TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x4346…2241

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
196
Categories scored
30
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: World Politics, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 56 out of 100; worst Music at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT3250%16 W · 16 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Movies — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No one announced as next James Bond?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$358Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+144.9%+$518.36
Will One Battle After Another win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$212.38
Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.92
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$77.28
Will Rhea Seehorn win Best Actress in a Drama Series at the 2026 SAG Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+354.5%+$505.44
Will "The Night Agent: Season 3" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$27.54
Will "One Battle After Another" win Best Film at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$17.64
Will "Crime 101" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 17m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+132.6%+$81.51
Will "The Lincoln Lawyer: Season 4" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$175.62
Will Woo Seung-min make a final pair in Single's Inferno: Season 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$17.05
Will Wicked: For Good win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+38.9%+$36.68
Will Robin D. Cook (Frankenstein) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+56.6%+$53.48
Will George Clooney be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+26.6%+$25.62
Will Amanda Seyfried be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+75.4%+$38.27
Will Jafar Panahi be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+257.1%+$233.28
Will The Perfect Neighbor be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+29.9%+$179.17
Will Tiffany Little Canfield & Bernard Telsey (Wicked: For Good) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+38.9%+$7.56
Will Ariana Grande be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+90.2%+$142.79
Will Little Amélie or the Character of Rain be nominated for Best Animated Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$56.43
Will The Testament of Ann Lee be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$36.72
Will No Other Choice be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$100.56
Will Chloé Zhao be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$367Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+26.6%+$97.44
Will F1 be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+528.9%+$204.36
Will Frankenstein be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+37%+$21.06
Will "Evil Influencer: The Jodi Hildebrandt Story" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (January 13, 2026)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$106.02
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT2850%14 W · 14 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$180.09
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+298.4%+$327.31
Will Chet Holmgren win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+32.7%+$22.45
Will the Phoenix Suns make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$17.16
Will the Orlando Magic make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$35.52
Will the Los Angeles Clippers make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$11.88
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.56
Will Cade Cunningham lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.23
Will Cason Wallace lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.8
Will Dyson Daniels lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$232Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$119.68
Will the New York Knicks win more than 53.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will the New York Knicks win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$219.53
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$452Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+113.7%+$514.59
Will the Atlanta Hawks make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.46
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder finish with the best record in the NBA?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.54
Will the Washington Wizards win more than 20.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$303Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+25.2%+$76.18
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.7
Will the Chicago Bulls make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+37%+$147.96
Will the Dallas Mavericks make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.66
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2025–2026 NBA Southwest Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.58
Will the Toronto Raptors win more than 39.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.8
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$513Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$153.18
Will the Orlando Magic win more than 51.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$242.28
Will the Milwaukee Bucks win more than 43.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.64
Cam Spencer: Assists Over 8.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$257Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+28%+$72.05
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT2437.5%9 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.08
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.68
Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$583Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$582.59
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.04
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.4
US strikes Yemen by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.54
US strikes Yemen by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$50.88
Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$215.82
Iran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+669.2%+$136.59
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$119.2
Will the US not strike Iran by April 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$177.23
U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$205.92
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$99.17
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$386Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+132.6%+$511.29
Will Trump say "Hell" during meeting with Netanyahu?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$378Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+69.5%+$262.81
Will Trump say "General" or "Bondi" during meeting with Netanyahu?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+38.9%+$72.52
Will Trump say "Iran" 7+ times during meeting with Netanyahu?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+117.4%+$226.26
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+270.4%+$244.55
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+40.8%+$90.77
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$268Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+51.5%+$138.04
Israel x Syria security agreement by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$32.23
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$13.55
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+61.3%+$73.34
Will Israel strike 2 countries in November 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$10.04
All 24 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$705Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$187.32
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+26%+$23.32
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$34.44
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$112.8
Another critical Cloudflare incident by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.94
Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$159.8
Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$405Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+150%+$607.8
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$302Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$257.14
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.45 (HIGH) by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$284Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+108.3%+$307.84
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $700b on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$43.12
Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$553Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$552.75
Will "Microsoft" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+334.8%+$167.86
Will Freecash - Get Paid Real Money be the #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+56.3%+$95.4
Google Gemini Parlaybacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+37%+$107.19
Nothing Ever Happens: AI Editionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$203.27
Will diVine launch iOS app by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+244.8%+$72.42
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$33.67
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$149.76
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$69.68
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$50.3
Will any Google Gemini 3 model score at least 1500 on LMArena by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$299Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+28.2%+$84.26
Will Tesla (TSLA) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of November 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$57.72
All 22 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT1931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-41%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Weather — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$627Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$626.67
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.01
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Will there be at least 1,200 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.37
Will there be at least 1,100 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+233.3%+$524.3
Will NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$174.66
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.19ºC in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$44.16
Will January 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$199.81
Will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$273Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+72.4%+$197.82
Will 90 to 119 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$86.79
Will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$359Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$359.15
Will global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$62.64
Will 2025 be the second hottest year on record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$14.81
Will fewer than 1550 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$154
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$492Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+51.5%+$253.3
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+49.3%+$19.8
Will November 2025 be the 2nd hottest on record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$12.81
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in November 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+85.2%+$54.28
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$232Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+29.2%+$67.8
All 19 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT1266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+39.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
World Politics — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Green Left be part of the next Government of Denmark?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$127.02
Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$580Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$340.4
Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win the 2026 Bulgarian Parliamentary election by 5-10%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$349Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$274.56
Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$234.71
Will The Greens win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$59.04
Will CD win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$422Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$180.9
Will PLN win the second most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+112.9%+$264.67
Will João Cotrim de Figueiredo win between 18% and 20% of votes in the first round?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$541Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+29.9%+$161.69
Will Luís Marques Mendes win more than 26% of votes in the first round?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$119.28
Will turnout in the second round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election be between 84% and 86%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$102.37
Will Ciprian Ciucu get between 25% and 30% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$51.66
Will Anca Alexandrescu get at least 25% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+25%+$47.8
All 12 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.16per pick61cpaid+26.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+35.5%+$90.36
Will Jabarie Walker be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Louisiana?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$133.7
Will Katie Porter advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+37%+$55.35
Will Keisha Lance Bottoms win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.57
Dems or GOP larger turnout in Texas Senate Primary?backed Dems · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$564Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$219.24
Will Ken Paxton come in 2nd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+194.1%+$132
Will John Cornyn come in 2nd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$103.32
Will Wesley Hunt come in 3rd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+57%+$90.05
Will Amanda Edwards win TX-18 Special Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$466Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+25%+$116.6
All 9 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.25per pick54cpaid-36.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-19.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Music — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+158.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Stocks — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick18cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-33.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+127.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Motherwell FC win on 2026-02-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$251Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$250.88
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-02-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$175.1
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran strike Ghawar Field by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.98
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.48
All 2 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.87per pick13cpaid+669.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the Pacific Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$78.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+110.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oscar Piastri finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+110.6%+$104
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the announcers say "Dana White" during Strickland vs. Hernandez?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+108.3%+$21.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+92.3%+$99.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be greater than 3.5%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$101.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atlético Madrid advance to the round of 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$50.37
All 1 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX have exactly 10 launches in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$263Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$263.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 140+ tweets from January 1 to January 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$459Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$459.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will three people dissent the December Fed decision?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$512Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$512.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$410Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$409.64
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.