Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 2 Cabo Verde?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf2742bbeb261986445c1239f126262d9d0cb71f29daaccd2ca1990cda1763d59
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $699,013
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $664,990
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $699,013 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 2c | 119,569$2,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,458.97 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa940…9cffbacked Yes | 1c | 103,619$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd71c…c4c5backed Yes | 1c | 28,607$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21e7…4041backed Yes | 2c | 10,845$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 126 | 6.3%8 W · 118 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x152f…a549backed Yes | 2c | 10,390$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 57 | 12.3%7 W · 50 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde0a…f102backed Yes | 1c | 7,423$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.23 | 564 | 10.5%59 W · 505 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fcc…5f1bbacked Yes | 2c | 6,864$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 109 | 36.7%40 W · 69 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c36…89ffbacked Yes | 2c | 6,308$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.2 | 290 | 17.6%51 W · 239 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2c…4f59backed Yes | 0c | 5,452$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.18 | 36 | 11.1%4 W · 32 L | -4.9wins | -0.14per pick | 25cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4926…e7cdbacked Yes | 1c | 4,891$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.78 | 59 | 0%0 W · 59 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e95…1776backed Yes | 1c | 4,555$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.66 | 156 | 7.7%12 W · 144 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe80f…3354backed Yes | 1c | 4,232$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 317 | 28.1%89 W · 228 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb73…53b0backed Yes | 7c | 4,185$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 159 | 30.8%49 W · 110 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x441b…b884backed Yes | 2c | 3,631$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Yes | 1c | 3,405$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.96 | 1,240 | 43.7%542 W · 698 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6edb…a7c7backed Yes | 1c | 3,267$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Yes | 1c | 3,180$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.13 | 783 | 17.4%136 W · 647 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b0…1a94backed Yes | 1c | 2,692$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 193 | 24.4%47 W · 146 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacb5…a739backed Yes | 1c | 2,615$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 97 | 33%32 W · 65 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c6c…74c8backed Yes | 2c | 2,548$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 76 | 13.2%10 W · 66 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 7cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…421bbacked Yes | 1c | 2,523$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 84 | 32.1%27 W · 57 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc423…03b9backed Yes | 5c | 2,095$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 409 | 12%49 W · 360 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…2cbfbacked Yes | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 366 | 31.1%114 W · 252 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x128e…7f2ebacked Yes | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Yes | 3c | 2,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 246 | 35.8%88 W · 158 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…535dbacked Yes | 5c | 1,979$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 273 | 27.5%75 W · 198 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf4…f4c3backed Yes | 1c | 1,894$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 151 | 25.2%38 W · 113 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…22f0backed Yes | 1c | 1,830$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.47 | 27 | 0%0 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2253…4b5abacked Yes | 1c | 1,724$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4d…8cfebacked Yes | 1c | 1,700$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f6…7d7abacked Yes | 2c | 1,567$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 61 | 6.6%4 W · 57 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f1e…8181backed Yes | 5c | 1,527$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.18per pick | 31cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6f…96e5backed Yes | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f17…c1dbbacked Yes | 1c | 1,500$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 288 | 8%23 W · 265 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61bd…c3c8backed Yes | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 20cpaid | -91.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72a3…785fbacked Yes | 3c | 1,498$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.95 | 200 | 49.5%99 W · 101 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dad…ee77backed Yes | 1c | 1,460$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 128 | 32.8%42 W · 86 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60f6…a196backed Yes | 1c | 1,435$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.71 | 460 | 12.4%57 W · 403 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…cf16backed Yes | 2c | 1,384$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 626 | 6.7%42 W · 584 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x762c…9f9fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,384$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5648…a6c4backed Yes | 2c | 1,329$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 207 | 8.2%17 W · 190 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfc…4169backed Yes | 2c | 1,188$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 0%0 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf63a…d769backed Yes | 3c | 1,162$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.69 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cfc…661ebacked Yes | 3c | 1,100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 127 | 11.8%15 W · 112 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce2d…c9abbacked Yes | 1c | 1,075$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 62 | 17.7%11 W · 51 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7e…0332backed Yes | 1c | 1,071$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 535 | 14.6%78 W · 457 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x576a…c4f0backed Yes | 2c | 1,065$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x056b…840fbacked Yes | 4c | 1,006$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.63 | 121 | 14.9%18 W · 103 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b83…008bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742e…99b2backed Yes | 5c | 971.97$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.41 | 230 | 22.6%52 W · 178 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9506…9986backed Yes | 1c | 961.