Champions League · resolved market
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x24ec942a07b3f6c8c471a4065e5336e9966ec2708e8b7750b828b5b7e6356394
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $557,502
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $557,502 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 381 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes | 27c | 90,090$24,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,000 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 79c | 59,322$46,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,337.1 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed No | 74c | 38,000$28,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,880.24 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 74c | 36,565$26,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,661.75 | 600 | 41.8%251 W · 349 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 1c | 32,453$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.5 | 2,025 | 43.7%884 W · 1,141 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb75…aaf9backed Yes | 6c | 30,100$1,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,806 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 0c | 28,000$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 62 | 21%13 W · 49 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked No | 75c | 19,106$14,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,856.08 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 26c | 11,414$3,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,002.33 | 343 | 42.3%145 W · 198 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 73c | 10,232$7,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,746.55 | 664 | 46.2%307 W · 357 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Yes | 25c | 10,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked No | 74c | 10,000$7,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,599.88 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4219…7855backed Yes | 26c | 9,769$2,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,540 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1980…e6c4backed Yes | 8c | 9,507$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed Yes | 27c | 9,158$2,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,472.65 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x702b…dedebacked Yes | 25c | 9,096$2,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,274 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 25c | 9,000$2,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,265 | 219 | 38.4%84 W · 135 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…db0abacked Yes | 26c | 8,646$2,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,248 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe49…9c28backed No | 75c | 7,122$5,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,780.62 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 70cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a6…bca4backed Yes | 26c | 5,830$1,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,515.5 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc4…803dbacked Yes | 26c | 5,770$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 22cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed No | 74c | 4,778$3,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,242.31 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 74c | 4,329$3,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.84 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc9…18c4backed Yes | 26c | 3,930$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.8 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b71…4e79backed Yes | 26c | 3,830$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.82 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfe…294cbacked Yes | 14c | 3,700$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Yes | 26c | 3,500$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 10c | 3,439$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.32 | 401 | 43.4%174 W · 227 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…90eabacked Yes | 26c | 3,405$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41da…0b58backed Yes | 4c | 3,392$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 73c | 3,000$2,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe427…c02bbacked Yes | 26c | 2,998$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 23cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 6c | 2,859$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.27 | 1,071 | 34.8%373 W · 698 L | -15.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc19d…7204backed Yes | 20c | 2,757$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc1b…62c9backed Yes | 26c | 2,692$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0a…b9ccbacked Yes | 25c | 2,668$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.72 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4594…b1acbacked No | 75c | 2,667$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.18 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1402…4853backed Yes | 26c | 2,511$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 49 | 18.4%9 W · 40 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Yes | 18c | 2,263$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.14 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ce…ab45backed Yes | 16c | 2,199$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8df9…468cbacked Yes | 5c | 2,170$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd16…649cbacked Yes | 26c | 2,091$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.57 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 44cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed No | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.48 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | -11.9wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0338…04b7backed Yes | 26c | 2,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc12…8093backed Yes | 27c | 1,872$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked Yes | 24c | 1,752$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.43 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e4c…7e4cbacked Yes | 26c | 1,731$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8a…f0b8backed Yes | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…9caebacked Yes | 15c | 1,646$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 17cpaid | +79.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Yes | 3c | 1,600$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.29 | 87 | 20.7%18 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed Yes | 25c | 1,600$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f90…2381backed Yes | 26c | 1,577$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dca…87d0backed Yes | 26c | 1,500$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 6c | 1,496$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.79 | 206 | 39.3%81 W · 125 L | +25.6wins | +0.12per pick | 27cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x25ad…6b75backed No | 75c | 1,334$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Yes | 25c | 1,284$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf95a…d895backed Yes | 6c | 1,282$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.92 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28c1…5236backed Yes | 6c | 1,250$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb50f…eff0backed Yes | 16c | 1,250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa645…0be6backed Yes | 6c | 1,217$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 16c | 1,213$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 97 | 28.9%28 W · 69 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…b6a5backed Yes | 26c | 1,200$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b6…af36backed Yes | 26c | 1,154$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes | 15c | 1,022$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.31 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7802…fa6bbacked No | 76c | 1,005$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.26 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 79cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa976…5c43backed Yes | 20c | 1,002$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…5946backed Yes | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24a5…b3bbbacked Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe3…4766backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe316…c49fbacked Yes | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fd…ee8abacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -50%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed No | 75c | 991.94$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.21 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3520…1fa0backed Yes | 26c | 900$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd73a…054abacked Yes | 15c | 866.07$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.91 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 45cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a77…2afcbacked Yes | 26c | 846.15$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…e0eebacked Yes | 23c | 836$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.76 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…610cbacked Yes | 6c | 833.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac9…92d3backed Yes | 6c | 833.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 24cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe831…a42abacked Yes | 26c | 820$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.2 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1af…701ebacked Yes | 14c | 800$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3e…176dbacked Yes | 26c | 800$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed Yes | 26c | 769.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e3…47acbacked Yes | 26c | 746.16$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ba…9625backed Yes | 26c | 723.08$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc70d…a6f9backed Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ae…b4b9backed Yes | 27c | 703.38$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8188…0667backed Yes | 17c | 700$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e55…ff92backed Yes | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8de…ed08backed Yes | 5c | 647.6$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.38 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe55a…da97backed Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9726…349fbacked Yes | 18c | 624.3$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.23 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53e3…cffabacked Yes | 4c | 622.73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 73c | 579.87$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.56 | 272 | 36.4%99 W · 173 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 7c | 571.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 100 | 25%25 W · 75 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9603…bbd9backed Yes | 3c | 545.45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2682…582abacked No | 73c | 544.31$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.96 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.9wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed No | 73c | 536.42$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2f…c5d0backed No | 75c | 533.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 70cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae9d…d417backed Yes | 26c | 519.23$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-11?No won
- Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.