TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x090a…cd55

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
130
Categories scored
24
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: Movies, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Movies at 58 out of 100; worst Weather at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT3056.7%17 W · 13 L+4.1wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+21%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Movies — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.04
No one announced as next James Bond?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+146.4%+$147.36
Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+92.6%+$96.18
Will Sinners win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$166.05
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.4
Will Frankenstein win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$388Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$258.4
Will "The Addams Family" be the top global Netflix movie this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+257.1%+$429.84
Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+81.8%+$85.5
Will Robin D. Cook (Frankenstein) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$436Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+92.3%+$402.24
Will Lee Byung-hun be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$52.69
Will Jennifer Lawrence be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$42.57
Will Jacob Elordi be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$190.06
Will Michael B. Jordan be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$56.97
Will 2000 Meters to Andriivka be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+147.8%+$202.8
Will The Perfect Neighbor be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+28.2%+$20.68
Will Come See Me in the Good Light be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$211.2
Will Wunmi Mosaku be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$142.8
Will Ariana Grande be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+108.3%+$324.48
Will Nina Gold (Hamnet) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$72.82
Will Jennifer Venditti (Marty Supreme) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+51.5%+$44.91
Will Joachim Trier be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+40.8%+$102.95
Will Train Dreams be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+33.3%+$25.25
Will Paul Mescal be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+354.5%+$145.86
Will "Sentimental Value" win Best Motion Picture - Non-English Language at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$173
Will Hamnet win Best Motion Picture – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+212.5%+$363.12
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT2339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Deni Avdija win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.57
Will Chet Holmgren win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.48
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.76
Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.66
Will the Orlando Magic make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.28
Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in blocks during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$4.8
Will Dyson Daniels lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$478Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+47.3%+$226.12
Will the New York Knicks win more than 53.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+170.7%+$208.72
Will the New York Knicks win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$459Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$458.69
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.14
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win more than 43.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+176.2%+$63.16
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder finish with the best record in the NBA?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+127.5%+$171.77
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win more than 49.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+113.7%+$235.68
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win more than 62.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.88
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025–2026 NBA Central Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.37
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+25.5%+$53.84
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win more than 35.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+183.9%+$141.2
Will the Dallas Mavericks make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.49
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2025–2026 NBA Southwest Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.83
Will Jonathan Kuminga be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+28.2%+$48.18
Will Anthony Davis be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$96.71
Will Keon Ellis be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$10.85
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$46.25
All 23 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.64
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.02
Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.51
1k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in Q1 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.33
Israel military action against Iranian Power Plant by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$21.84
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+354.5%+$210.6
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$33
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$504Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+49.3%+$248.16
Israel strike on Yemen by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+28.2%+$19.58
Will Donald Trump say "F-35" during Israel President events on December 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$34.22
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+75.4%+$50.74
All 11 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Christy Davis be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$410Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$409.75
Will Kenyan McDuffie win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.28
Will both candidates advancing to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary be affiliated with the Democratic Party?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.2
Will Steve Lanier win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+25%+$29.4
Will Ken Paxton come in 2nd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$38.19
Will Fredrick Love win the 2026 Arkansas Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+88.7%+$70.97
U.S. Government Funding Lapse on January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+233.3%+$99.4
All 8 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-68.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
World Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Yoo Jeong-bok win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.32
Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.57
Will CD win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$397Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$105.63
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$10.37
Will PLN win the second most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Will João Cotrim de Figueiredo win between 14% and 16% of votes in the first round?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$452Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+28.2%+$127.6
Will Han Duck Soo be sentenced to 5–10 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$24.77
Will Ciprian Ciucu get between 20% and 25% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$26.46
All 8 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-57.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Weather — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Named storm forms before hurricane season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$531Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+100%+$531
Will January 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$38.74
Will January 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$357Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+40.8%+$145.87
Will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$323Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$323.11
Will fewer than 1550 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$241Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$240.5
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$68.4
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19.68
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$326Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$325.5
All 8 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-26.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.35per pick45cpaid+94.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
AI — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+26.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-65.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+319.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 3DMAX qualify to IEM Cologne Major 2026? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+100.8%+$165.16
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$173.42
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+300%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+300%+$358.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+239%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Milan advance to the round of 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$316Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+239%+$754.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-04-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$275
All 1 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX have exactly 10 launches in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$494Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+31.6%+$156
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the Pacific Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$46.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$134.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$280.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in November 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$14.51
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Oviedo: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$100.19
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.