NFL · resolved market
Packers vs. Lions
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe77c389d59082205bc4f8881a21902aaecbde16521f6182f6a7782ce710905bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Packersof Packers, Lions
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,675,686
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,157,431
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,675,686 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,666 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb744…5210backed Packers | 40c | 1,765,710$702,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063,360.61 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a55…f9bebacked Lions | 60c | 1,169,012$701,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701,407.22 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2643…39aebacked Packers | 41c | 496,500$201,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294,913.26 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Lions | 59c | 421,983$248,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248,496.14 | 274 | 54.7%150 W · 124 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Lions | 60c | 200,000$119,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119,230.68 | 103 | 33%34 W · 69 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0b…9f41backed Lions | 61c | 192,886$117,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117,660.35 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Lions | 32c | 188,545$60,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60,912.2 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…8e50backed Lions | 25c | 113,747$27,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,915.97 | 100 | 26%26 W · 74 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Packers | 40c | 110,000$44,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66,000 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked Lions | 60c | 102,000$61,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61,200 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Lions | 56c | 91,000$50,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,910 | 246 | 52%128 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Lions | 50c | 80,062$40,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,000 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Packers | 40c | 79,999$32,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,599.47 | 312 | 40.7%127 W · 185 L | -22.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Packers | 40c | 75,000$30,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,000 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Lions | 59c | 74,078$43,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,705.91 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Lions | 60c | 70,000$42,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,000.02 | 111 | 68.5%76 W · 35 L | +18.5wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Lions | 60c | 68,500$41,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,285 | 207 | 55.1%114 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca36…1e9cbacked Packers | 39c | 60,000$23,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,600 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Lions | 61c | 51,566$31,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,436.74 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Packers | 40c | 50,000$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,000 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Packers | 40c | 50,000$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,999.94 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +10.2wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Lions | 60c | 49,784$29,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,870.4 | 259 | 56.8%147 W · 112 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Packers | 66c | 45,341$29,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,600.47 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked Packers | 51c | 40,000$20,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,600.61 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Packers | 40c | 39,356$15,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,613.61 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Lions | 12c | 36,368$4,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,466.14 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Lions | 25c | 34,906$8,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,868.88 | 121 | 38.8%47 W · 74 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Packers | 42c | 34,041$14,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,720.56 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Lions | 61c | 32,787$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -6.3wins | -0.20per pick | 46cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb351…5fbfbacked Lions | 12c | 32,587$3,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,937.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Lions | 28c | 32,246$9,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,178.69 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96e1…50aabacked Lions | 18c | 31,752$5,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,661.39 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a38…8fb5backed Packers | 41c | 31,680$12,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,691.49 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Lions | 17c | 30,673$5,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,176.43 | 192 | 35.4%68 W · 124 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Packers | 39c | 30,221$11,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,434.96 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Lions | 60c | 30,000$18,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,000 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +134.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Lions | 48c | 30,000$14,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,400 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ab…ded1backed Packers | 58c | 29,836$17,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,436.37 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Packers | 60c | 29,373$17,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,635.25 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f4…efebbacked Lions | 60c | 28,000$16,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,760 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Packers | 40c | 26,049$10,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,732.2 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed Lions | 26c | 25,655$6,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,670.3 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0140…9028backed Packers | 42c | 25,200$10,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,616 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68df…4815backed Lions | 61c | 25,000$15,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,250 | 181 | 56.9%103 W · 78 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Packers | 63c | 22,041$13,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,234.15 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Lions | 28c | 21,942$6,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,106.99 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c6f…89b9backed Packers | 40c | 21,465$8,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,772.37 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Lions | 60c | 20,062$12,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,037.43 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…2657backed Packers | 42c | 20,003$8,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,601.76 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.23per pick | 36cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Lions | 60c | 