Us Midterms · resolved market
Dems or GOP larger turnout in Texas Senate Primary?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x753b97e8082c848fb70086eba99dc2c98341f18d72c8ee4918395dbdb39390df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Demsof Dems, GOP
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,236
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,236 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed GOP | 23c | 14,330$3,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,312.32 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Dems | 79c | 6,350$5,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.64 | 115 | 22.6%26 W · 89 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked GOP | 20c | 2,200$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.99 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked GOP | 24c | 2,114$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.9 | 165 | 44.2%73 W · 92 L | +10.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked GOP | 25c | 1,906$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.63 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 21cpaid | -89.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed GOP | 16c | 1,790$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.52 | 272 | 22.1%60 W · 212 L | -15.0wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked Dems | 70c | 1,556$1,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.91 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +18.5wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x000d…758ebacked Dems | 67c | 1,523$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.69 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed GOP | 24c | 1,216$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.72 | 343 | 33.5%115 W · 228 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed GOP | 21c | 1,202$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.38 | 244 | 33.2%81 W · 163 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…1d43backed Dems | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Dems | 80c | 800$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4346…2241backed Dems | 72c | 783$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.24 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9163…82aebacked GOP | 19c | 760$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.34 | 140 | 19.3%27 W · 113 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d9…08d2backed GOP | 23c | 748$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.04 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked GOP | 27c | 723.52$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.86 | 124 | 40.3%50 W · 74 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd001…3ceabacked Dems | 77c | 666$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Dems | 54c | 650.71$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.38 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd4…c334backed GOP | 28c | 478$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7022…f64ebacked GOP | 33c | 394.11$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.68 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee5e…7f1cbacked Dems | 77c | 365.43$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.44 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b91…ae77backed GOP | 19c | 360$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.3 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc04c…44ffbacked GOP | 17c | 346$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.82 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b2…4cebbacked GOP | 13c | 337.1$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.11 | 50 | 18%9 W · 41 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72a2…7b65backed Dems | 70c | 313.88$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.27 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef3…1c88backed GOP | 13c | 308.51$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x213c…92eebacked Dems | 75c | 300.14$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c51…a829backed GOP | 28c | 300$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c55…8e08backed GOP | 31c | 297.99$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa6…54a4backed Dems | 78c | 282.65$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3106…d672backed Dems | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Dems | 74c | 264.46$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.26 | 341 | 29.3%100 W · 241 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb120…f2ffbacked GOP | 35c | 248.14$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.85 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Dems | 77c | 213.65$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.15 | 332 | 38.6%128 W · 204 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed GOP | 43c | 209.9$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.92 | 450 | 35.1%158 W · 292 L | -37.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed Dems | 79c | 204.7$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.99 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad70…4ccfbacked GOP | 11c | 200$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x420e…e3c9backed Dems | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8b…f894backed GOP | 42c | 186$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.24 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed Dems | 42c | 170$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.6 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa247…b7a2backed Dems | 74c | 168.57$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf193…6f39backed GOP | 31c | 159.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e6…9767backed Dems | 70c | 149.99$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc79f…e3febacked GOP | 25c | 146.43$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.31 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 18cpaid | -75%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16c0…38acbacked GOP | 25c | 145.48$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.12 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -83.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0682…63e0backed GOP | 34c | 142$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9e…154abacked Dems | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f6…1905backed Dems | 72c | 137.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.98 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e67…77adbacked Dems | 70c | 134$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4665…7fc7backed GOP | 31c | 131$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85a9…bb66backed Dems | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8555…ef94backed GOP | 35c | 116$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92e5…efeebacked Dems | 80c | 111$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed GOP | 22c | 107.28$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.66 | 133 | 17.3%23 W · 110 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8c…ad4bbacked GOP | 22c | 103.81$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.74 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -33%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58ff…7e02backed GOP | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0327…5e15backed Dems | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.73 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9370…9e88backed Dems | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f72…2d55backed GOP | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…580fbacked GOP | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Dems | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 669 | 14.8%99 W · 570 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -66%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9934…6078backed GOP | 32c | 97.32$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.14 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc5…610ebacked GOP | 27c | 93.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked GOP | 46c | 88.71$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.81 | 334 | 21.9%73 W · 261 L | -23.8wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x563a…f578backed GOP | 25c | 84.08$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.02 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad8…9756backed Dems | 77c | 82$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x802d…e5babacked GOP | 42c | 80$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed GOP | 27c | 79.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 98 | 19.4%19 W · 79 L | -10.3wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3925…c094backed Dems | 72c | 76.66$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.8 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e71…39cebacked GOP | 18c | 75.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +4.5wins | +0.30per pick | 43cpaid | +71.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xccbd…f1b7backed GOP | 48c | 70$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4262…abaabacked Dems | 80c | 70$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4350…914cbacked Dems | 75c | 66.66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f74…6e19backed GOP | 46c | 65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked Dems | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5aa…c200backed Dems | 68c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 42cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce6…16a3backed GOP | 28c | 58.22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed GOP | 32c | 56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 495 | 11.5%57 W · 438 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4e…b978backed GOP | 25c | 55.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x442e…a738backed Dems | 76c | 54.02$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 62cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd482…355dbacked Dems | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc999…ca09backed GOP | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…086bbacked Dems | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b26…cf9abacked Dems | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed GOP | 23c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec87…e633backed Dems | 70c | 49.16$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd54…3e25backed Dems | 69c | 49$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a27…2fdcbacked Dems | 70c | 48.48$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…3401backed Dems | 65c | 46.29$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…671fbacked GOP | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e58…dba7backed Dems | 76c | 39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd45…c05ebacked Dems | 77c | 36.02$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.22 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…2c5bbacked Dems | 69c | 36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2520…ec19backed Dems | 65c | 35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x248d…e706backed Dems | 72c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6464…7899backed GOP | 33c | 33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef3d…a928backed Dems | 71c | 33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc51…e74abacked Dems | 65c | 32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2a…5829backed Dems | 69c | 31$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3af…a5cfbacked Dems | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +88%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.