Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Navy Midshipmen (-10.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf864be59770c524d834101dee02d8a6a47cbb4e3d7cfa77e5bdccc851cf30d53
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Navy Midshipmenof Navy Midshipmen, Army Black Knights
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $792,053
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $914,754
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $792,053 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Army Black Knights | 52c | 664,184$345,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345,212.66 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc31d…4ebebacked Navy Midshipmen | 48c | 349,951$167,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181,974.56 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Navy Midshipmen | 48c | 150,000$72,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78,000 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Navy Midshipmen | 48c | 100,000$48,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,000 | 302 | 49.3%149 W · 153 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Navy Midshipmen | 49c | 22,126$10,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,254.69 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Navy Midshipmen | 48c | 21,500$10,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,180 | 212 | 62.3%132 W · 80 L | +34.7wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +37%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Navy Midshipmen | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Navy Midshipmen | 48c | 7,777$3,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,044.04 | 131 | 54.2%71 W · 60 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Navy Midshipmen | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Army Black Knights | 6c | 711.98$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.62 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Army Black Knights | 48c | 690.07$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.77 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Army Black Knights | 46c | 505.51$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.53 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Navy Midshipmen | 50c | 457$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.53 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Navy Midshipmen | 51c | 430$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.7 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +7.3wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Army Black Knights | 52c | 386.87$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -6.9wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -39%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Navy Midshipmen | 50c | 373.95$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.97 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Army Black Knights | 52c | 304$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.08 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e2…3000backed Navy Midshipmen | 51c | 303.92$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.92 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.9wins | +0.28per pick | 51cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Army Black Knights | 47c | 250$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.33 | 497 | 46.5%231 W · 266 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Army Black Knights | 7c | 205.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Navy Midshipmen | 48c | 101.92$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe77b…f10abacked Navy Midshipmen | 51c | 73.34$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.99 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +5.6wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Army Black Knights | 49c | 55.12$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.26 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6385…aecfbacked Navy Midshipmen | 51c | 50.13$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.35 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked Navy Midshipmen | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.33 | 316 | 66.1%209 W · 107 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Army Black Knights | 50c | 31.69$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Navy Midshipmen | 49c | 30.62$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.62 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Army Black Knights | 48c | 29.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50a3…0a78backed Navy Midshipmen | 50c | 29.16$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…1948backed Navy Midshipmen | 51c | 23.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.41 | 196 | 53.1%104 W · 92 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3526…8b74backed Navy Midshipmen | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Navy Midshipmen (-10.5)this page
- Army Black Knights vs. Navy MidshipmenNavy Midshipmen won
- Army Black Knights vs. Navy Midshipmen: O/U 143.5Under won
- Army Black Knights vs. Navy Midshipmen: O/U 144.5Under won
- Army Black Knights vs. Navy Midshipmen: O/U 145.5Under won
- Spread: Navy Midshipmen (-11.5)Navy Midshipmen won
- Spread: Navy Midshipmen (-9.5)Navy Midshipmen won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.