TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0cd1…0b70

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
75
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: AI, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category AI at 52 out of 100; worst NBA at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST4770.2%33 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick70cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New Mexico Lobos vs. San Diego State Aztecsbacked San Diego State Aztecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+44.2%+$4.6
Austin Peay Governors vs. Lipscomb Bisonsbacked Lipscomb Bisons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+63.9%+$7.8
Mercer Bears vs. VMI Keydetsbacked Mercer Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+26.6%+$4.2
Villanova Wildcats vs. Providence Friarsbacked Villanova Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+36.5%+$9.35
Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Washington Huskiesbacked Washington Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+26.6%+$4.2
Northwestern Wildcats vs. Rutgers Scarlet Knightsbacked Northwestern Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$12.8
Texas Longhorns vs. Alabama Crimson Tidebacked Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+31.6%+$4.8
St. Francis (PA) Red Flash vs. LIU Sharksbacked LIU Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+29.9%+$5.97
Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens vs. Louisiana Tech Bulldogsbacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+42.6%+$6.64
Monmouth Hawks vs. Hofstra Pridebacked Hofstra Pride · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+49.3%+$4.95
New Hampshire Wildcats vs. UMBC Retrieversbacked New Hampshire Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$16.9
Western Carolina Catamounts vs. The Citadel Bulldogsbacked Western Carolina Catamounts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$13.2
Rider Broncs vs. Fairfield Stagsbacked Fairfield Stags · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+29.9%+$4.6
Seattle Redhawks vs. Oregon State Beaversbacked Seattle Redhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Cal State Fullerton Titans vs. California-San Diego Tritonsbacked California-San Diego Tritons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$15.2
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles vs. Eastern Illinois Panthersbacked Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$14.2
Texas State Bobcats vs. Southern Miss Golden Eaglesbacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+27.6%+$41.21
UT Martin Skyhawks vs. Morehead State Eaglesbacked Morehead State Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$14.4
New Hampshire Wildcats vs. NJIT Highlandersbacked New Hampshire Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$13.4
Austin Peay Governors vs. Florida Gulf Coast Eaglesbacked Austin Peay Governors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+63.9%+$7.8
Binghamton Bearcats vs. Vermont Catamountsbacked Vermont Catamounts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+41.8%+$12.88
Stony Brook Seawolves vs. Drexel Dragonsbacked Drexel Dragons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+25.8%+$4.1
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Vanderbilt Commodoresbacked Vanderbilt Commodores · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+25.1%+$16.46
Connecticut Huskies vs. Providence Friarsbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+25.5%+$3.05
Duquesne Dukes vs. Saint Joseph's Hawksbacked Duquesne Dukes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$16.55
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick77cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-30.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+35.3%+$4.96
Spread: Knicks (-8.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+42.9%+$7.5
Spread: Magic (-7.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$29.47
All 4 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Houston Astros vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.5
Athletics vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+88%+$12.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?backed Gold · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+51.5%+$6.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jamie Dimon be named in newly released Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+41.5%+$4.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Google reach $330 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+28.2%+$5.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Minnesota Lynx vs. Los Angeles Sparksbacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Leicester City FC vs. West Bromwich Albion FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$53.1
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.