TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb755…c5f5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
30
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: UFC, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 53 out of 100; worst NFL at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texas A&M vs. LSUbacked LSU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$45
Tennessee vs. Alabamabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+37%+$19.97
Florida Gators vs. Texas A&Mbacked Texas A&M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+71.8%+$28.7
Georgia vs. Auburnbacked Auburn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
South Carolina vs. LSUbacked South Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Michigan vs. USCbacked USC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$20.85
Indiana vs. Oregonbacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$38
Oklahoma vs. Texasbacked Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+91.8%+$64.23
Alabama vs. Missouribacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+72.1%+$43.24
Georgia vs. Tennesseebacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+60.9%+$22.55
Clemson vs. Georgia Techbacked Clemson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.85
South Carolina vs. Clemsonbacked Clemson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2024, EST-100%-$12.66
All 12 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST128.3%1 W · 11 L-3.9wins-0.33per pick41cpaid-60.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
NFL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Lions (-3.5)backed Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$31
Buccaneers vs. Lionsbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Packers vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$75
Seahawks vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Cardinals vs. Coltsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
Rams vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Chiefs vs. Jaguarsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Patriots vs. Billsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT+376.2%+$79
Lions vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Titans vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Buccaneers vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$28
Chargers vs. Raidersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
All 12 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 12, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cubs vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$31.43
Brewers vs. Cubsbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Cubs vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
Brewers vs. Cardinalsbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
All 4 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+222.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ankalaev vs. Pereirabacked Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$61.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boxing: Canelo Álvarez vs. Terence Crawford backed Crawford · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+143.4%+$35.85
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.