NFL · resolved market
Spread: Lions (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a2ff55ea60dbc79cfa41bbb58ebf95b3da351dfafce08a3ea368429aaf47db7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Packersof Lions, Packers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $205,906
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $225,432
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $205,906 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Lions | 45c | 60,058$27,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,176.82 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Packers | 55c | 50,000$27,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,500 | 312 | 40.7%127 W · 185 L | -22.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Lions | 44c | 25,663$11,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,288.58 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c6f…89b9backed Packers | 56c | 25,448$14,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,301.66 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0292…4211backed Packers | 55c | 21,822$12,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,819.7 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Packers | 54c | 20,000$10,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,197.39 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07c8…2696backed Packers | 57c | 12,298$6,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,302.68 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +7.1wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Lions | 45c | 10,275$4,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,623.75 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Lions | 45c | 7,278$3,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,283.03 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Lions | 45c | 5,533$2,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,489.85 | 146 | 41.8%61 W · 85 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d6…34e3backed Lions | 45c | 5,197$2,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,338.57 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe13e…c564backed Lions | 44c | 4,533$1,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,974.69 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Lions | 44c | 4,445$1,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,942.63 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Packers | 71c | 4,204$2,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,221.2 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Packers | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…a89abacked Lions | 45c | 3,963$1,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,781.46 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -5.8wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Lions | 29c | 3,768$1,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,092.72 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Lions | 43c | 3,468$1,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,492.19 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Packers | 56c | 3,333$1,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,466.52 | 240 | 56.7%136 W · 104 L | +19.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Lions | 44c | 3,323$1,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,462.12 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed Lions | 46c | 3,261$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Lions | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 239 | 37.7%90 W · 149 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Packers | 56c | 2,676$1,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.64 | 155 | 55.5%86 W · 69 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe727…5e8dbacked Packers | 56c | 2,321$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.43 | 175 | 48%84 W · 91 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Packers | 55c | 2,222$1,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.89 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Packers | 56c | 1,906$1,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.6 | 206 | 61.2%126 W · 80 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Packers | 57c | 1,766$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.12 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Packers | 58c | 1,700$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Lions | 43c | 1,603$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.45 | 392 | 42.6%167 W · 225 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Lions | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 194 | 36.6%71 W · 123 L | -14.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Lions | 44c | 1,246$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.47 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x462d…ce9bbacked Lions | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Lions | 43c | 1,105$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.34 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bf…b567backed Lions | 43c | 1,062$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.73 | 120 | 39.2%47 W · 73 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab9…5b82backed Lions | 45c | 1,042$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.45 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Packers | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 136 | 41.2%56 W · 80 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Packers | 55c | 898.06$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.12 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb744…5210backed Packers | 55c | 718.96$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.53 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Packers | 54c | 700$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 236 | 47%111 W · 125 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf5…6638backed Lions | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 116 | 37.9%44 W · 72 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4a…2215backed Lions | 44c | 619.43$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.55 | 172 | 48.3%83 W · 89 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +41%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a12…c0d6backed Packers | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Lions | 44c | 499.98$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.33 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8839…8a3ebacked Lions | 43c | 482.07$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.95 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Packers | 56c | 456$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.64 | 110 | 47.3%52 W · 58 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Lions | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 163 | 51.5%84 W · 79 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Lions | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31cd…cecabacked Lions | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Packers | 54c | 434$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.64 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f7…b542backed Lions | 45c | 422.22$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc9…58c7backed Packers | 56c | 410.16$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.47 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d89…40a4backed Packers | 55c | 400$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68db…e12bbacked Packers | 58c | 400$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 134 | 35.8%48 W · 86 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc2…0933backed Lions | 45c | 386$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.53 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c38…dbf9backed Packers | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32da…b112backed Lions | 44c | 354.82$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.12 | 39 | 74.4%29 W · 10 L | +6.1wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Lions | 30c | 353$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.34 | 356 | 48%171 W · 185 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f80…14cdbacked Packers | 56c | 350$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8854…0d9cbacked Lions | 45c | 350$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.5 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Lions | 42c | 269$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.98 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Lions | 43c | 231.51$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.91 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85a5…6721backed Packers | 55c | 227.27$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.27 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Lions | 44c | 222.64$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.96 | 175 | 47.4%83 W · 92 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Packers | 54c | 220$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.2 | 206 | 50.5%104 W · 102 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe08…10ebbacked Lions | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +27%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd660…dd8bbacked Packers | 56c | 180.13$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.26 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Packers | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 223 | 49.8%111 W · 112 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x183a…d514backed Packers | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 143 | 55.2%79 W · 64 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae7…cf61backed Packers | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa817…8d88backed Lions | 45c | 166.67$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9da3…a7efbacked Packers | 56c | 160.71$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.71 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa774…005fbacked Packers | 56c | 150$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2c…a85ebacked Lions | 44c | 145.45$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Lions | 45c | 116.2$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.73 | 363 | 41.9%152 W · 211 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18de…0b64backed Packers | 56c | 116$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.04 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +5.4wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7f55…bae8backed Lions | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 160 | 48.1%77 W · 83 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf326…52f9backed Lions | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b17…d5a3backed Lions | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x927f…e7e7backed Lions | 45c | 110$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 206 | 32%66 W · 140 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Packers | 57c | 110$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.3 | 182 | 45.6%83 W · 99 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabdf…3cbcbacked Lions | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Packers | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 553 | 45%249 W · 304 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5960…d692backed Packers | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397d…794fbacked Packers | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Packers | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 320 | 50.9%163 W · 157 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x697a…d5aabacked Lions | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f79…c16cbacked Packers | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Lions | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f8…0ff2backed Packers | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x843d…eafdbacked Lions | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02f7…b17abacked Packers | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0e…7288backed Packers | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf275…7050backed Packers | 56c | 77.54$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.98 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0488…aea5backed Lions | 45c | 73.33$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed Lions | 25c | 70.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb755…c5f5backed Lions | 45c | 68.89$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -3.9wins | -0.33per pick | 41cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ed…ce35backed Packers | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4b…84c9backed Lions | 45c | 47.29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99af…fedcbacked Packers | 55c | 44.96$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.23 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3552…f07bbacked Lions | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Lions (-3.5)this page
- Packers vs. LionsPackers won
- Packers vs. Lions: 1H MoneylinePackers won
- Packers vs. Lions: 1H O/U 24.5Over won
- Packers vs. Lions: O/U 48.5Over won
- Packers vs. Lions: O/U 53.5Over won
- Packers vs. Lions: O/U 54.5Over won
- Packers vs. Lions: O/U 64.5Under won
- Packers vs. Lions: O/U 65.5Under won
- Spread: Lions (-2.5)Packers won
- Spread: Packers (-1.5)Packers won
- Spread: Packers (-2.5)Packers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.