20,000$12,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,000 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67f9…d241backed Lions | 21c | 20,000$4,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,150 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -42%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Packers | 40c | 20,000$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,999.88 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Lions | 60c | 18,740$11,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,243.99 | 251 | 37.5%94 W · 157 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x19fd…5838backed Lions | 40c | 17,911$7,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,138.39 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f2…702cbacked Lions | 54c | 17,307$9,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,329.84 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0624…053fbacked Packers | 67c | 15,804$10,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,154.07 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Lions | 60c | 14,946$9,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,025 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c82…1f13backed Lions | 60c | 13,450$8,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,070 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 62cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Lions | 39c | 12,783$5,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,043.32 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4762…ba70backed Lions | 60c | 12,676$7,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,605.78 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde97…e43ebacked Lions | 21c | 12,599$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Packers | 40c | 12,488$4,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,492.5 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa704…b22ebacked Packers | 40c | 12,450$4,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,470 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Packers | 40c | 12,221$4,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,388.15 | 240 | 56.7%136 W · 104 L | +19.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Lions | 15c | 11,910$1,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,751.52 | 232 | 44.4%103 W · 129 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…b245backed Packers | 40c | 11,111$4,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,666.59 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Lions | 60c | 10,963$6,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,577.74 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Lions | 60c | 10,733$6,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,388.01 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Packers | 40c | 10,600$4,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,360 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x188c…c62bbacked Packers | 54c | 10,516$5,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,849.71 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Lions | 59c | 10,000$5,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,900 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ab…f2c3backed Lions | 61c | 10,000$6,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,100 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Lions | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 129 | 44.2%57 W · 72 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Packers | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…c9b4backed Lions | 60c | 10,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 181 | 40.9%74 W · 107 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27cb…169ebacked Packers | 40c | 10,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,999.96 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9769…7cd7backed Lions | 39c | 9,941$3,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,834.72 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…4b9dbacked Lions | 51c | 9,786$4,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,990.9 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Lions | 56c | 9,323$5,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,235.32 | 257 | 44.4%114 W · 143 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5d…f75dbacked Packers | 41c | 9,268$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,468.29 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Lions | 61c | 9,135$5,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,570.81 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x702d…a37fbacked Lions | 60c | 8,900$5,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,340 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb60…137abacked Lions | 28c | 8,412$2,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,330.59 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Lions | 39c | 8,291$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,199.76 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Packers | 63c | 8,142$5,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,002.17 | 310 | 56.8%176 W · 134 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Packers | 39c | 8,000$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,849.96 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Lions | 59c | 7,849$4,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,609.48 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50be…371bbacked Lions | 60c | 7,517$4,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,510.46 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Lions | 59c | 7,483$4,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,414.95 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Packers | 41c | 7,302$2,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,308.44 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Lions | 58c | 7,190$4,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,170.2 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb78…5206backed Packers | 50c | 6,917$3,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,466.9 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7d…ec26backed Lions | 53c | 6,871$3,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,628.67 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.8wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b22…c59cbacked Lions | 42c | 6,806$2,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,858.58 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecd…a578backed Lions | 59c | 6,750$3,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,982.48 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Lions | 12c | 6,651$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.26 | 315 | 43.2%136 W · 179 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Lions | 34c | 6,611$2,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,223.32 | 333 | 28.5%95 W · 238 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lions | 30c | 6,591$2,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.58 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9249…4f16backed Packers | 42c | 6,562$2,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,790.29 | 176 | 47.7%84 W · 92 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Lions | 57c | 6,169$3,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,527.27 | 318 | 54.7%174 W · 144 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Packers vs. Lionsthis page
- Packers vs. Lions: 1H MoneylinePackers won
- Packers vs. Lions: 1H O/U 24.5Over won
- Packers vs. Lions: O/U 48.5Over won
- Packers vs. Lions: O/U 53.5Over won
- Packers vs. Lions: O/U 54.5Over won
- Packers vs. Lions: O/U 64.5Under won
- Packers vs. Lions: O/U 65.5Under won
- Spread: Lions (-2.5)Packers won
- Spread: Lions (-3.5)Packers won
- Spread: Packers (-1.5)Packers won
- Spread: Packers (-2.5)Packers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.