TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x213c…92ee

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
90
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: NFL, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 57 out of 100; worst NBA at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST4269%29 W · 13 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NFL — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Now here's a guy" be said at the Super Bowl?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will "Mahomes" be said at the Super Bowl?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 45.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+92.3%+$27.69
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+47.1%+$18.82
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+78.6%+$15.71
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+100%+$100
Eagles vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Bengals vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+40.8%+$40.85
Dolphins vs. Jetsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+72.4%+$21.72
Commanders vs. Vikingsbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Bills vs. Steelersbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+56.3%+$56.25
Chiefs vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+163.2%+$32.63
Packers vs. Lionsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+143.9%+$28.78
Bills vs. Texansbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$120
Buccaneers vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+40.8%+$40.85
Chiefs vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+117.4%+$54
Bills vs. Panthersbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$21.66
Bills vs. Falconsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
Lions vs. Chiefsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Seahawks vs. Jaguarsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
Patriots vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Cowboys vs. Jetsbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
Jets vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$9.84
Raiders vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$15.51
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST1060%6 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$432Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$432
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+96.1%+$38.43
Will Curtis Sliwa drop out?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+37.3%+$81.97
Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
US-Iran nuclear deal before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$70
50% tariff goes into effect on EU by June 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$13.48
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$77.78
Will Elon Musk be a member of the Trump administration? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Trump nominates Elon Musk to Cabinet?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST+26.6%+$7.97
All 10 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick41cpaid-54.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick78cpaid-3.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid+11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
McNeese State vs. Clemsonbacked Clemson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Creighton vs. Louisvillebacked Creighton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$73.33
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Padres vs. Brewersbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$14.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+81.8%+$81.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST+37%+$11.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Aug 10, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the USA win Gold in Men's Basketball?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$680Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2024, EDT+26.6%+$180.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,900 (HIGH) in March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "People We Meet on Vacation" be the top US Netflix movie this week? (January 13, 2026)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$10.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon: Rinderknech vs. Zverevbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.94
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.