Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
UIC Flames vs. Bradley Braves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x454e4e4543ff55bd6ac8650c7d698243876266f31752935741c6102b468e1394
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UIC Flamesof UIC Flames, Bradley Braves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,688
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,585
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,688 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Bradley Braves | 75c | 6,036$4,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,520.78 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked UIC Flames | 29c | 5,015$1,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,560 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Bradley Braves | 74c | 1,831$1,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,354.69 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed UIC Flames | 78c | 1,640$1,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.41 | 230 | 28.3%65 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked UIC Flames | 26c | 1,500$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Bradley Braves | 74c | 1,157$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.18 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Bradley Braves | 26c | 950$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.67 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked UIC Flames | 57c | 697.89$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.09 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked UIC Flames | 68c | 619$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.02 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked UIC Flames | 26c | 534$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.16 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x783c…6900backed UIC Flames | 26c | 499.99$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.99 | 137 | 35%48 W · 89 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed UIC Flames | 26c | 390$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.6 | 267 | 40.8%109 W · 158 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed UIC Flames | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Bradley Braves | 42c | 327$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.34 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Bradley Braves | 24c | 322.15$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.8 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Bradley Braves | 70c | 321.33$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.25 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…776bbacked Bradley Braves | 29c | 300$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked UIC Flames | 71c | 287$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.79 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed UIC Flames | 40c | 280$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.53 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked UIC Flames | 67c | 266.16$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.63 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked UIC Flames | 28c | 206.89$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.64 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bradley Braves | 72c | 182$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.04 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed UIC Flames | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 484 | 62.8%304 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Bradley Braves | 29c | 147.5$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.62 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed Bradley Braves | 45c | 130$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +22%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Bradley Braves | 47c | 110.83$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.15 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Bradley Braves | 38c | 77.2$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Bradley Braves | 47c | 57.81$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.02 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x586d…fb12backed UIC Flames | 52c | 57.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.72 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6385…aecfbacked UIC Flames | 26c | 54.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.29 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked UIC Flames | 26c | 49.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ab…361bbacked Bradley Braves | 50c | 39.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 98 | 21.4%21 W · 77 L | -17.7wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed UIC Flames | 26c | 38.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.49 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1981…3867backed UIC Flames | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f8…ac7bbacked UIC Flames | 41c | 29.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.79 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked UIC Flames | 66c | 25.68$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.73 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bradley Braves | 73c | 14.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UIC Flames vs. Bradley Bravesthis page
- Spread: Bradley Braves (-6.5)UIC Flames won
- UIC Flames vs. Bradley Braves: O/U 143.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.