TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe9e2…3000

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
122
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 61 out of 100; worst Champions League at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST4744.7%21 W · 26 L-4.7wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-21.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Carter Bryant win the 2026 NBA dunk contest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$49.99
Will Kon Knueppel win the 2026 NBA 3-point contest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$51.05
Will Lauri Markkanen be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Will Ja Morant be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+82.2%+$104.45
Nets vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+47.1%+$124.56
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$908Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$907.67
Trail Blazers vs. Wizards: O/U 234.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+81.8%+$408.86
Warriors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+33.3%+$21.14
Spread: Rockets (-9.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Magic vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+58.7%+$23.49
Spread: Hornets (-2.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+100%+$43
76ers vs. Hornets: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+42.9%+$20.57
Pacers vs. Hawks: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+78.6%+$78.57
Nets vs. Clippers: O/U 212.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$43
Raptors vs. Thunder: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Warriors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$59
Kings vs. Pistonsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Celtics (-3.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Cavaliers vs. Magic: O/U 226.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Celtics vs. Bullsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$14.7
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Spread: Rockets (-4.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Suns vs. 76ersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+75.4%+$15.09
Spread: Warriors (-6.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+69.5%+$13.9
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST1478.6%11 W · 3 L+3.9wins+0.28per pick51cpaid+55.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona Wildcats vs. BYU Cougarsbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+66.7%+$57.05
Le Moyne Dolphins vs. Fairleigh Dickinson Knightsbacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$100
USC Trojans vs. Wisconsin Badgers: O/U 160.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+75.4%+$75.44
Chicago State Cougars vs. Mercyhurst Lakers: O/U 129.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+120.3%+$138.18
Spread: South Florida Bulls (-6.5)backed South Florida Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+108.3%+$54.55
Florida Atlantic Owls vs. South Florida Bulls: O/U 167.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+81.8%+$40.91
CSUN Matadors vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriors: O/U 157.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+112.8%+$67.66
Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Eastern Michigan Eaglesbacked Kent State Golden Flashes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+104.3%+$46.94
Spread: California-San Diego Tritons (-2.5)backed California-San Diego Tritons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$101
Manhattan Jaspers vs. Iona Gaels: O/U 152.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+104.1%+$104.72
Boston College Eagles vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish: O/U 136.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+96.1%+$58.61
Rider Broncs vs. Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers: O/U 137.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+109.4%+$109.71
Nicholls Colonels vs. Southeastern Louisiana Lions: O/U 141.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Spread: Navy Midshipmen (-10.5)backed Navy Midshipmen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+96.1%+$148.92
All 14 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST1050%5 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Utah vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+112.8%+$563.83
Islanders vs. Flyersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+42.9%+$25.71
Ducks vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$47
Panthers vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$50.81
Golden Knights vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+75.4%+$27.16
Devils vs. Krakenbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$44
Avalanche vs. Maple Leafsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+63.9%+$39
Capitals vs. Oilersbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$53
Panthers vs. Wildbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+53.8%+$43.08
Canadiens vs. Bruinsbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 10 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST850%4 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-30.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nanjing Monkey King vs. Xinjiang Flying Tigersbacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$25.83
Shanghai Sharks vs. Guangzhou Loong Lionsbacked Shanghai Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+37.3%+$10.08
Xinjiang Flying Tigers vs. Liaoning Flying Leopardsbacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+37.2%+$17.85
Qingdao Eagles vs. Guangzhou Loong Lionsbacked Qingdao Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20.31
Tianjin Pioneers vs. Ningbo Rocketsbacked Ningbo Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Shanxi Loongs vs. Liaoning Flying Leopardsbacked Shanxi Loongs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+31.6%+$15.79
Shanghai Sharks vs. Beijing Ducksbacked Shanghai Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+53.4%+$10.62
Liaoning Flying Leopards vs. Shenzhen Leopardsbacked Liaoning Flying Leopards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$86.44
All 8 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-35.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick55cpaid-53.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-34.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+26.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+51.5%+$37.76
Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+104.1%+$52.04
Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 47.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$43
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+51.3%+$56.83
All 4 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick68cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+69.5%+$34.13
FC Metz vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+104.1%+$51
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 324: Fugitt vs. Miller (Welterweight, Early Prelims)backed Fugitt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.02
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.