TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Cabo Verde?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,921,537
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,951,391

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,921,537 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,028 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes17c192,810$33,206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,205.968,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes18c181,403$32,854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,854.432,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4ae…8eadbacked Yes17c53,741$9,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,135.9735514.4%51 W · 304 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick14cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes15c50,000$7,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,55027039.6%107 W · 163 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde0a…f102backed Yes17c46,353$8,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,057.0256410.5%59 W · 505 L-1.5wins0.00per pick11cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89cd…4d7dbacked Yes17c41,235$6,922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,922.3730214.6%44 W · 258 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed Yes16c36,191$5,817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,816.678317.4%136 W · 647 L-0.1wins0.00per pick17cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6eb7…3cd4backed Yes18c33,874$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,0007035.7%25 W · 45 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-31%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x28d3…c27cbacked Yes17c29,412$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0002828.6%8 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick22cpaid-6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6320…7e94backed Yes17c28,000$4,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,839.9638817.5%68 W · 320 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9a6…627bbacked Yes18c27,920$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00011645.7%53 W · 63 L+0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e95…1776backed Yes17c22,500$3,825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,824.991567.7%12 W · 144 L-0.4wins0.00per pick8cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeee5…3d51backed Yes18c21,930$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0005719.3%11 W · 46 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick16cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No80c20,135$16,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,116.074,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x442f…e7a2backed Yes19c15,000$2,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,85011038.2%42 W · 68 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x27f4…7763backed Yes18c10,627$1,901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,901.1510749.5%53 W · 54 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x582f…b45cbacked Yes17c10,588$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,799.929218.5%17 W · 75 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick16cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfeeb…87b6backed Yes18c10,023$1,804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,804.217727.3%21 W · 56 L+0.2wins0.00per pick27cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18b8…c368backed Yes15c10,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50017733.9%60 W · 117 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb87b…3626backed Yes17c10,000$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,70024526.5%65 W · 180 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Yes17c10,000$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7009839.8%39 W · 59 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x18d4…69a9backed Yes18c9,761$1,757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,756.9725124.7%62 W · 189 L+14.5wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes21c8,415$1,804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,804.044,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe214…c5cebacked Yes17c7,757$1,319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,318.6322437.1%83 W · 141 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6189…d6ebbacked Yes18c6,000$1,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.3615144.4%67 W · 84 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5d8…94e7backed Yes17c5,882$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002412.5%3 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-64.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf271…acf2backed Yes17c5,719$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008727.6%24 W · 63 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked No77c5,182$3,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,191.8414553.8%78 W · 67 L+9.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2970…e1c9backed Yes19c5,000$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95014351.7%74 W · 69 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes18c5,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.995824.1%14 W · 44 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5605…83e2backed Yes19c4,690$891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$891.135110.8%38 W · 313 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick10cpaid+13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc82f…66a7backed Yes18c4,500$813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$812.533235.5%118 W · 214 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a79…0d92backed Yes16c4,500$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73515226.3%40 W · 112 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+34.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8608…8b76backed Yes17c4,340$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$737.7912015%18 W · 102 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick16cpaid+9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes15c4,134$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612.82,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2fc…b1b4backed Yes21c4,117$881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881.1436634.4%126 W · 240 L-24.4wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-38.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x82ba…afeabacked Yes16c4,063$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65015337.3%57 W · 96 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x16a4…66adbacked Yes18c3,839$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70017518.3%32 W · 143 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1fd…948ebacked Yes17c3,645$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.6517416.1%28 W · 146 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-37.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab63…8f4bbacked Yes17c3,529$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60012634.9%44 W · 82 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Yes23c3,333$767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$766.5932029.4%94 W · 226 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes14c3,280$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.22,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Yes21c3,255$697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$697.2469826.1%182 W · 516 L-21.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Yes19c3,250$618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$617.541429%120 W · 294 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7735…4740backed Yes17c3,065$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5216729.2%62 W · 610 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Yes19c3,000$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57035229.3%103 W · 249 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+20.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea3d…1600backed Yes17c2,954$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.183225%8 W · 24 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b83…5452backed Yes17c2,941$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002128.6%6 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick19cpaid+37%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe5a…6962backed Yes17c2,917$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.137211.1%8 W · 64 L-0.1wins0.00per pick11cpaid-20.