NBA · resolved market
Will Kon Knueppel win the 2026 NBA 3-point contest?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d65ad8aa09a132f12e0b3149498ef2458b0afcb750f4e95b79dd1f9a15e9fdd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $135,286
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $138,814
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $135,286 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 162 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Yes | 29c | 40,758$11,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,622.19 | 232 | 57.8%134 W · 98 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked No | 75c | 15,216$11,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,855.26 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed No | 66c | 14,599$9,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,974.88 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 71c | 10,627$7,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,081.93 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59f0…ed29backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +84.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked No | 71c | 10,000$7,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,899.99 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x079e…8254backed Yes | 40c | 6,810$2,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,727.1 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1da3…2f94backed Yes | 29c | 6,662$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x177e…d967backed No | 72c | 5,000$3,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,421.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Yes | 26c | 5,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.99 | 207 | 44.9%93 W · 114 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked No | 73c | 4,304$3,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,154.67 | 760 | 54.6%415 W · 345 L | +56.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2239…ded4backed Yes | 27c | 3,733$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb74b…f6b7backed No | 70c | 3,047$2,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.69 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked No | 71c | 3,000$2,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870 | 139 | 54.7%76 W · 63 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 32c | 2,258$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.82 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc26e…49c4backed Yes | 47c | 2,113$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc857…9e70backed Yes | 46c | 2,101$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.46 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.25per pick | 44cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9e…6838backed Yes | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +88.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed Yes | 23c | 2,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a55…394ebacked No | 69c | 1,659$1,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.39 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35fa…2bd4backed Yes | 25c | 1,600$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.98 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 39c | 1,525$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.45 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…3111backed Yes | 22c | 1,407$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.51 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0453…0977backed Yes | 27c | 1,400$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5833…49e8backed No | 72c | 1,400$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.99 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…9838backed No | 73c | 1,305$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.47 | 209 | 47.8%100 W · 109 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked No | 64c | 1,250$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.5 | 186 | 32.3%60 W · 126 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b64…eaf4backed No | 62c | 1,106$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.37 | 268 | 42.9%115 W · 153 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c0…722ebacked No | 72c | 1,100$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.79 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fff…b34ebacked Yes | 25c | 1,007$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.08 | 401 | 33.4%134 W · 267 L | +27.0wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked No | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…9d7dbacked Yes | 25c | 973.2$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 78c | 877.27$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.43 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69c2…40cfbacked Yes | 24c | 825$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 481 | 32.6%157 W · 324 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b29…8373backed No | 65c | 820.72$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.32 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x016c…57cdbacked No | 74c | 810.81$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.81 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 21c | 777.62$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.32 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +37%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc02…e0d4backed Yes | 27c | 742.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.89 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked No | 73c | 711.43$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.8 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Yes | 28c | 705.35$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.57 | 238 | 45%107 W · 131 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc088…7d94backed Yes | 28c | 702.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Yes | 29c | 678.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 185 | 33%61 W · 124 L | -19.5wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked No | 74c | 637.72$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.85 | 293 | 46.4%136 W · 157 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed No | 74c | 552.39$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.39 | 260 | 43.8%114 W · 146 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed No | 74c | 532.29$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.39 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.24per pick | 60cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2a…d0a4backed Yes | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -70.3%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed No | 75c | 518.92$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.73 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72bc…c332backed Yes | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 183 | 32.2%59 W · 124 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x725d…e49abacked Yes | 29c | 447.1$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.87 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 70c | 427.64$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.29 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed No | 75c | 406.05$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.95 | 908 | 63.9%580 W · 328 L | +80.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x32c9…a2ebbacked Yes | 26c | 400$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbff9…009dbacked Yes | 26c | 400$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 270 | 52.6%142 W · 128 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…a39abacked Yes | 26c | 400$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 124 | 37.9%47 W · 77 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5387…c91ebacked Yes | 22c | 399.98$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1006…e0e0backed Yes | 40c | 390.26$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3190…93bbbacked Yes | 24c | 390$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x696a…e23abacked No | 71c | 318.92$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.49 | 171 | 51.5%88 W · 83 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa53e…f9f6backed Yes | 26c | 305.9$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.25 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d2…cc46backed Yes | 29c | 302.72$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.77 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +29%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Yes | 26c | 300$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 295 | 51.9%153 W · 142 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed No | 75c | 299.99$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb415…50e4backed Yes | 25c | 291.4$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 73c | 284.55$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.64 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb92d…bbcabacked Yes | 43c | 282.71$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed No | 75c | 265.73$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.43 | 958 | 48.7%467 W · 491 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x793c…e8dabacked No | 70c | 252.41$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.41 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 64c | 250.56$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.2 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 76 | 22.4%17 W · 59 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 14cpaid | +132.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad3e…2c44backed Yes | 26c | 250$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf83d…367dbacked No | 67c | 238$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.54 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 37c | 209.52$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.81 | 222 | 43.7%97 W · 125 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Yes | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x669d…19b0backed No | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66f3…2bc6backed Yes | 28c | 198.28$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.6wins | -0.28per pick | 51cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7fbd…2a3fbacked Yes | 42c | 197.66$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Yes | 31c | 196.44$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93f1…b99dbacked No | 77c | 195.57$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.32 | 144 | 66%95 W · 49 L | +17.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe707…7410backed Yes | 29c | 182.76$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf720…66acbacked Yes | 28c | 180$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.7 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +6.8wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e2…3000backed Yes | 29c | 176.72$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.05 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd379…aa64backed Yes | 28c | 176.23$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d58…6ff1backed Yes | 28c | 171.43$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3864…857fbacked Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 139 | 57.6%80 W · 59 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb34e…f6debacked Yes | 28c | 158.21$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f9…a6ecbacked Yes | 38c | 157.8$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f54…79d2backed No | 52c | 150$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 25c | 149.11$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.83 | 179 | 41.9%75 W · 104 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 26c | 145.45$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.53 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf237…46edbacked No | 63c | 140$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.95 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa8…cd1ebacked Yes | 29c | 138.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 274 | 55.5%152 W · 122 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb5…c2adbacked Yes | 20c | 130$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x787d…d65dbacked Yes | 28c | 125.96$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b5…c986backed No | 60c | 122$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.8 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c3…f427backed Yes | 29c | 121.61$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.78 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe44b…6e0abacked Yes | 36c | 120$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 234 | 45.7%107 W · 127 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8b…863ebacked Yes | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 49cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Yes | 34c | 115.32$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.8 | 100 | 28%28 W · 72 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 66c | 112.37$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kon Knueppel win the 2026 NBA 3-point contest?this page
- Will Bobby Portis Jr. win the 2026 NBA 3-point contest?No won
- Will Damian Lillard win the 2026 NBA 3-point contest?Yes won
- Will Devin Booker win the 2026 NBA 3-point contest?No won
- Will Donovan Mitchell win the 2026 NBA 3-point contest?No won
- Will Jamal Murray win the 2026 NBA 3-point contest?No won
- Will Normal Powell win the 2026 NBA 3-point contest?No won
- Will Tyrese Maxey win the 2026 NBA 3-point contest?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.