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5816…8167backed Yes | 1c | 909.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 169 | 20.1%34 W · 135 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25a0…d543backed Yes | 1c | 902.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1b…985abacked Yes | 1c | 890.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ddc…e1aabacked Yes | 1c | 875.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 118 | 11.9%14 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1834…e164backed Yes | 1c | 833.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d41…8bbabacked Yes | 1c | 800$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…89bcbacked Yes | 4c | 775$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Yes | 2c | 765.01$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 698 | 26.1%182 W · 516 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed Yes | 6c | 754.92$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.42 | 76 | 32.9%25 W · 51 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f20…186bbacked Yes | 7c | 734.82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 124 | 17.7%22 W · 102 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06ae…3c7dbacked Yes | 3c | 705.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | +110.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30d3…31a3backed Yes | 5c | 659.04$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 77 | 27.3%21 W · 56 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed Yes | 5c | 651$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.6 | 357 | 34.5%123 W · 234 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3284…0673backed Yes | 5c | 638.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd380…0700backed Yes | 2c | 625$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f4…3695backed Yes | 5c | 625$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa6…bfd5backed Yes | 7c | 588.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 173 | 9.2%16 W · 157 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf69…04a0backed Yes | 4c | 526.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 125 | 14.4%18 W · 107 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -29%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8b…6a9fbacked Yes | 4c | 512.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7264…8121backed Yes | 4c | 512.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 75 | 28%21 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc27e…dc33backed Yes | 6c | 501.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed Yes | 6c | 497$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 326 | 39%127 W · 199 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…e196backed Yes | 7c | 466.32$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.71 | 172 | 29.1%50 W · 122 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Yes | 4c | 449.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 357 | 19.6%70 W · 287 L | -13.8wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd00…d1afbacked Yes | 5c | 414.93$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.86 | 455 | 28.4%129 W · 326 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf255…a2f1backed Yes | 5c | 408.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f6…ae08backed Yes | 3c | 407.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x971d…19bcbacked Yes | 4c | 400$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 53 | 7.5%4 W · 49 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes | 5c | 399.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 388 | 17%66 W · 322 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 3c | 386.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x370f…57e8backed Yes | 5c | 371.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 17.1%7 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x752e…b1b3backed Yes | 5c | 370.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 92 | 31.5%29 W · 63 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Yes | 4c | 369.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 981 | 34.8%341 W · 640 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8323…1ac0backed Yes | 4c | 345.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…fcfebacked Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 96 | 7.3%7 W · 89 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5679…a939backed Yes | 7c | 321.43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 89 | 14.6%13 W · 76 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Yes | 5c | 299.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 669 | 32.1%215 W · 454 L | +16.8wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7932…bb2fbacked Yes | 6c | 295$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4001…3fb3backed Yes | 5c | 288.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 143 | 35%50 W · 93 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c75…c91fbacked Yes | 5c | 280$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 107 | 37.4%40 W · 67 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked Yes | 6c | 271$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 361 | 39.1%141 W · 220 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf206…5e50backed Yes | 6c | 269.93$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6b…b245backed Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 63 | 20.6%13 W · 50 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 5c | 242.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77dc…ef04backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…ba06backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fd…53dfbacked Yes | 6c | 194.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 454 | 24.7%112 W · 342 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x208d…6fb3backed Yes | 7c | 155.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Yes | 7c | 149.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 1,063 | 31.7%337 W · 726 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 2 Cabo Verde?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 0 Cabo Verde?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 1 Cabo Verde?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 2 Cabo Verde?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 3 Cabo Verde?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Cabo Verde?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 1 Cabo Verde?Yes won
- Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 3 Cabo Verde?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Cabo Verde?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Cabo Verde?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 2 Cabo Verde?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 3 Cabo Verde?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Cabo Verde?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Cabo Verde?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 2 Cabo Verde?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 3 Cabo Verde?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.