TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3bef…f04e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
506
Categories scored
39
Categories below 50
20

Best Category: Us Politics, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Us Politics at 58 out of 100; worst Us Midterms at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT5111.8%6 W · 45 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick5cpaid-20%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 51 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$286Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$285.56
USD.AI FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.97
USD.AI FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.46
USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.99
USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+1,467.6%+$152.47
EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.67
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$958Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+225.9%+$2,163.54
EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$282Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$281.79
EdgeX FDV above $10B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.68
EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.44
Will USD.AI launch a token by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+471%+$83.51
Based FDV above $4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.14
Based FDV above $3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.28
Based FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.73
Based FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.46
Based FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.04
Backpack FDV above $4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.82
Backpack FDV above $3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.24
Backpack FDV above $5B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.77
Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.9
Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$179.65
Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.36
Paradex FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$26.82
Paradex FDV above $5B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$11.17
Paradex FDV above $10B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$11.49
Showing 25 of 51 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT4922.4%11 W · 38 L+4.7wins+0.10per pick13cpaid+20.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
World Politics — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+295.9%+$101.26
Will Juan Carlos Pinzón win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.99
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.2
Will Park Ju-min win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$903Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$903.08
Will Seo Young-kyo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.5
Will Park Yong-jin win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.39
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.18
Will Na Kyung-won win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$222.17
Will Ahn Cheol-soo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.67
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+834.7%+$677.36
Will Yoo Jeong-bok win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.68
Will Kim Tae-heum win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.64
Will Yoon Sang-hyun win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Kim Jin-tae win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.91
Will Park Soo-hyun win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+727%+$324.47
Will Kim Kyo-heung win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.35
Will Park Nam-choon win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.94
Will Park Heong-joon win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+53.3%+$32.13
Will Han Jun-ho win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.34
Will Kim Dong-yeon win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.16
Will Choo Mi-ae win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+77.1%+$28.29
Will Yoo Seong-min win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.08
Will Shin Yong-han win the 2026 Chungcheongbuk Province gubernatorial election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+28.7%+$32.33
Labour leadership election scheduled by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.26
Yoon out of custody by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.22
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT454.4%2 W · 43 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick6cpaid-68.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.74
Will Waymo operate in 11 cities on June 30 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.89
Will Waymo launch in Dallas by June 30 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+450.5%+$166.68
Will Waymo operate in 9 cities on June 30 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.55
Will Waymo operate in 10 cities on June 30 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.35
Will Waymo operate in 5 cities or less on June 30 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.09
Will Waymo operate in 12 or more cities on June 30 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.18
Will Waymo operate in 7 cities on June 30 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.89
Will Waymo launch in New York City by June 30 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.01
Will Waymo launch in Detroit by June 30 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.25
Will Waymo launch in Washington DC by June 30 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.43
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.58
Will Greg Joswiak be the next CEO of Apple?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.99
Will Craig Federighi be the next CEO of Apple?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.21
Will Waymo launch in Miami by June 30 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.42
Will Elon Musk be richest person on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.46
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.99
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$203.42
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$363Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$363.38
Google Gemini Parlaybacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$11.72
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30.48
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$45.92
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$28.37
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark by?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$116.16
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$96.74
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2025, EST3810.5%4 W · 34 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick7cpaid-52.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 1400+ tweets in December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$321Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+172.6%+$553.43
Will Elon Musk post 1280-1319 tweets in December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$43.91
Will Elon Musk post 1240-1279 tweets in December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$15.58
Will Elon Musk post 1200-1239 tweets in December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$12.6
Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$48.38
Will Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$24.48
Will Elon Musk post 1080-1119 tweets in December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$27.4
Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$23.48
Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$15.16
Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$18.06
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$52.44
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+733.1%+$231.21
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$96.49
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$56.07
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$19.9
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$117.31
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$36.81
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$254.68
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$95.32
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$33.78
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$37.53
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$71.16
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$32.69
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$45.61
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$18.49
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT3818.4%7 W · 31 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-65.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.98
Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$5.74
Will Matt Gress be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.31
Will Joseph Chaplik be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.75
Will Trump be impeached by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.6
Will Shannon Bird be the Democratic nominee for CO-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.75
Will Manny Rutinel be the Democratic nominee for CO-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+81%+$12.77
Will John Hickenlooper be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.33
Will Dathan Jones be the Republican nominee for Senate in Colorado?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.54
Will Ben McAdams be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+63.5%+$30.37
Will Jack Schlossberg be the democratic nominee for NY-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.59
Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.05
Will Brad Lander be the Democratic nominee for NY-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+33.9%+$5.67
Will Kathy Hochul win the 2026 New York Democratic Gubernatorial Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.73
Will Michael Blake be the Democratic nominee for NY-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.46
Will Jared Golden be the Democratic nominee for ME-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.34
Will Derek Dooley be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$173.77
Will Jared Hudson be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.13
Will Steve Marshall be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.17
Will Zach Wahls be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Iowa?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.36
Will Josh Turek be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Iowa?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.18
Will Chris Rabb be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+193.9%+$44.09
Will Ala Stanford be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.79
Will John Cavanaugh be the Democratic nominee for NE-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.51
Will Dan Frei be the Republican nominee for NE-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.41
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST320%0 W · 32 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro visits the U.S. by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18.61
Will no US x Venezuela military engagement occur in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$32.76
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40.23
Will Maduro's rule survive a US military engagement?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$38.82
U.S. operation to capture Maduro in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40.62
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$27.79
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20.18
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$21.44
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$12.31
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$22.9
