Us Politics · resolved market

Will Jamie Dimon be named in newly released Epstein files?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdad3b6578786b14085a71c6d2b5ae65a2605fcd8ea44a50e28e1ad40453a57d6

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jan 1, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $70,594
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $77,809

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,594 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xc021…1fa8backed Yes	14c	8,016$1,087 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,087.26	48	50%24 W · 24 L	+9.1wins	+0.19per pick	31cpaid	+346.5%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0xea2f…a8efbacked Yes	10c	4,277$428 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$427.75	59	28.8%17 W · 42 L	+6.6wins	+0.11per pick	18cpaid	+80.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd1a5…9de7backed Yes	18c	1,992$367 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$366.52	39	35.9%14 W · 25 L	+9.5wins	+0.24per pick	12cpaid	+185%equal weight	66+0.15 edge/pick
0x2675…2374backed Yes	12c	1,833$221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220.55	85	44.7%38 W · 47 L	+4.6wins	+0.05per pick	39cpaid	+21%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9acd…7841backed Yes	15c	1,773$263 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$263.27	14	0%0 W · 14 L	-1.2wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes	15c	1,210$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175.62	333	13.2%44 W · 289 L	+9.2wins	+0.03per pick	10cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf243…5fb4backed Yes	40c	1,140$453 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$453.04	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1551…2b86backed Yes	11c	1,113$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	10	30%3 W · 7 L	+0.9wins	+0.09per pick	21cpaid	+26.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4014…a2edbacked Yes	10c	1,100$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	+6.0wins	+0.43per pick	21cpaid	+1,100.9%equal weight	67+0.15 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	14c	1,022$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.01	1,136	6.3%72 W · 1,064 L	-25.9wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-55.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x993c…6787backed No	80c	889.71$708 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$181.69	192	36.5%70 W · 122 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x38d6…d10abacked Yes	21c	754.02$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156.14	24	50%12 W · 12 L	+2.5wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	+36.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x66c1…2c72backed Yes	12c	706.4$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.38	187	25.1%47 W · 140 L	+10.5wins	+0.06per pick	20cpaid	-14%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x58c0…1c8ebacked Yes	19c	658.83$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.18	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	+1.5wins	+0.12per pick	34cpaid	+176.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes	12c	652.83$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.86	336	27.4%92 W · 244 L	-7.7wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Yes	18c	630$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.17	50	42%21 W · 29 L	+4.6wins	+0.09per pick	33cpaid	+23.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x63e2…5579backed No	79c	602.69$476 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$127	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.05per pick	70cpaid	+17%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x506d…6654backed No	79c	599.97$474 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$125.99	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-1.3wins	-0.12per pick	57cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3bef…f04ebacked Yes	8c	597.09$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.17	22	22.7%5 W · 17 L	+3.4wins	+0.15per pick	7cpaid	+659%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2457…b193backed Yes	13c	585.74$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74	11	0%0 W · 11 L	-2.8wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2bc7…e411backed No	80c	555.01$443 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$111.62	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	-1.8wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	-35.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x31cf…4cd0backed Yes	19c	522.2$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	+20.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Yes	17c	500.64$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.67	40	27.5%11 W · 29 L	+2.1wins	+0.05per pick	22cpaid	-15%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d78…6929backed Yes	21c	500$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.95	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfabf…c681backed Yes	14c	499.99$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.6	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4946…89d0backed Yes	23c	416.32$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.37	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.31per pick	31cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	19c	399.07$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.04	963	19.8%191 W · 772 L	-32.4wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-50%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc60d…8887backed Yes	26c	373.32$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.26	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.07per pick	27cpaid	-70.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad52…11acbacked Yes	19c	350$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.07	145	28.3%41 W · 104 L	+11.0wins	+0.08per pick	21cpaid	+15.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x65cc…02dcbacked Yes	21c	341.14$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.43	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	17cpaid	+29.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6828…1056backed Yes	14c	320$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.8	184	45.1%83 W · 101 L	-3.9wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	13c	310$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.77	49	0%0 W · 49 L	-2.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d72…c356backed Yes	11c	307$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.32	25	56%14 W · 11 L	+7.9wins	+0.32per pick	24cpaid	+320%equal weight	68+0.16 edge/pick
0xddfb…359fbacked Yes	12c	300$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	+2.0wins	+0.16per pick	7cpaid	+124.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9416…5a15backed Yes	35c	282.55$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.71	49	26.5%13 W · 36 L	-2.8wins	-0.06per pick	32cpaid	-30.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Yes	16c	251.58$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.04	82	7.3%6 W · 76 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x908e…2291backed Yes	21c	238.17$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-2.4wins	-0.22per pick	31cpaid	-83.5%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xece0…7cdfbacked Yes	21c	233.86$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.11per pick	28cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcba0…97bfbacked No	66c	222.7$147 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.87	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	+2.5wins	+0.12per pick	31cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed No	69c	197.69$137 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.69	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-1.5wins	-0.14per pick	50cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0dcc…5bd9backed Yes	29c	187.76$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.33	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+2.0wins	+0.22per pick	33cpaid	+78.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf673…be20backed Yes	14c	177.56$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.98	22	50%11 W · 11 L	+7.3wins	+0.33per pick	17cpaid	+303.8%equal weight	67+0.15 edge/pick
