TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf1ab…361b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
389
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: UFC, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 54 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 34.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT20826%54 W · 154 L-16.0wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-38%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 208 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Mavericks vs. Bucksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Grizzlies vs. Timberwolvesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$29.6
Celtics vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$28
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+98.5%+$35.45
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Pelicans vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$10.56
Heat vs. 76ersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Rockets vs. Magicbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+98.1%+$15.7
Celtics vs. Nuggetsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Cavaliers vs. Bucksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Spurs vs. Raptorsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+58.2%+$13.38
Warriors vs. Grizzliesbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+58.7%+$8.81
Timberwolves vs. Trail Blazersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+35.1%+$5.62
Thunder vs. Raptorsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+126.5%+$37.96
Heat vs. Bucksbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Warriors vs. Pelicansbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$36.19
76ers vs. Pacersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+32.4%+$4.85
Kings vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$34
Spurs vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Nuggets vs. Warriorsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Heat vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Showing 25 of 208 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST9821.4%21 W · 77 L-17.7wins-0.18per pick40cpaid-55.5%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 98 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Virginia Cavaliers vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irishbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$28
Arizona State Sun Devils vs. UCF Knightsbacked Arizona State Sun Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Michigan State Spartans vs. Rutgers Scarlet Knightsbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$25
UIC Flames vs. Bradley Bravesbacked Bradley Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Samford Bulldogs vs. Wofford Terriersbacked Samford Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Toledo Rockets vs. Massachusetts Minutemenbacked Toledo Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$21.1
TCU Horned Frogs vs. BYU Cougarsbacked TCU Horned Frogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$26
Duke Blue Devils vs. California Golden Bearsbacked California Golden Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$14.4
Arizona State Sun Devils vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arizona State Sun Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Michigan Wolverines vs. Washington Huskiesbacked Washington Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Nevada Wolf Pack vs. Utah State Aggiesbacked Nevada Wolf Pack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Pacific Tigers vs. Santa Clara Broncosbacked Pacific Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Texas Longhornsbacked Vanderbilt Commodores · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$32.1
Ole Miss Rebels vs. Georgia Bulldogsbacked Ole Miss Rebels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+455.9%+$91.18
Saint Peter's Peacocks vs. Quinnipiac Bobcatsbacked Quinnipiac Bobcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Colorado Buffaloes vs. Cincinnati Bearcatsbacked Colorado Buffaloes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Iona Gaels vs. Rider Broncsbacked Iona Gaels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Niagara Purple Eagles vs. Canisius Golden Griffinsbacked Canisius Golden Griffins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Sacred Heart Pioneers vs. Siena Saintsbacked Siena Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Lehigh Mountain Hawks vs. Boston Terriersbacked Boston Terriers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$40
High Point Panthers vs. Winthrop Eaglesbacked High Point Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$38
VCU Rams vs. Rhode Island Ramsbacked Rhode Island Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$14.39
East Tennessee State Buccaneers vs. Western Carolina Catamountsbacked East Tennessee State Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$32.8
Showing 25 of 98 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST4025%10 W · 30 L-5.7wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-47.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
NHL — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ducks vs. Oilersbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Devils vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$11.84
Islanders vs. Predatorsbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Oilers vs. Jetsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+151.1%+$36.27
Sabres vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Devils vs. Penguinsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Bruins vs. Krakenbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$19.1
Blue Jackets vs. Sharksbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Golden Knights vs. Jetsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+165.5%+$39.72
Panthers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Devils vs. Islandersbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Avalanche vs. Lightningbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Stars vs. Hurricanesbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Wild vs. Kingsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Ducks vs. Capitalsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Utah vs. Rangersbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+244.8%+$36.72
Wild vs. Kingsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Avalanche vs. Hurricanesbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+108.3%+$15.17
Canadiens vs. Bluesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$32
Flyers vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Sabres vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Devils vs. Maple Leafsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$64
Hurricanes vs. Penguinsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Canucks vs. Krakenbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+110.4%+$16.56
Capitals vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+88.7%+$15.69
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1822.2%4 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-58.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NFL — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$32.29
Eagles vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$31.92
Giants vs. Raidersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Seahawks vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$26
Patriots vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Steelers vs. Brownsbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$48
Cardinals vs. Bengalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Ravens vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Texans vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$64.5
Lions vs. Vikingsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$25.42
Cowboys vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$17
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+190.4%+$24.35
Giants vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+29.9%+$4.28
Packers vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Colts vs. Chiefsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$26.2
Giants vs. Lionsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$11.43
Bills vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+94.6%+$39.09
Chiefs vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+37.4%+$22.42
All 18 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick35cpaid-70.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
College Football — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2025, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-65%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 3, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CF Pachuca win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will CD Guadalajara win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+89.9%+$35.97
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz (BO3)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Liquid (BO3)backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.82per pick18cpaid+457.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Sean Strickland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+457.7%+$50.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brazil win on 2025-11-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+37.5%+$9.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Starmer out before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.