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$25.78
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$28.29
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$23.53
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$39.48
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$41.81
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$30.44
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$33.41
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$26.96
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$47.67
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$25.88
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$10.3
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$31.59
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$35.79
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$22.68
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$13.85
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT2512%3 W · 22 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick11cpaid-20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+403.2%+$574.19
Will Microsoft (MSFT) hit $500 before 2026??backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+250.3%+$41.69
Will Google (GOOGL) hit $355 before 2026??backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$45.15
Will Google reach $340 in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.77
Will Google (GOOGL) hit $275 before 2026??backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17.52
Will Google (GOOGL) hit $375 before 2026??backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30.54
Will Google (GOOGL) hit $285 before 2026??backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.37
Will Google (GOOGL) hit $290 before 2026??backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$194.89
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit $200 before 2026??backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.75
Will Tesla (TSLA) hit $505 before 2026??backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.27
Will Nvidia (NVDA) hit a 52-Week High by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.25
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $500–520 in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$16.52
Will Google (GOOGL) close at $280–295 in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$10.56
Will Google (GOOGL) close at $325–340 in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$13.94
Will Netflix (NFLX) close at <$85 in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$17.72
Will Amazon (AMZN) close at $225-$230 in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$15.95
Will Tesla (TSLA) close at >$500 in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$10.65
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $170–175 in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$15.26
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $195–200 in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$17.16
Will Tesla (TSLA) close at $425–450 in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+1,031.9%+$105.24
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $175–180 in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$12.37
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $190–195 in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$16.81
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $165–170 in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$13.38
Will Apple (AAPL) close at $280–285 in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$13.48
Will Google reach $335 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$33.08
All 25 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2222.7%5 W · 17 L+3.4wins+0.15per pick7cpaid+659%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.18
U.S. Congress member out over Epstein files by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.68
Trump out as President by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$222.39
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+768.7%+$354.22
Will Trump’s approval rating be <40.0% on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.89
Will Jimmy Kimmel be named in newly released Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$27.29
Will Tony Blair be named in newly released Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.39
Will Ellen Degeneres be named in newly released Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.19
Will Quentin Tarantino be named in newly released Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19.09
Will Jamie Dimon be named in newly released Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50.17
Will Tom Hanks be named in newly released Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.63
Will Sean Combs be named in newly released Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$22.28
Will Rachel Maddow be named in newly released Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.22
Trump-Epstein Parlaybacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.91
Will Piers Morgan be named in newly released Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$28.42
Epstein confirmed as foreign agent in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19.25
Will Al Gore be named in newly released Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18.59
Enhanced ACA premium tax credits extended in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25.4
Epstein blackmail evidence released in 2025? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+1,742.6%+$287.1
Will Elon Musk be named in newly released Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+751.1%+$222.48
Will Stephen Colbert be named in newly released Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+1,940.8%+$223.5
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be named in newly released Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+10,993.9%+$1,609.04
All 22 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST1711.8%2 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick6cpaid+584.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$17.68
Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$16.68
Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be greater than 3.5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$19.27
Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$38.41
Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be less than 1.0%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$12.67
Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$46.82
Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+3,675.4%+$447.91
Will the ECB announce no change at the February 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$49.76
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the February 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$29.42
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the February 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$21.52
Will annual inflation increase by between 30% and 32.9% in December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$10.24
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$10.18
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$11.05
Will a dozen eggs cost between $3.50–3.75 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$12.79
Will annual inflation increase by ≥3.2% in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$58.22
Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.8% in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+7,764%+$1,342.44
Will annual inflation increase by 2.9% in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$14.12
All 17 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST1612.5%2 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick9cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoorbacked Demoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+569.6%+$580.79
Will there be 3 knockdowns during Paul vs Joshua?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$11.97
Will there be 2 knockdowns during Paul vs Joshua?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$13.5
Will there be 0 knockdowns during Paul vs Joshua?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$10.98
Will the fight end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$75.51
Will Jake Paul win by decision or technical decision?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$181.13
Will the fight be ruled a No Contest or end in any other result?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$25.15
Will Jake Paul win by KO/TKO/DQ?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$167.82
Will the fight end in Round 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+2,368%+$293.49
Will the fight end in the Round 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$10.67
Will the fight end in Round 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$17.99
Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$122.24
Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$77.28
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$330.13
Will Jake Paul fight Anthony Joshua in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$123.22
Who will win Jake Paul vs Anthony Joshua?backed Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$36.97
All 16 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT1526.7%4 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nikita Kucherov win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+1,240.2%+$222.04
Will Ilya Sorokin win the 2025–2026 NHL Vezina Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.88
Will Dan Muse win the 2025–2026 NHL Jack Adams Award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.61
Will Lindy Ruff win the 2025–2026 NHL Jack Adams Award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.98
Will Cale Makar win the 2025–2026 NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+77%+$21.07
Will Ivan Demidov win the 2025–2026 NHL Calder Memorial Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.55
Will Macklin Celebrini win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.79
Will Evan Bouchard win the 2025–2026 NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.43
Will Quinn Hughes win the 2025–2026 NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.62
Will the Dallas Stars win the Western Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.76
Will Nikita Kucherov win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.73
Will Connor McDavid win the 2025–2026 NHL Maurice 'Rocket' Richard Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.43
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the Pacific Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.6
Will the Edmonton Oilers make the NHL Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$7.86
Will the Detroit Red Wings make the NHL Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+225.6%+$84.85
All 15 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT156.7%1 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick5cpaid-72.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$352Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$352.14
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$724Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$723.77
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.06
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.86
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.13
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.96
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$232.13
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.99
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+318.9%+$533.77
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$19.75
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$32.38
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$56.69
Will Trump announce Rick Rieder as next Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$36.36
Will Powell say "Trump" during December press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$10.37
Will one person dissent the December Fed decision?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$15.74
All 15 picks, newest first.
