TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcc02…e0d4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
201
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NBA, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 54 out of 100; worst NFL at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT15238.8%59 W · 93 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 152 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$271Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$271.39
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$182.29
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$228.48
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$165.91
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$264.5
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$67.08
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$135
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$76.66
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.53
76ers vs. Knicksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.32
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+172%+$101.46
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$251Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+72.9%+$183.22
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+145.8%+$335.24
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+100%+$33
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$186
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.19
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$126.84
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+150%+$40.11
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.84
Suns vs. Thunderbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.56
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.06
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$146
Mavericks vs. Spursbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.46
Showing 25 of 152 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT3821.1%8 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick24cpaid+4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Egypt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Egypt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 0 Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 3 Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 0 Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 3 France?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 2 France?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Cabo Verde?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$78
Lionel Messi: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.88
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advancebacked Cabo Verde · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$69.46
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 2 Egypt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$68
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$62.36
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+73.9%+$43.61
Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Croatia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$133.85
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Austria?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$183.33
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Austria?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Exact Score: United States 3 - 0 Bosnia and Herzegovina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Belgium 0 - 1 Senegal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Exact Score: England 2 - 0 DR Congo?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 24, 2025, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Vikings vs. Chargersbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$200.5
Falcons vs. 49ersbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$165.04
Eagles vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$109.87
Rams vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$165.38
All 4 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+188.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+188.9%+$151.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+143%+$102.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 4, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Government shutdown end October 31-November 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$11.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.