NBA · resolved market
Will Damian Lillard win the 2026 NBA 3-point contest?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x54251183c2075cd228b9e05cd163168083c6ccafd344c7591ff873921de3964f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $100,731
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $105,671
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,731 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x777d…5143backed No | 70c | 39,260$27,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,481.71 | 197 | 54.3%107 W · 90 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Yes | 30c | 15,000$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,500.16 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 30c | 10,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,000.27 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Yes | 16c | 10,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,399.94 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 30c | 5,312$1,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,724.44 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a55…394ebacked Yes | 30c | 5,000$1,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,501.86 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Yes | 30c | 5,000$1,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,503.88 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Yes | 22c | 4,444$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,466.32 | 390 | 51.5%201 W · 189 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked No | 78c | 4,359$3,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,399.44 | 285 | 54%154 W · 131 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe507…1258backed Yes | 17c | 3,493$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,898.79 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e02…b1c5backed Yes | 20c | 2,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Yes | 16c | 2,000$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,679.97 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 66c | 1,846$1,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224.03 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 74c | 1,654$1,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230.66 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7c…cbaabacked Yes | 19c | 1,244$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.14 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes | 23c | 1,208$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.36 | 288 | 38.2%110 W · 178 L | -17.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 25c | 1,174$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x072d…0d35backed Yes | 18c | 1,133$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.01 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.25per pick | 32cpaid | +94.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 20c | 991.86$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.51 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +37%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2a…d0a4backed Yes | 77c | 690.98$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.78 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -70.3%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Yes | 17c | 650$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.5 | 824 | 40.4%333 W · 491 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf83d…367dbacked Yes | 17c | 589$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.87 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…3111backed Yes | 19c | 555.64$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.3 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c0…722ebacked No | 79c | 549.97$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.47 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x622e…07abbacked Yes | 20c | 505.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.19 | 173 | 56.1%97 W · 76 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…e5b2backed Yes | 46c | 501.86$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.42 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51d9…cb1abacked Yes | 31c | 500$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x538d…34b1backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Yes | 30c | 499.99$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.99 | 186 | 32.3%60 W · 126 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 10c | 497$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.7 | 76 | 22.4%17 W · 59 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 14cpaid | +132.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 66c | 473.7$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.21 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x016c…57cdbacked Yes | 18c | 416.67$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.67 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5f…1ae6backed Yes | 20c | 402.9$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.9 | 195 | 31.3%61 W · 134 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff9…009dbacked Yes | 17c | 399.97$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.98 | 270 | 52.6%142 W · 128 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 18c | 397.77$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.65 | 212 | 43.4%92 W · 120 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0af…72b6backed Yes | 20c | 393.33$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +121.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc02…e0d4backed Yes | 19c | 328.63$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.19 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d1…aa33backed Yes | 17c | 299.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.99 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 70c | 258.15$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.71 | 222 | 43.7%97 W · 125 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b29…8373backed Yes | 18c | 236$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.52 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa53e…f9f6backed No | 71c | 220.27$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.92 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x669d…19b0backed No | 73c | 216.78$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.88 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf417…40f0backed Yes | 18c | 215$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 21cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6f…deeebacked Yes | 66c | 200$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e7…fef1backed Yes | 18c | 196.24$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.24 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc62a…a8efbacked Yes | 21c | 194.64$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.64 | 140 | 32.9%46 W · 94 L | -11.8wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a0…d84fbacked Yes | 18c | 184.88$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 69c | 179.7$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.99 | 401 | 33.4%134 W · 267 L | +27.0wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x039a…b09dbacked Yes | 36c | 166.05$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.05 | 65 | 29.2%19 W · 46 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf4…1150backed Yes | 18c | 165.44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +460.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x054a…5fdbbacked Yes | 18c | 162.89$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +171.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb92d…bbcabacked Yes | 64c | 162.84$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.62 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 17c | 161.39$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.95 | 52 | 25%13 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +27%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe4…5504backed No | 70c | 142.84$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56f7…4de1backed Yes | 18c | 138.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +281.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9209…dc9bbacked Yes | 18c | 138.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.89 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 19c | 138.74$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.58 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Yes | 17c | 136.9$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.63 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3af2…5212backed Yes | 19c | 131$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.11 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa049…0558backed Yes | 19c | 126.32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.32 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa45c…1d10backed No | 64c | 119$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.81 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Yes | 17c | 109.71$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.41 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed No | 80c | 108.23$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.32 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.24per pick | 60cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf939…44d2backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.26 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x567c…245abacked Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.26 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x447f…4f2abacked No | 70c | 104$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.8 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3940…9e72backed Yes | 19c | 102.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.99 | 300 | 44.3%133 W · 167 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c4…511bbacked Yes | 20c | 101.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc212…c8ebbacked Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3f…ae90backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb208…90f7backed Yes | 19c | 94.74$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.74 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa1…daebbacked No | 71c | 86.12$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf237…46edbacked Yes | 19c | 74.91$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.04 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c1…0320backed Yes | 37c | 72.97$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.97 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 19c | 68.2$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.06 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef2…94a4backed Yes | 49c | 67.35$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.35 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -46%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…30a1backed Yes | 17c | 61$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.63 | 255 | 46.7%119 W · 136 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b7…9d21backed Yes | 18c | 60.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.43 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd46b…5dabbacked Yes | 18c | 60$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.2 | 102 | 26.5%27 W · 75 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x712b…b273backed Yes | 18c | 60$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 32cpaid | +170.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7872…bedcbacked Yes | 50c | 55.94$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb388…dc58backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x49d7…1635backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…453dbacked Yes | 52c | 36.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.46 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed No | 80c | 30$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 633 | 53.1%336 W · 297 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x405b…755cbacked No | 75c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43f2…754cbacked Yes | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 60cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fee…5a90backed Yes | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8aac…0e7abacked No | 79c | 28.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.52 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d98…38a4backed Yes | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…0958backed No | 74c | 19.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb96a…000bbacked No | 78c | 14.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 970 | 49.5%480 W · 490 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Damian Lillard win the 2026 NBA 3-point contest?this page
- Will Bobby Portis Jr. win the 2026 NBA 3-point contest?No won
- Will Devin Booker win the 2026 NBA 3-point contest?No won
- Will Donovan Mitchell win the 2026 NBA 3-point contest?No won
- Will Jamal Murray win the 2026 NBA 3-point contest?No won
- Will Kon Knueppel win the 2026 NBA 3-point contest?No won
- Will Normal Powell win the 2026 NBA 3-point contest?No won
- Will Tyrese Maxey win the 2026 NBA 3-point contest?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.