TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x06e8…4675

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
279
Categories scored
32
Categories below 50
19

Best Category: NBA, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 58 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT8835.2%31 W · 57 L-0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-19.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 88 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$745Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$745.48
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$440
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.72
UFC 327: Cub Swanson vs. Nate Landwehr (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Nate Landwehr · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,398Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,398.36
UFC 327: Patricio Pitbull vs. Aaron Pico (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Patricio Pitbull · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$280
Will Trump attend UFC 327?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.29
UFC 327: Mateusz Gamrot vs. Esteban Ribovics (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Esteban Ribovics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$699.98
UFC Fight Night: Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Lerone Murphy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$3,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,699.6
UFC Fight Night: Nathaniel Wood vs. Losene Keita (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Nathaniel Wood · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$679.99
UFC Fight Night: Antonio Trocoli vs. Mantas Kondratavicius (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Antonio Trocoli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.78
UFC Fight Night: Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady vs. Shem Rock (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$112
Will Khamzat Chimaev fight Sean Strickland next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$232Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+50.2%+$116.34
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+33.5%+$15.87
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Charles Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$2,795Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+204.8%+$5,723.82
UFC 326: Michael Johnson vs. Drew Dober (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Drew Dober · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$3,825Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+79.4%+$3,037.77
UFC 326: Cody Garbrandt vs. Xiao Long (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Xiao Long · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$650Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$650
UFC Fight Night: Brandon Moreno vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Moreno · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18
UFC Fight Night: Douglas Silva de Andrade vs. Javier Reyes (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Silva de Andrade · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$26.95
UFC Fight Night: Ante Delija vs. Serghei Spivac (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Spivac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$410Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+143.9%+$590
UFC Fight Night: Ode' Osbourne vs. Alibi Idiris (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Osbourne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$730Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$729.54
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$576Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+75.4%+$434.3
Will Muin Gafurov win by KO or TKO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,182Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+33.3%+$393.99
UFC Fight Night: Priscila Cachoeira vs. Klaudia Sygula (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Cachoeira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$13
UFC 325: Dan Hooker vs. Benoit Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Hooker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$235
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Gaethje · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$5,812Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+109.4%+$6,357.3
Showing 25 of 88 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT2020%4 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-70.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.94
Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Nothing Ever Happens: Khameneibacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$8,748Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+26.8%+$2,348.52
Nothing Ever Happens: Israel Editionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+85.2%+$49.6
US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$64.45
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$202.79
US strikes Iran by March 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$168.28
US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+35.1%+$69.39
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$559Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$559.1
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Hezbollah strike on Israel by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$328Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$328.28
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$264Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$264.11
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$71
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+47.1%+$6.4
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$44
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$11.4
Will Israel first announce ceasefire on October 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.1
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$215
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$725Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$725
Will Israel strike Syria on July 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$108.5
All 20 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Dec 16, 2025, EST1936.8%7 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick27cpaid+43.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: ZSM vs Oh My God (BO3)backed ZSM · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$47.04
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+525%+$192.01
Will Cuzz (Moon Woo-chan) be named MVP in the 2025 League of Legends World Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$20.91
Will Faker (Lee Sang-hyeok) be named MVP in the 2025 League of Legends World Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$223.72
Will Gumayusi (Lee Min-hyeong) be named MVP in the 2025 League of Legends World Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+896.3%+$983.98
Will Oner (Mun Hyeon-jun) be named MVP in the 2025 League of Legends World Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+218.6%+$358.49
Will KT Rolster win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$150.78
Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$427Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+58.1%+$248.34
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+170.6%+$91.02
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+111.3%+$158
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$201.13
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.93
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$127.61
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 3 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$70
League of Legends: Hanwha Life vs. AG.ALbacked Hanwha Life · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$96.11
League of Legends: Movistar KOI vs. CTBC Flying Oysterbacked CTBC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$156.45
League of Legends: Hanwha Life vs. Movistar KOIbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
League of Legends: FlyQuest vs. Cloud9backed Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.9
League of Legends: G2 vs. FURIAbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$94.5
All 19 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST1650%8 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the government shutdown last 10 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$345Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+63.5%+$219.23
Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$443Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+65.6%+$290.6
Will the government shutdown last 6 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$268Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+66.7%+$178.66
Will the government shutdown last 14 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,161Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+60.9%+$707.66
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$3,070Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+51.4%+$1,578.08
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,408Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+57.1%+$804.54
Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$3,118Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+44.5%+$1,388.78
Will the government shutdown last 3 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$52.07
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,451Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$1,451.12
US forces in Venezuela by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$73.92
Epstein blackmail evidence released in 2025? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$212.51
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$33
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$30.72
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.05
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$408Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$408.42
Nothing Ever Happens: Julybacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+150%+$274.5
