TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdaa6…3e62

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
765
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NBA, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 61 out of 100; worst Crypto Milestones at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT31920.1%64 W · 255 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick19cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 319 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$2,657Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,657.19
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$962Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+648.1%+$6,237.6
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+477.7%+$457.86
Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.1
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.78
Will Ferran Torres be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$137.96
President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.3
Argentina leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$252
Spain leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Lionel Messi: 2+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$108
Lionel Messi: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$197.99
Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.24
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$225
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.5
Jude Bellingham: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$129
Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$207.49
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+296.8%+$374
Marcus Rashford: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Showing 25 of 319 picks, newest first.
Middle Eastlast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT31344.1%138 W · 175 L+19.6wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 313 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel military action against Syria by September 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.7
Israel military action against Syria by August 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$308Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$308.46
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+106.5%+$162.45
Israel agrees to Board of Peace Gaza plan by August 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.72
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$233Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$233.18
Will Netanyahu wear a Yarmulke at next meeting with Trump?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.8
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.01
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.13
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.72
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$238Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+150%+$357.37
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$201.16
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$423Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$423.02
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.68
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$446Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$445.82
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.34
Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+83.9%+$17.04
Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$362Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+37.5%+$135.49
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+465%+$538.79
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.7
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.15
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$172.76
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+133.1%+$115.77
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+327.1%+$260.4
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,010Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$354.86
Showing 25 of 313 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT3948.7%19 W · 20 L+6.4wins+0.16per pick32cpaid+33.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
NBA — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$355Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+229.4%+$814.83
Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H Moneylinebacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.5
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+423.7%+$728.13
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$54
Spurs vs. Knicks: 1H Moneylinebacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$28.08
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$63.6
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+203%+$33.5
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$28.5
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+86.1%+$106.4
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.5
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$396Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$395.97
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 210.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+93.9%+$52.31
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$28
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$15.45
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Trail Blazers backed Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.26
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.2
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+78.8%+$21.11
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.54
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+234.4%+$60.36
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.3
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+525%+$103.7
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.57
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.88
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+215.6%+$255.49
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
Valorantlast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT2133.3%7 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-19.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Sentinels vs KRÜ Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked KRÜ Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$47.69
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-Inbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+316.8%+$82.98
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs G2 Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs G2 Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.69
Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs MIBR - Map 2 Winnerbacked KRÜ Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.5
Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs MIBR - Map 1 Winnerbacked KRÜ Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.69
Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs BESTIA (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-Inbacked BESTIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.31
Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs BESTIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked KRÜ Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Joblife (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Insbacked Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$117.99
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Joblife - Map 2 Winnerbacked Joblife · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.4
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Joblife - Map 1 Winnerbacked Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.17
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Cloud9 - Map 2 Winnerbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$200.29
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omegabacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$198.1
Valorant: FOKUS Sakura vs ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby - Map 2 Winnerbacked FOKUS Sakura · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.2
Valorant: SK Nebula vs FOKUS Sakura - Map 2 Winnerbacked SK Nebula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.93
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Sentinels (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omegabacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$37
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Sentinels - Map 2 Winnerbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.7
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Sentinels - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$284Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$283.61
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stagebacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+146.3%+$53.68
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stagebacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.6
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stagebacked FULL SENSE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.7
All 21 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT1833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$183.99
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$996Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$996
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.69
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$327Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$327.36
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$59
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+186%+$75.08
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$675Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$674.92
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.35
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$182
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.9
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+114%+$301.63
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$535Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$535.38
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$926Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+66.9%+$619.57
Will Israel or the US target Fordow nuclear facility?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$372Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$371.53
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.28
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.83
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian oil or gas facility?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+132.2%+$322.64
Will Iran strike gulf oil facilities by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+42.9%+$210
All 18 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+30.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: SK Gaming vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winnerbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$43.47
LoL: SK Gaming vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winnerbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+300%+$225
LoL: LYON vs Sentinels (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$64
LoL: LYON vs Sentinels - Game 2 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+159%+$79.79
LoL: LYON vs Sentinels - Game 1 Winnerbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+72.6%+$16.83
LoL: FlyQuest vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winnerbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
LoL: G2 Esports vs Fnatic - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.25
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+203%+$66.99
LoL: SK Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$73
LoL: SK Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+196.9%+$126
LoL: SK Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winnerbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
LoL: PCIFIC vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - TCL Play-Insbacked Bushido Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.1
LoL: PCIFIC vs Bushido Wildcats - Game 2 Winnerbacked PCIFIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$267Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+29.1%+$77.78
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 16 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+93.5%+$58
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.4
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.8
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+264.8%+$118.07
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.5
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+78%+$52.6
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+338.8%+$58.6
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$25.19
All 12 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Deportivo Alavés vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Will CA Osasuna vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$119
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+146.6%+$107
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+49.3%+$33
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$60.94
Will Girona FC vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$23.18
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$13.21
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+56.3%+$18
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+170.3%+$18.9
All 9 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-58.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+83.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$53
Wimbledon ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$52.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 13, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+78.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$52.84
Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+257.1%+$50.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-33.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.3
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$384Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$124.97
All 2 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+109.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+109.2%+$256.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panathinaikos vs. Hapoel Tel Avivbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$42.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Zelenskyy meets with Netanyahu by Thursday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.59
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.