22per pick | 32cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x90ec…62aabacked No | 20c | 1,075$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3af9…2cdbbacked No | 20c | 1,035$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08c7…a868backed No | 26c | 868.53$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 32c | 809$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.23 | 76 | 18.4%14 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…293cbacked Yes | 27c | 777$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.21 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…1214backed No | 73c | 776$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.48 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce71…83bcbacked Yes | 41c | 704.22$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.24 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7588…4291backed No | 27c | 695.47$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb8…ec8dbacked No | 20c | 673$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.6 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c86…b75ebacked Yes | 80c | 673$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.6 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +108.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8adf…44f4backed Yes | 62c | 630.8$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63c2…ca53backed No | 20c | 624$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.8 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 56cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked No | 53c | 564.78$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.85 | 261 | 39.8%104 W · 157 L | +16.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbecc…f560backed No | 20c | 531.83$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.37 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5421…449cbacked Yes | 61c | 514.95$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +6.7wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf14b…7661backed Yes | 24c | 465.13$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +105.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3087…f8fbbacked Yes | 18c | 435$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.7 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 36cpaid | +110.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe28a…5f26backed Yes | 27c | 409.09$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.67 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e7…4cdebacked Yes | 42c | 381.54$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.54 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2738…358abacked Yes | 71c | 308.66$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x526e…3bd0backed No | 57c | 291.75$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.6 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d1c…595dbacked Yes | 73c | 246.47$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca6…8e5ebacked Yes | 52c | 223.2$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Yes | 78c | 213.67$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.01 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a5e…81ffbacked No | 22c | 213.67$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.01 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…8ddabacked No | 20c | 211.91$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x929a…5ab4backed Yes | 39c | 198.27$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.02 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87d6…9357backed No | 73c | 174$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.02 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4346…2241backed Yes | 27c | 174$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.02 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 20c | 165.13$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.83 | 463 | 30.2%140 W · 323 L | -20.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8030…7b74backed No | 29c | 161.73$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.9 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +15.2wins | +0.28per pick | 31cpaid | +73.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x52e8…4b41backed Yes | 68c | 158.07$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe804…735cbacked Yes | 64c | 156.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9761…658abacked Yes | 70c | 153.25$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14b2…ac16backed No | 22c | 150$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x103f…ac3abacked Yes | 54c | 127.84$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a2…9981backed Yes | 49c | 115.44$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.44 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fda…6c62backed Yes | 46c | 108.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.37 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf903…e028backed Yes | 47c | 106.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.97 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 29cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 27c | 105$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a49…dc2dbacked Yes | 21c | 105$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb865…22eabacked Yes | 31c | 102.65$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.12 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +109.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf4…59b4backed Yes | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7b…2d1abacked Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f08…54d3backed Yes | 51c | 98.03$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.03 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdad6…0d14backed Yes | 29c | 94.66$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.02 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaedf…8617backed No | 58c | 85.82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b3…cfd0backed Yes | 36c | 80.26$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +176.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 44c | 72.19$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.77 | 990 | 17.2%170 W · 820 L | -148.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed No | 26c | 69.35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.03 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 73c | 66.62$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51b8…2083backed Yes | 38c | 65.9$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.56 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +108.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed Yes | 36c | 65.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.93 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41f7…0d95backed Yes | 45c | 64.44$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x372e…ee1ebacked Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61dd…1807backed Yes | 63c | 54.36$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2552…c45ebacked No | 30c | 50.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa58b…ef84backed Yes | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 63cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14eb…b7f6backed Yes | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf564…2ed8backed Yes | 49c | 49.98$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6a…b06bbacked Yes | 38c | 48.51$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked Yes | 63c | 46.76$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 150 | 76%114 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 74cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa589…aa13backed No | 61c | 45.9$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58e0…337cbacked No | 44c | 44.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4564…1c05backed Yes | 46c | 39.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a2…0fdbbacked No | 26c | 39.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee8e…9f3bbacked No | 31c | 34.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda24…a490backed No | 31c | 33.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe22…152fbacked No | 31c | 33.57$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3fa…d2e7backed No | 32c | 33.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb679…0e5ebacked No | 37c | 32.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3566…10febacked No | 33c | 32.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -73%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…eeb9backed No | 35c | 29.23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 42c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.51 | 444 | 28.8%128 W · 316 L | -67.6wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9f57…c3acbacked Yes | 48c | 24.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.61 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x257e…f256backed Yes | 65c | 23.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6985…afdfbacked Yes | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f44…8202backed No | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e64…3921backed Yes | 80c | 18.07$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf6…8ee0backed Yes | 75c | 16.77$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Green Left be part of the next Government of Denmark?this page
- Will Citizens’ Party be part of the next Government of Denmark?No won
- Will Conservative People’s Party be part of the next Government of Denmark?No won
- Will Danish People’s Party be part of the next Government of Denmark?No won
- Will Danish Social Liberal Party be part of the next Government of Denmark?Yes won
- Will Denmark Democrats be part of the next Government of Denmark?No won
- Will Inuit Ataqatigiit be part of the next Government of Denmark?No won
- Will Liberal Alliance be part of the next Government of Denmark?No won
- Will Moderates be part of the next Government of Denmark?Yes won
- Will Red–Green Alliance be part of the next Government of Denmark?No won
- Will The Alternative be part of the next Government of Denmark?No won
- Will Union Party be part of the next Government of Denmark?No won
- Will Venstre be part of the next Government of Denmark?No won
- Will the Social Democratic Party (Faroe Islands) be part of the next Government of Denmark?No won
- Will the Social Democrats be part of the next Government of Denmark?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.