Boxing · resolved market
Will there be 0 knockdowns during Paul vs Joshua?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x31487053a1a6ce7d4e009162507a6d120d7890e2420921856854c4988a3dba1d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Boxingevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,761
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,967
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,761 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Boxing is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Boxing | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 26c | 1,210$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.02 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 78c | 599.99$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.71 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41d3…80edbacked Yes | 19c | 401.34$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 22c | 399.98$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e8…4675backed No | 60c | 379$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.6 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed No | 73c | 356.16$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.16 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc78…34b3backed Yes | 18c | 237.38$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…b944backed Yes | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 27c | 165.14$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.59 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd78…ad68backed Yes | 21c | 163.2$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c0…4bf8backed No | 68c | 147.46$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed No | 71c | 147.45$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.36 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfac5…9782backed No | 77c | 146.4$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.67 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +37%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x630c…79fcbacked No | 75c | 131.25$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fac…f88bbacked Yes | 23c | 108.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 19c | 102.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 77c | 101.29$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.3 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c7…efc2backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd798…0ba6backed Yes | 17c | 90.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…f04ebacked Yes | 15c | 75.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 9cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19be…58a0backed Yes | 23c | 73.76$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf85a…be39backed No | 76c | 65.39$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 29c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 45 | 8.9%4 W · 41 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50b2…c94abacked No | 73c | 56.08$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.11 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c6e…31e5backed No | 60c | 55$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +139.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8660…fb7bbacked Yes | 28c | 54.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c5…29cfbacked Yes | 20c | 51.24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f5…192bbacked No | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 36c | 41.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Boxing and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will there be 0 knockdowns during Paul vs Joshua?this page
- Will Paul vs Joshua not occur by January 31?No won
- Will there be 1 knockdown during Paul vs Joshua?No won
- Will there be 2 knockdowns during Paul vs Joshua?No won
- Will there be 3 knockdowns during Paul vs Joshua?No won
- Will there be 4+ knockdowns during Paul vs Joshua?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.