TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x24a5…b3bb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
547
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Music, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Music at 56 out of 100; worst La Liga at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT29127.5%80 W · 211 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 291 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will MOUZ Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,224Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,223.57
Will Spirit Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$5,558Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+193.4%+$10,748.73
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$810
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,536Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,536.27
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,576Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,576.35
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,427Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+86.8%+$1,237.89
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$1,372Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,371.84
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$330
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs NEW VISION (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Group Stagebacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$553Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$552.89
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$1,869Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,869.35
Counter-Strike: magic vs 3DMAX (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$1,326Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+518.4%+$6,874.24
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Sinners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,935Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,934.52
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FOKUS (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$322.75
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$760Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$759.96
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$5,775Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,774.73
Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$7,340Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+99.7%+$7,320.6
Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$6,656Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,655.52
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$960Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$959.99
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$938Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$938.28
Will Spirit reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$2,786Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,785.66
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$6,293Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+137.8%+$8,668.89
Will Aurora win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$999Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$999.2
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.33
Will FURIA reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$617Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$616.95
Showing 25 of 291 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST8616.3%14 W · 72 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-35.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 86 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$39.6
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$690Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+44.9%+$310
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$67.74
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$1,023Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$1,023.4
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 26 to January 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$253Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$252.92
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$104.17
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 24 to January 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$52.02
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$360
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+78.6%+$56.65
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 17 to January 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$223.62
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 17 to January 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$560Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$560
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 17 to January 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$552Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+156.9%+$866.57
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,089Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$1,088.71
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$167.82
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,406Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+118.2%+$1,661.12
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$748Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$748.02
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,344Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+32.1%+$431.38
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$261Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$260.97
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$1,300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+530.8%+$6,897.96
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$718Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$718.14
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$789Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$788.58
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$411Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$411.18
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$219.64
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$860Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$859.5
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$2,297Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+191.3%+$4,394.08
Showing 25 of 86 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT7034.3%24 W · 46 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 70 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$16,598Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+44.7%+$7,418.42
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$8,140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,140
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.05
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$5,141Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,140.71
Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$449.99
Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$990Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$990
Mohamed Salah: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.08
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,340Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,339.99
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$6,580Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+82.4%+$5,419.98
Spain vs. Austria: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$4,620Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+73.2%+$3,380
Spain vs. Austria: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,349.99
Spain vs. Austria: Austria O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.07
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advancebacked Senegal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,740Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,739.97
Belgium vs. Senegal: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+115.3%+$118
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,080Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$1,919.99
Belgium vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,290Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$1,710
Harry Kane: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$3,924Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+85.8%+$3,364.87
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$5,605Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,604.68
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$1,026Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,026.39
Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.63
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,708Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+74.3%+$2,012.84
Alexander Isak: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$340
Viktor Gyökeres: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$156.8
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Côte d'Ivoire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$660Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$660
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,480Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,479.94
Showing 25 of 70 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT3040%12 W · 18 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+110.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Music — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.22
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,963Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+101.6%+$1,994.89
Will the Eurovision 2026 margin of victory be between 100 and 124 points?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$340.22
Will Greece win the televote for Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.28
Will Denmark be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$253Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+65.8%+$166.28
Will Serbia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$1,335Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,335.15
Will Australia be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+261.6%+$527.95
Will France be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$290
Will Finland be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.88
Will Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$409Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+149.4%+$611
Will "Babydoll - Dominic Fike" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will "SWIM - BTS" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.38
Will "Stateside + Zara Larsson - PinkPantheress, Zara Larsson" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$212.94
Will "American Girls - Harry Styles" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.45
Will "American Girls - Harry Styles" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+67%+$42.49
Will "Stateside + Zara Larsson - PinkPantheress, Zara Larsson" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will "DtMF - Bad Bunny" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$344Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$344.28
Will "End of Beginning - Djo" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$748Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+73.5%+$549.34
Will "End of Beginning - Djo" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$743Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+47.1%+$349.43
Will "End of Beginning - Djo" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+35.1%+$130
Will Man I Need - Olivia Dean be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$12.47
Will Last Christmas - Wham! be the #1 song on Spotify this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$4,702Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+66%+$3,102.28
Will All I Want For Christmas Is You - Mariah Carey be the #1 song on Spotify this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,063Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$1,062.99
Will Spotify's top song on Christmas be 'All I Want For Christmas Is You'?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$2,414Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$2,414.01
Will The Fate of Ophelia - Taylor Swift be the #1 song on Spotify this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,263Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+42.1%+$531.48
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT2128.6%6 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid-40.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Magic vs. Hornetsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Clippers vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$285
Trail Blazers vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.73
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.86
Spread: Bulls (-7.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$495Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$494.75
Celtics vs. Spursbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Wizards vs. Heatbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Grizzlies vs. Netsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$145
76ers vs. Cavaliersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Mavericks vs. Celticsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$25.82
Warriors vs. Rocketsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$630Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+217.5%+$1,370
Grizzlies vs. Timberwolvesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$490
Nets vs. Heatbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Knicks vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$138.63
Rockets vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$269.99
Grizzlies vs. Pacersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,220Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+55.7%+$679.99
Cavaliers vs. Netsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+56.2%+$180
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+61.3%+$38
Will the World team win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$23.12
Will the USA Stars team win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$761Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+131.7%+$1,002.83
All 21 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST911.1%1 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick9cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alireza Firouzja win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$852Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$852.44
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$52.39
Will Denis Lazavik win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$40.26
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+733.3%+$92.21
Will Arjun Erigaisi win the 2025 FIDE World Rapid Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 FIDE World Rapid Open Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$265.07
Will Vladislav Artemiev win the 2025 FIDE World Rapid Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$35.89
Will Vincent Keymer win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam South Africa?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Speed Chess QF: Lazavik vs Niemannbacked Niemann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$85.27
All 9 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-20.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid-15.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-21.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick27cpaid-49%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-52.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei seen in public by March 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$47.44
Khamenei seen in public by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$41.83
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+143.9%+$295
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Howard Bison vs. UMBC Retrieversbacked Howard Bison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,493Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+100.9%+$1,506.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Dec 16, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "Mexico" or "Mexican" 5+ times during the medal presentation on December 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+25%+$5.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 15, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ATP World Tour Finals, Final Stage: Jannik Sinner vs Alex de Minaurbacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$31.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump praise Zohran Mamdani on Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$104
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-03-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$274.98
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.