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91d7…0dfcbacked Yes17c2,905$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.8358530.9%181 W · 404 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-28%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x662a…77b7backed Yes18c2,778$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50026618%48 W · 218 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bbc…a861backed Yes18c2,778$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002623.1%6 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-23.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeff8…68ebbacked Yes18c2,722$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49013237.1%49 W · 83 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9f4…53c9backed Yes17c2,447$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.91323.1%1 W · 31 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick8cpaid-68.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4154…e7a8backed Yes21c2,322$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.5729633.4%99 W · 197 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41f9…02fdbacked Yes17c2,194$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37318128.7%52 W · 129 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc330…2b7bbacked Yes18c2,164$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4007229.2%21 W · 51 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f99…5936backed Yes17c2,059$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3506320.6%13 W · 50 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick17cpaid+37.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e51…42cebacked Yes16c2,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32032642.9%140 W · 186 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1057…9da7backed Yes17c2,000$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3406717.9%12 W · 55 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick15cpaid+58.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b5a…7070backed Yes21c2,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4205863.8%37 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Yes19c1,765$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.7956022.7%127 W · 433 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick24cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3d7…ebaabacked Yes17c1,765$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300773.9%3 W · 74 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…fc6cbacked Yes17c1,639$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.6528528.8%82 W · 203 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe471…c87cbacked Yes19c1,600$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29827811.9%33 W · 245 L-1.1wins0.00per pick12cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62f8…f64fbacked Yes19c1,579$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30018452.2%96 W · 88 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes19c1,579$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30038817%66 W · 322 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bfc…4ce3backed Yes16c1,563$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.15per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1402…4853backed Yes19c1,527$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29015317%26 W · 127 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f51…2647backed Yes19c1,500$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2857031.4%22 W · 48 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe995…5255backed Yes18c1,500$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27016030.6%49 W · 111 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick29cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d57…9d36backed Yes17c1,500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2556317.5%11 W · 52 L-0.2wins0.00per pick18cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafe8…42ccbacked Yes17c1,471$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25035621.9%78 W · 278 L+0.6wins0.00per pick22cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe61a…cbc5backed Yes16c1,469$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2351827.8%5 W · 13 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdfe8…67d4backed Yes18c1,450$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.9710230.4%31 W · 71 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick25cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd533…5713backed Yes21c1,435$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007025.7%18 W · 52 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick23cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes18c1,431$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.9171939.1%281 W · 438 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-33%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e19…a2c3backed Yes17c1,421$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.57540%2 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick17cpaid+210.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd51…475cbacked Yes21c1,340$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2805719.3%11 W · 46 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick20cpaid+16.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0e4…8048backed Yes15c1,330$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.810045%45 W · 55 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes17c1,314$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.451,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb124…7380backed Yes23c1,304$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30034537.1%128 W · 217 L-14.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes15c1,292$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20050214.5%73 W · 429 L+2.3wins0.00per pick14cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x146a…af76backed Yes17c1,258$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.86119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick19cpaid-34.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd31d…3d13backed Yes16c1,250$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006741.8%28 W · 39 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9067…8cf5backed Yes16c1,250$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007135.2%25 W · 46 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd134…29febacked Yes16c1,250$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007726%20 W · 57 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick19cpaid+59.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Yes18c1,201$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.251,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Yes18c1,192$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.0735719.6%70 W · 287 L-13.8wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5745…aa5ebacked Yes17c1,176$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005623.2%13 W · 43 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick18cpaid+42.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1286…da74backed Yes17c1,147$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19520427.5%56 W · 148 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6d5…658bbacked Yes17c1,144$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015336.6%56 W · 97 L+12.2wins+0.08per pick29cpaid+38.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaf16…464ebacked Yes17c1,142$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.1612117.4%21 W · 100 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x135d…56c0backed Yes17c1,137$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.2512923.3%30 W · 99 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick21cpaid+18.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5108…29cbbacked Yes18c1,111$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20037955.7%211 W · 168 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55ec…ac5bbacked Yes18c1,111$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008720.7%18 W · 69 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1bc…420dbacked Yes18c1,082$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010130.7%31 W · 70 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a5c…c003backed Yes17c1,059$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1806615.2%10 W · 56 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick14cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd777…26b8backed Yes17c1,059$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1802010%2 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick12cpaid-27.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c16…04f7backed Yes19c1,053$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015621.8%34 W · 122 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.