0xb331…61f7backed Yes	23c	175$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.34per pick	34cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee8b…6436backed No	80c	170$135 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.7	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-2.7wins	-0.21per pick	67cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x68d8…af58backed No	60c	129.99$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-0.8wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-43.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7063…9b11backed Yes	10c	125.59$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.05per pick	20cpaid	-38.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	12c	120$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.92	441	11.3%50 W · 391 L	-44.5wins	-0.10per pick	21cpaid	-52.5%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf4f3…1d41backed Yes	21c	119.05$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1757…bd49backed Yes	14c	117.8$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.36	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes	10c	117.7$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.72	73	6.8%5 W · 68 L	+3.1wins	+0.04per pick	3cpaid	+36.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c2b…8606backed Yes	17c	110$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.03	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa39e…1d88backed Yes	30c	109.86$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.63	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x626f…cdfabacked Yes	17c	103.81$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.15	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe991…9969backed Yes	22c	100$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.96	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes	15c	100$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.06	58	34.5%20 W · 38 L	-2.7wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-34.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6778…226abacked No	77c	99.98$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.99	18	66.7%12 W · 6 L	+3.9wins	+0.22per pick	45cpaid	+120.2%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5202…7975backed Yes	20c	98.61$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.6wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x616b…9c32backed Yes	21c	97.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x875e…e6b5backed Yes	17c	92.12$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.84	15	6.7%1 W · 14 L	-2.0wins	-0.14per pick	20cpaid	-76.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa86d…b2dabacked Yes	23c	80.84$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.76	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc571…d6f1backed No	75c	80$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.8	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.12per pick	69cpaid	-24%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba1f…e0debacked Yes	15c	74.92$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.09	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.9wins	+0.12per pick	45cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fe5…8b99backed No	79c	74.67$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.96	240	35.4%85 W · 155 L	-12.7wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9445…9ce6backed Yes	27c	74.07$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	25cpaid	+152.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78a2…d0a5backed Yes	28c	71$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	8	25%2 W · 6 L	+0.4wins	+0.05per pick	20cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4de…424cbacked Yes	28c	70.99$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.9wins	-0.32per pick	32cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb12e…3689backed Yes	36c	70.34$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.5	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	-1.1wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2843…b3d2backed Yes	32c	64.71$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.01	128	39.8%51 W · 77 L	+5.4wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe7a2…cb76backed Yes	32c	63.25$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.41per pick	41cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd3a…68a9backed Yes	16c	62.5$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+3.4wins	+0.38per pick	18cpaid	+201%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5b06…9076backed No	66c	60$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.55	35	40%14 W · 21 L	-6.2wins	-0.18per pick	58cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	38-0.10 edge/pick
0xc877…05b4backed Yes	41c	57.99$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.85	34	41.2%14 W · 20 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07d9…5c56backed Yes	20c	57.12$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.5	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x516d…d14bbacked Yes	38c	53.09$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-1.1wins	-0.09per pick	26cpaid	-61.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed Yes	24c	50.69$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.02	336	18.5%62 W · 274 L	-46.5wins	-0.14per pick	32cpaid	-60%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0xcceb…f030backed Yes	22c	50$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	252	41.7%105 W · 147 L	-17.2wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed No	77c	47.4$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.92	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fad…1480backed No	75c	40.2$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.05	398	9.5%38 W · 360 L	-5.1wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-62.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb3f…4439backed Yes	25c	40$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+1.6wins	+0.23per pick	34cpaid	+95.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Yes	30c	39.14$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.74	115	29.6%34 W · 81 L	-5.8wins	-0.05per pick	35cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x25dc…e33bbacked No	74c	39$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.14	18	16.7%3 W · 15 L	-2.3wins	-0.13per pick	29cpaid	-57.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a73…9daabacked No	68c	36.76$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.76	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-2.9wins	-0.29per pick	49cpaid	-65.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4916…f56fbacked No	71c	35.89$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.47	30	56.7%17 W · 13 L	+1.5wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8043…91c8backed No	77c	30$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.9	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.3wins	+0.45per pick	55cpaid	+318.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8975…ffe6backed No	73c	26.08$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.96	67	56.7%38 W · 29 L	-7.5wins	-0.11per pick	68cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x300f…d366backed No	75c	20$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5	91	60.4%55 W · 36 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa89e…4ab4backed No	63c	19.99$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.4	14	50%7 W · 7 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cd1…0b70backed No	71c	15$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.4	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.29per pick	71cpaid	+41.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Jamie Dimon be named in newly released Epstein files?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event