TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Cabo Verde?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,924,499
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,869,199

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,924,499 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 419 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes3c606,405$17,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,084.788,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes7c158,963$11,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,879.842,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd49f…4507backed Yes8c103,820$8,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,00012210.7%13 W · 109 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x424d…3b7ebacked Yes8c20,299$1,549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,548.6311421.1%24 W · 90 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick15cpaid+32.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x06ae…3c7dbacked Yes0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201030%3 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick20cpaid+110.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x89cd…4d7dbacked Yes7c18,829$1,397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,397.1630214.6%44 W · 258 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde0a…f102backed Yes8c17,628$1,334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,334.1556410.5%59 W · 505 L-1.5wins0.00per pick11cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x582f…b45cbacked Yes7c16,651$1,203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,202.929218.5%17 W · 75 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick16cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc6d…31cebacked Yes8c15,625$1,186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,186.2366932.1%215 W · 454 L+16.8wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-14.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb87b…3626backed Yes7c14,996$1,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,077.9324526.5%65 W · 180 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed Yes7c14,361$1,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,028.1678317.4%136 W · 647 L-0.1wins0.00per pick17cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5d8…94e7backed Yes7c13,483$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002412.5%3 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-64.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18d4…69a9backed Yes16c10,804$1,761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,761.2425124.7%62 W · 189 L+14.5wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6320…7e94backed Yes7c10,000$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71038817.5%68 W · 320 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes7c8,977$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.122,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb41a…5b07backed Yes8c8,874$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678.382240.9%9 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick35cpaid-11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaca0…9b86backed Yes20c7,349$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5009929.3%29 W · 70 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a79…0d92backed Yes13c6,500$822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82215226.3%40 W · 112 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+34.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc82f…66a7backed Yes8c6,250$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.2533235.5%118 W · 214 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Yes8c5,374$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.2369826.1%182 W · 516 L-21.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x96ac…dc89backed Yes4c5,111$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.768913.5%12 W · 77 L-0.1wins0.00per pick14cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes20c5,000$1,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0105824.1%14 W · 44 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf8a…2d3cbacked Yes7c4,996$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.6826216%42 W · 220 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+35%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x91d7…0dfcbacked Yes8c4,868$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.5658530.9%181 W · 404 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-28%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc128…2217backed Yes8c4,582$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35025228.2%71 W · 181 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-22.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Yes7c4,257$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.4798134.8%341 W · 640 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x662a…77b7backed Yes7c4,069$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.9526618%48 W · 218 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6189…d6ebbacked Yes7c4,000$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.9915144.4%67 W · 84 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3db…0f98backed Yes7c3,807$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.1419020.5%39 W · 151 L-0.7wins0.00per pick21cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2824…4aacbacked Yes8c3,712$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.8810921.1%23 W · 86 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick26cpaid+3.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd31d…3d13backed Yes6c3,658$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2106741.8%28 W · 39 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x945d…4c3dbacked Yes14c3,523$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500417.3%3 W · 38 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick12cpaid-67.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cea…e48ebacked Yes5c3,261$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.4424146.1%111 W · 130 L+8.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+16.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8608…8b76backed Yes7c3,110$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.8112015%18 W · 102 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick16cpaid+9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3315…3fbbbacked Yes0c3,060$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05ae…5a4bbacked Yes7c3,043$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22636024.4%88 W · 272 L-0.7wins0.00per pick25cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47ff…7ccbbacked Yes8c3,000$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23425418.1%46 W · 208 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick17cpaid+21%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe6e…074ebacked Yes7c3,000$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2169111%10 W · 81 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick9cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes6c2,673$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.971,01931.6%322 W · 697 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c36…89ffbacked Yes7c2,627$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.7129017.6%51 W · 239 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9032…a2b8backed Yes7c2,605$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.05650%3 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+198.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x119b…ac3ebacked Yes8c2,597$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008944.9%40 W · 49 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x61ac…4781backed Yes23c2,500$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57552522.5%118 W · 407 L+0.5wins0.00per pick22cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe086…0450backed Yes7c2,491$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.732044.1%141 W · 179 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0728…40f4backed Yes8c2,308$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17416225.9%42 W · 120 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick21cpaid+36.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Yes7c2,294$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.5856022.7%127 W · 433 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick24cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Yes7c2,250$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.2541429%120 W · 294 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x613a…2185backed Yes8c2,192$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.4946230.1%139 W · 323 L-13.8wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Yes6c2,132$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.911,06331.7%337 W · 726 L-33.