All 16 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1421.4%3 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick22cpaid-27.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$415
Opinion FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20.35
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+174%+$175.87
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$753Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$753.36
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+53.8%+$24.5
Kodiak FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$15.1
Over $2M committed to the Makina public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$185.29
Over $1.5M committed to the Makina public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$36.4
Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$77.2
Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Monad perform an airdrop by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Over $275M committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$95
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$8,551Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$8,551.47
Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.19
All 14 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $18 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$45.24
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $15 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+455.6%+$820
Will there be 0 knockdowns during Paul vs Joshua?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$227Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+66.7%+$151.6
Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$853Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$853.23
Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$191.69
Will Jake Paul fight Anthony Joshua in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$7,141Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+25.4%+$1,810.47
Boxing: Will Canelo Álvarez win by Points or Decision?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$44.41
Boxing: Will Canelo Álvarez win by KO/TKO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$7.72
Boxing: Canelo Álvarez vs. Terence Crawford backed Canelo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,581Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,581.36
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Julio Cesar Chavez Jr.?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$100.75
Will Jake Paul win by points or technical decision?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$31.21
All 11 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1020%2 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick21cpaid+84.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+1,560.3%+$207.44
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$185.33
Battle of the Sexes: Aryna Sabalenka vs Nick Kyrgiosbacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$133
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$635Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$635
Open de Moselle: Arthur Cazaux vs Cameron Norriebacked Cazaux · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$22.9
US Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Taylor Townsendbacked Townsend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$81.96
US Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricardbacked Perricard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$366Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$366.46
US Open: Joao Fonseca vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Kecmanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$557Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$557.42
ATP Toronto – Tien vs. Opelkabacked Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$163.14
Wimbledon: Alcaraz vs. Fritz backed Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$105.6
All 10 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick28cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,482Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+238.6%+$3,536.61
Will Apple run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$16.26
Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Will Karol G perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+170.3%+$280.94
Will Lady Gaga perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Drake Maye win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$711Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$710.9
Will the Chicago Bears win the NFC North?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$3,672Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+44.5%+$1,634.01
Colts vs. Seahawksbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$156.06
Chargers vs. Chiefsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+100%+$125
All 9 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick26cpaid-82.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Cricket — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U19 World Cup: India Under-19s vs Afghanistan Under-19sbacked Afghanistan Under-19s · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$12.36
Big Bash League: Perth Scorchers vs Sydney Sixers (Game 1)backed Sydney Sixers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$30
New Zealand ODI Series: New Zealand vs West Indies (Game 2)backed West Indies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$296.99
Pakistan ODI Series: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka (Game 3)backed Sri Lanka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$137.5
Will India win?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,211Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+53.6%+$1,184.2
New Zealand ODI Series: New Zealand vs West Indies (Game 1)backed West Indies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$72.85
Pakistan ODI Series: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka (Game 1)backed Sri Lanka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$168.31
Will England win the match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$184.45
Will England vs. India end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$94.63
All 9 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+139.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick29cpaid-9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST825%2 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-68.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$54.12
Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds >5% by Feb 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$51.91
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$103.28
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,334Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,333.9
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$260
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$392Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$392
Nothing Ever Happens: Jerome Powell Editionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$828Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+28.2%+$233.69
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$8,747Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+25.8%+$2,253.07
All 8 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-58.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$672Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$671.77
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$730Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+37%+$270
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$7,829Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,829.42
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-1.5)backed Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,020Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,020
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$3,826Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$3,676.02
Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-1.5)backed Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$863Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$862.58
Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$3,240Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,240
Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illini: O/U 139.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
All 8 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick41cpaid-1.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-70.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-45.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+57%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-50%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-58.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+70.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Golf — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
The Masters 2026: Hole in One?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$109.21
Open Championship: Scheffler vs. McIlroy backed Scheffler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$660Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$340
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 12, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+48.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$382Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+100%+$381.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 24, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$10.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FISSURE Playground 1: Lynn Vision vs. paiNbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Sep 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Megaquake by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$52.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mercedes finish second in the 2025 Constructors' Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$424Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$424.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Man Vs Baby" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 23, 2025)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$127
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.