Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Binghamton Bearcats vs. Vermont Catamounts
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2cea7b6900f562a71d04ca873eae8cd0fc4deca4b7e2b5c74bc9989e1d197da5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vermont Catamountsof Binghamton Bearcats, Vermont Catamounts
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,135
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,023
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,135 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Vermont Catamounts | 58c | 6,280$3,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,629.52 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Vermont Catamounts | 64c | 5,931$3,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,140.11 | 158 | 61.4%97 W · 61 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Binghamton Bearcats | 18c | 5,102$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896.53 | 105 | 11.4%12 W · 93 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Binghamton Bearcats | 38c | 3,297$1,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,268.36 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Binghamton Bearcats | 16c | 2,988$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.44 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Binghamton Bearcats | 56c | 2,804$1,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560.6 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Binghamton Bearcats | 59c | 2,574$1,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,513.52 | 464 | 46.8%217 W · 247 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Binghamton Bearcats | 36c | 2,072$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.81 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb62…57b0backed Binghamton Bearcats | 2c | 1,974$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Vermont Catamounts | 39c | 1,225$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.38 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Binghamton Bearcats | 6c | 1,200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.8 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Vermont Catamounts | 75c | 1,136$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.62 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…f904backed Binghamton Bearcats | 7c | 1,115$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdb…a90dbacked Binghamton Bearcats | 13c | 1,021$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.73 | 149 | 25.5%38 W · 111 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Vermont Catamounts | 33c | 826.74$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.4 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Binghamton Bearcats | 11c | 438$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.78 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fba…1404backed Binghamton Bearcats | 18c | 413.74$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.14 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc3…2b11backed Binghamton Bearcats | 9c | 411.76$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.06 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 27cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Vermont Catamounts | 79c | 401$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.59 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Binghamton Bearcats | 39c | 384.11$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.67 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Binghamton Bearcats | 4c | 375$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Vermont Catamounts | 53c | 217$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.83 | 323 | 43%139 W · 184 L | -18.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2298…ac49backed Binghamton Bearcats | 7c | 207.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +125.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Vermont Catamounts | 56c | 194$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.04 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Vermont Catamounts | 56c | 175$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.39 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Binghamton Bearcats | 15c | 163.73$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 94 | 12.8%12 W · 82 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Vermont Catamounts | 48c | 116.99$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.94 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Vermont Catamounts | 69c | 110.66$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.32 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Vermont Catamounts | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2767…886abacked Binghamton Bearcats | 22c | 91.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed Binghamton Bearcats | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | -11.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Binghamton Bearcats | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 346 | 49.1%170 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd1…0b70backed Vermont Catamounts | 71c | 43.67$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ab…361bbacked Vermont Catamounts | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 98 | 21.4%21 W · 77 L | -17.7wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Binghamton Bearcats vs. Vermont Catamountsthis page
- Binghamton Bearcats vs. Vermont Catamounts: O/U 142.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.