Ukrainelast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT156.7%1 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick11cpaid-84.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.15
Russian strike on Poland by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.04
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.43
Will Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.71
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+129.9%+$97.77
Nuclear weapon detonation by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.17
NATO downs another Russian drone by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.19
Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$46.65
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.05
Ukraine strike on Moscow municipality by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20.9
Zelenskyy wears a suit and tie during next Trump meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$10.41
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$35.38
Will Russia enter Huliaipole by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$12.16
Will Russia enter Lyman by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$17.11
All 15 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.20per pick16cpaid+56.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Middle East — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.44
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.65
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+622.2%+$92.28
Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+100.4%+$64.91
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+37.5%+$36.06
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+231.5%+$71.51
Israel x Syria security agreement by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20.24
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$20.36
Israel strike on Yemen by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$24.59
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18.93
Hezbollah strike on Israel by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.34
Nothing Ever Happens: Nuclear Editionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$28.32
Israel strikes Iran by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$39.82
Will Israel strike 1 country in November 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+703.5%+$71.67
All 14 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1428.6%4 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick20cpaid-26.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.61
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$362Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+185.3%+$671.13
Will Derik Queen win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.75
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+227.4%+$158.87
Will the Golden State Warriors make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+185.2%+$52.32
Will the Toronto Raptors make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.72
Will the San Antonio Spurs finish as the #1 seed in the 2025–2026 NBA Western Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.83
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder finish as the #1 seed in the 2025–2026 NBA Western Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.04
Will the Detroit Pistons finish as the #1 seed in the 2025–2026 NBA Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+31.9%+$28.67
Will the Houston Rockets make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.27
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win more than 46.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.61
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win more than 35.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.02
OKC breaks NBA single-season wins record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$24.64
Thunder vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20.02
All 14 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1216.7%2 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick9cpaid+60.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.1
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$163.72
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+333.8%+$378.44
Will Frankenstein win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.63
Will 2000 Meters to Andriivka be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+1,387.2%+$176.26
Will Frankenstein be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$32.15
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$1,066Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$1,065.81
Will Lilo and Stitch be the second highest grossing movie of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$65.67
Will 'Lilo & Stitch' have the third best domestic opening weekend in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$33.56
Will 'Wicked: For Good' have the second best domestic opening weekend in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18.68
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be between 143m and 157m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$36.06
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be greater than 157m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$12.92
All 12 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT128.3%1 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick6cpaid-55.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$300.8
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+435.4%+$463.62
Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.7
Will Purdue win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$297.01
Will Arkansas win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$321Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$321.08
Will Houston win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.37
Will Texas Tech win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.09
Will Florida win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.11
Will UCLA win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.03
Will Kansas win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.83
Will Louisville win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.19
Will Florida win the 2025-2026 SEC Men's Basketball regular season championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$12.83
All 12 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST100%0 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$138.7
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$388Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$388.04
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$578Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$577.95
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$455Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$455.26
Altcoin market cap dip to $160B by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$36.24
Will Solana dip to $120 before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$25.25
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$13.28
Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$16.7
Will Bitcoin reach $96,000 November 24-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$12.77
Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 November 24-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$14.99
All 10 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick8cpaid+65%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Music — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick5cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-38.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST50%0 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick17cpaid-27.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chess Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Chess — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+144.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.87per pick13cpaid+678.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+678.8%+$139.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC St. Pauli win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$14.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Heracles Almelo win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$10.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Battle of the Sexes: Aryna Sabalenka vs Nick Kyrgiosbacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$65.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Málaga CF win on 2025-12-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$21.31
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.