Music · resolved market
Will France be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf9bb424df116aa45f95ac5df4a714ff59bba098ebdd457e3ffdf7fbcf075e31
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $153,983
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $150,142
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $153,983 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 260 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 1c | 22,598$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.79 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 1cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked No | 6c | 10,429$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,803.12 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4496…97c0backed No | 29c | 6,996$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,995.54 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +3.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…9c3cbacked Yes | 65c | 6,137$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 33cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed No | 24c | 5,149$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,899.13 | 74 | 25.7%19 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed No | 35c | 4,972$1,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,214.58 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 29cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb886…81b3backed Yes | 78c | 4,198$3,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,262.57 | 143 | 15.4%22 W · 121 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +353%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x482d…ba5ebacked Yes | 60c | 4,155$2,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,493.2 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked No | 21c | 3,711$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,950.09 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked No | 80c | 3,252$2,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.8 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629b…995abacked No | 43c | 2,737$1,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,573.19 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked No | 37c | 2,661$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,670.4 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94c4…43cabacked No | 22c | 2,506$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,947.38 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 32c | 2,408$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,631.66 | 71 | 21.1%15 W · 56 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed No | 22c | 2,222$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,733.14 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf767…61dfbacked Yes | 69c | 2,159$1,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,489.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f6…dd1bbacked Yes | 66c | 2,129$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b17…51b1backed No | 26c | 2,109$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,563.19 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +231.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 32c | 2,094$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.73 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…678ebacked Yes | 70c | 2,079$1,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,455.18 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +1,797.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed Yes | 30c | 1,992$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4c…dbd5backed No | 24c | 1,985$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,508.59 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 32cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 39c | 1,978$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,210.06 | 105 | 29.5%31 W · 74 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7131…b3a6backed Yes | 78c | 1,963$1,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,534.04 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -4.6wins | -0.27per pick | 68cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f2…e1c1backed No | 21c | 1,963$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550.77 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.22per pick | 32cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed No | 31c | 1,941$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,338.18 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | +187.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda33…3fe8backed Yes | 74c | 1,936$1,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,426.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ae…bb88backed Yes | 75c | 1,652$1,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,239 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48d2…7961backed Yes | 71c | 1,646$1,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,167.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d23…aa07backed No | 25c | 1,630$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfe…c44dbacked No | 35c | 1,562$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.66 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5006…b409backed Yes | 59c | 1,528$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.16per pick | 23cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6a…fdc0backed Yes | 76c | 1,500$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ad…4953backed No | 28c | 1,408$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.95 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe807…4d35backed Yes | 73c | 1,329$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.91 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -4.0wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed No | 37c | 1,311$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.41 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf294…7967backed Yes | 77c | 1,200$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x939a…5e57backed Yes | 67c | 1,197$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02f7…395ebacked Yes | 75c | 1,162$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…1766backed Yes | 61c | 1,111$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.7 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 35c | 1,103$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.93 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29d3…b2edbacked Yes | 76c | 1,015$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.41 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 70 | 27.1%19 W · 51 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20f7…5527backed No | 21c | 999.99$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.99 | 58 | 19%11 W · 47 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0336…4bb0backed No | 32c | 914.09$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.09 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x246a…19b8backed Yes | 78c | 905.15$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…d77dbacked No | 24c | 899$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.24 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 30c | 857.64$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.26 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…17b4backed No | 23c | 847.84$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.87 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0caa…fb12backed No | 25c | 816$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +100%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e40…c827backed Yes | 65c | 800$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.41 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab38…77febacked No | 25c | 790$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.5 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x168a…da29backed No | 22c | 778$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.94 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7845…417bbacked Yes | 77c | 770.26$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.29 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.26per pick | 53cpaid | -58%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4744…e229backed Yes | 75c | 712$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66a5…56cbbacked Yes | 67c | 700$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed No | 29c | 687$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.67 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x611f…1f84backed Yes | 75c | 638$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22d3…5e3abacked No | 28c | 614.35$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.25 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc336…9f48backed Yes | 76c | 601$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.76 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 38c | 599.98$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.99 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cb…933ebacked Yes | 75c | 598$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.5 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +100%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b9…d0c7backed Yes | 75c | 586$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…cd55backed Yes | 76c | 577$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.52 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7233…f0eabacked No | 19c | 545$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +124.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed No | 36c | 536.02$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.51 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d72…b643backed Yes | 66c | 531.29$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.34 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfe…e4debacked No | 29c | 529$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.05 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +290.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb00b…fbcabacked No | 19c | 518$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +81.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf8…0657backed No | 24c | 505$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56e3…81ccbacked Yes | 63c | 500.75$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.47 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 68cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24a5…b3bbbacked Yes | 58c | 500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +110.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04bf…7cafbacked Yes | 74c | 500$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 22c | 499.98$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.98 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 33c | 499.96$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.97 | 229 | 27.9%64 W · 165 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7407…19bebacked No | 19c | 495$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.95 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…742dbacked Yes | 58c | 486.02$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.89 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa181…ece8backed No | 41c | 484.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.67 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +97.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e11…510bbacked Yes | 77c | 465.82$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff4b…d019backed No | 23c | 435.07$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.35 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07b9…0fbbbacked Yes | 72c | 400.17$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.2 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked No | 31c | 400$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.51 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d38…e898backed No | 25c | 393$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6546…c454backed No | 25c | 393$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc04c…44ffbacked No | 25c | 376$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +81%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f6…a293backed Yes | 61c | 374.1$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0478…3faabacked Yes | 63c | 369.58$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.89 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 27cpaid | -77.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70ad…f1dfbacked Yes | 78c | 343.99$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.69 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -5.0wins | -0.18per pick | 44cpaid | -50%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x28bb…58adbacked Yes | 66c | 331.14$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41f0…3eebbacked No | 23c | 327.42$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.64 | 106 | 30.2%32 W · 74 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe66e…946bbacked Yes | 62c | 323.02$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11b2…9bafbacked Yes | 79c | 310$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.9 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 44cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed No | 19c | 309.81$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.62 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Yes | 74c | 300$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 65c | 300$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed No | 26c | 300$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa579…aad0backed Yes | 76c | 300$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -86.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…9e14backed Yes | 73c | 299.98$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.98 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 26c | 298.02$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.61 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7828…406abacked Yes | 68c | 296.49$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will France be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?this page
- Will Albania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Armenia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Australia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Austria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Azerbaijan be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Belgium be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Bulgaria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Croatia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Cyprus be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Czechia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Denmark be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Estonia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Germany be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Italy be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Latvia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Lithuania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Luxembourg be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Malta be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Moldova be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Montenegro be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Norway be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Poland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Portugal be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will San Marino be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Serbia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Sweden be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Switzerland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will United Kingdom be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.