TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Boxing · resolved market

Boxing: Canelo Álvarez vs. Terence Crawford

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Crawfordof Canelo, Crawford
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Boxingevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,343,880
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,233,416

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,343,880 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,491 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Boxing is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Boxing
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1496…a429backed Crawford38c964,900$366,811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$598,088.81520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-47.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Canelo61c723,622$440,698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440,697.68425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-68.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8628…6f0bbacked Canelo62c403,000$249,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249,86010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d0f…4faabacked Crawford39c341,620$132,372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209,247.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+158.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f58…0ff0backed Canelo1c310,000$3,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,100633.3%2 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick12cpaid+896.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbad…9c95backed Crawford38c295,238$111,238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183,999.82450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Crawford38c245,423$92,697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152,725.431233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-41.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Crawford39c205,067$79,976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125,090.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x93fc…34b6backed Canelo61c197,518$120,809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120,809.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Canelo62c184,796$115,468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115,467.55922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-67.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x25cc…9297backed Canelo62c173,208$107,343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107,343.530%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa4a…4f22backed Crawford39c167,697$65,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102,697.46250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+29%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe686…13cbbacked Crawford38c161,000$61,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99,929.96250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+31.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2ae…2a5fbacked Canelo62c150,000$93,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93,000333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-44.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa8c…a715backed Canelo61c116,210$70,888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70,888.2520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ce8…4527backed Crawford39c106,000$40,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65,159.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+159.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0979…8d9bbacked Canelo62c95,252$59,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59,056.06450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7320…28b4backed Canelo62c90,202$55,577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55,577.06333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-49.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdecc…c742backed Canelo59c84,119$49,893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,893.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1569…bf0cbacked Canelo62c80,674$50,018 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,018.06250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-26.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d79…a28fbacked Canelo62c80,621$49,985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,984.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked Crawford37c74,208$27,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47,021.31333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick21cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Canelo19c63,118$12,269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,269.1520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68df…4815backed Crawford39c62,750$24,473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,277.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+95.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e18…f52abacked Canelo62c55,000$34,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,100475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d61…12f6backed Canelo62c52,000$32,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,24020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x120e…5986backed Crawford36c51,550$18,558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,9921100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3eac…4c8cbacked Crawford39c51,283$20,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,282.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x33c2…9818backed Canelo62c47,255$29,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,199.91225%3 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-57.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Crawford39c45,000$17,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,450333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick20cpaid-14.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa983…46a3backed Crawford46c42,737$19,506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,230.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+119.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x052c…404ebacked Crawford38c42,734$16,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,384.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+161.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x398d…c7c3backed Canelo57c41,690$23,630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,629.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae81…aafbbacked Canelo62c40,247$24,953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,953.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x61bf…647ebacked Crawford36c40,153$14,552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,601.4633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-27.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x245b…00c5backed Crawford39c40,000$15,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,400250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+28.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e56…dee1backed Crawford39c39,518$15,412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,106.03757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa71b…bc85backed Canelo63c39,366$24,801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,800.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf17a…8abebacked Canelo64c38,673$24,749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,749.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Crawford38c37,984$14,441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,543.17333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e43…ac8bbacked Canelo62c36,436$22,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,590.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f20…186bbacked Canelo64c35,524$22,736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,735.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x96f8…9dcabacked Canelo63c32,231$20,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,187.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd34b…0004backed Crawford36c31,223$11,364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,859.233330.3%10 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-48.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bf9…7eefbacked Canelo63c28,360$17,771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,771.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x37f0…62f0backed Crawford38c28,007$10,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,407.012100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+191.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8996…fbcebacked Crawford36c27,743$9,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,752.711850%9 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-22%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Crawford37c26,695$9,877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,817.852100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+103.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c3d…5d4cbacked Crawford39c25,634$9,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,636.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x134a…9e42backed Canelo58c25,412$14,807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,806.67714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick25cpaid-76.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe25b…0f1bbacked Canelo62c25,000$15,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,500633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-25.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0930…0d60backed Canelo62c24,129$14,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,96010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbdd8…2ee5backed Crawford38c23,700$9,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,6941100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x49d5…f347backed Crawford34c22,902$7,781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,121.84250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+47.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Crawford39c20,000$7,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,199.99560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbdd2…87b1backed Canelo62c19,724$12,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,27010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5a1…79afbacked Canelo62c18,830$11,674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,674.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Crawford39c17,420$6,793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,626.721118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-58%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Canelo37c16,804$6,191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,191.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xec97…6cb3backed Canelo62c16,131$10,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,000.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe55b…5cc5backed Canelo62c16,129$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdfcc…441bbacked Canelo62c16,129$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x24c8…b1e0backed Canelo62c16,129$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0519…cd0bbacked Canelo62c16,113$9,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,99010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Crawford38c15,000$5,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,300933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+32.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aca…8b98backed Crawford39c15,000$5,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,150333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Crawford39c14,593$5,749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,843.61258.3%7 W · 5 L+3.4wins+0.28per pick30cpaid+247.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9d5b…022dbacked Canelo29c13,146$3,842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,841.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36d6…3eeebacked Crawford38c12,895$4,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,994.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x71ca…3501backed Crawford52c12,850$6,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,170.39333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31d8…e99bbacked Canelo63c12,387$7,864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,863.98560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf6e…b45bbacked Canelo62c12,000$7,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,48010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e46…e480backed Canelo63c11,284$7,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,160.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Canelo61c11,000$6,733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,732.56250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x644a…efcebacked Canelo68c10,075$6,894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,894.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Crawford36c10,000$3,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,400540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-17.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2577…30cabacked Canelo62c10,000$6,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,20010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xffd0…2de4backed Canelo64c9,677$6,227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,226.9220%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc1c…9c01backed Canelo64c9,228$5,874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,873.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb725…35d5backed Crawford39c9,036$3,549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,487.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+154.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e4a…311cbacked Crawford36c8,875$3,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,652.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+175.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5ab…341bbacked Crawford39c8,802$3,433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,369.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1609…bdb0backed Canelo61c8,182$4,991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,990.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8854…0d9cbacked Canelo62c8,161$5,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,059.84333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebd7…d5d5backed Crawford37c8,104$2,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,105.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x92b1…6695backed Canelo62c8,071$5,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,003.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf08b…0585backed Canelo63c7,937$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b15…9b08backed Crawford58c7,758$4,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,233.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+71.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Crawford71c7,735$5,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,234.21955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43ab…7b95backed Crawford39c7,657$3,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,649.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+154.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f05…c0b8backed Canelo61c7,509$4,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,580.44862.5%5 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ce3…3bc3backed Canelo62c7,363$4,565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,564.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee7e…7e73backed Canelo62c7,283$4,516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,515.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x06e8…4675backed Canelo22c7,240$1,581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,581.361145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf17…d849backed Canelo52c6,685$3,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,467.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2f6…79e1backed Canelo62c6,511$4,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,03710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6bd…b05abacked Canelo62c6,452$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00040%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b2d…f0d4backed Canelo61c6,250$3,827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,827.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-45.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8d6…0062backed Crawford39c6,086$2,373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,712.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1518…2652backed Crawford37c6,000$2,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,779.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Boxing and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.