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e1c…b3abbacked Yes7c2,072$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.127520.4%56 W · 219 L+1.2wins0.00per pick20cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2d4…c45abacked Yes7c2,065$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15028716.4%47 W · 240 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa67d…dbecbacked Yes6c2,050$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12531611.4%36 W · 280 L+0.4wins0.00per pick11cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51cf…106cbacked Yes7c2,025$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15015321.6%33 W · 120 L+0.1wins0.00per pick21cpaid-23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6242…841bbacked Yes8c2,010$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.3317735%62 W · 115 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f49…902ebacked Yes14c2,000$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.457037.1%26 W · 44 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7735…4740backed Yes7c1,824$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1296729.2%62 W · 610 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes7c1,701$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12050214.5%73 W · 429 L+2.3wins0.00per pick14cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa48a…08cebacked Yes6c1,667$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10050%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9629…972bbacked Yes7c1,647$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.952187.3%16 W · 202 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9254…3af8backed Yes7c1,647$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12017211%19 W · 153 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6042…413bbacked Yes7c1,555$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1128626.7%23 W · 63 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick19cpaid+35.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x15fc…e2b0backed Yes6c1,533$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.9545932.5%149 W · 310 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes13c1,517$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.1871939.1%281 W · 438 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-33%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdaa6…3e62backed Yes17c1,508$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.231920.1%64 W · 255 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick19cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd67b…5780backed Yes7c1,500$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1089017.8%16 W · 74 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-34.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37a1…6691backed Yes7c1,481$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.5919125.1%48 W · 143 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+79.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes6c1,461$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.218644.6%83 W · 103 L+0.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes8c1,431$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.344,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x780d…d20cbacked Yes7c1,429$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004440.9%18 W · 26 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ca5…caa8backed Yes7c1,404$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006523.1%15 W · 50 L+0.2wins0.00per pick23cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02a6…3463backed Yes8c1,392$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10711723.1%27 W · 90 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+22.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe049…393cbacked Yes7c1,389$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004522.2%10 W · 35 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick18cpaid-14.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a5f…085abacked Yes7c1,378$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002810.7%3 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick11cpaid-14%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c6c…74c8backed Yes7c1,377$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007613.2%10 W · 66 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick7cpaid+32.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb907…539abacked Yes7c1,370$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010718.7%20 W · 87 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-32.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62a4…c680backed Yes7c1,368$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018321.3%39 W · 144 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-31.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c1f…0035backed Yes7c1,363$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003826.3%10 W · 28 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f96…f46dbacked Yes7c1,341$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003917.9%7 W · 32 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick8cpaid+172.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb7c8…c18bbacked Yes8c1,335$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.135315.1%8 W · 45 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick17cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cf6…7f9dbacked Yes7c1,333$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-36.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9af…40c4backed Yes7c1,331$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.6723218.1%42 W · 190 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-37.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x77a8…a003backed Yes7c1,317$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.357118.3%13 W · 58 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-53.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55ec…ac5bbacked Yes8c1,316$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008720.7%18 W · 69 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5745…aa5ebacked Yes8c1,309$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005623.2%13 W · 43 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick18cpaid+42.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc754…7c8bbacked Yes8c1,307$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.385012%6 W · 44 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick8cpaid+113.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e5e…2c32backed Yes8c1,299$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008942.7%38 W · 51 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21e7…4041backed Yes8c1,299$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001266.3%8 W · 118 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick12cpaid-75.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe785…1ccdbacked Yes4c1,250$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.7515420.8%32 W · 122 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick20cpaid+69.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5c…c003backed Yes7c1,250$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$906615.2%10 W · 56 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick14cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf51a…7e42backed Yes8c1,219$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.095012%6 W · 44 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-31.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e95…1776backed Yes7c1,205$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.631567.7%12 W · 144 L-0.4wins0.00per pick8cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6acd…2fa7backed Yes7c1,152$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.1616727.5%46 W · 121 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+28.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc886…4f48backed Yes7c1,119$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805313.2%7 W · 46 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick23cpaid-59.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8783…4eb2backed Yes7c1,096$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807529.3%22 W · 53 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe471…c87cbacked Yes20c1,050$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.7527811.9%33 W · 245 L-1.1wins0.00per pick12cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb4d…bb58backed Yes8c1,000$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7734751%177 W · 170 L+19.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+19.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x49f3…4e4fbacked Yes7c995.74$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$732317.4%4 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick14cpaid+20.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes8c994$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.532,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8adc…7a1bbacked Yes8c974.03$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75997.1%7 W · 92 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick11cpaid-49.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6c8…b9e6backed Yes7c962.71$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7021837.6%82 W · 136 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.