TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6385…aecf

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
80
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 56 out of 100; worst Bundesliga at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST1553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+90%+$48.67
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$18.9
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+50.9%+$5.4
LoL: DN Freecs vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winnerbacked DN Freecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$14
LoL: DN Freecs vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winnerbacked DN Freecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$28.73
LoL: OKSavingsBank BRION vs DRX (BO5) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked OKSavingsBank BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$12.72
LoL: Ultra Prime vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Ultra Prime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$16.5
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+33.4%+$10.03
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+69.5%+$20.45
LoL: Team Heretics vs Los Ratones (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10.82
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs Leviatan Esports (BO1) - CBLOL Cup Regular Seasonbacked Leviatan Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+58.1%+$13.53
LoL: Team Vitality vs Shifters (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+92.3%+$33.02
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+39.1%+$6.81
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverancebacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$14.19
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+119.8%+$24
All 15 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST1172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+54.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Florida Atlantic Owls vs. South Florida Bullsbacked South Florida Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+60.2%+$6.41
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Alabama Crimson Tidebacked Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+191.5%+$35.86
UIC Flames vs. Bradley Bravesbacked UIC Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+284.6%+$40.29
Manhattan Jaspers vs. Iona Gaels: O/U 152.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+100%+$33.15
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Baylor Bearsbacked Baylor Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$21.11
Boston College Eagles vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irishbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+76.5%+$20.48
Seton Hall Pirates vs. DePaul Blue Demonsbacked DePaul Blue Demons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+52%+$7.44
LSU Tigers vs. Arkansas Razorbacksbacked Arkansas Razorbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+40.1%+$6.34
Spread: Navy Midshipmen (-10.5)backed Navy Midshipmen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+94.4%+$24.35
Spread: Wright State Raiders (-2.5)backed Northern Kentucky Norse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$71
North Carolina Tar Heels vs. Virginia Cavaliersbacked Virginia Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$18.28
All 11 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+17.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.64
Spurs vs. Mavericksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+40.8%+$8.17
Nets vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+28.2%+$5.64
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+28.2%+$4.4
Timberwolves vs. Raptorsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+88.7%+$9.4
Bucks vs. 76ers: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+100%+$11.07
Spread: Thunder (-10.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+104.6%+$23.09
Kings vs. Pistons: O/U 226.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$13.15
Cavaliers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$31.9
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+83%+$40.83
All 10 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST825%2 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-48%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid+13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-39.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-29.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+22.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+26.6%+$7.87
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+40.8%+$4.63
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+58.9%+$114.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NEOM SC win on 2026-01-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+49.3%+$6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-01-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+47.1%+$12.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sydney FC win on 2026-01-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+42.9%+$13.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be -2°C on January 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 324: Perez vs. Johnson (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Johnson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.