Movies · resolved market
Will Nina Gold (Hamnet) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8863904b8c4f322839aef5095199f21a9c2efc6ecdee8b2bb5aa8efe241d7fd7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,355
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,787
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,355 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 181 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x04d7…b035backed No | 29c | 1,449$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.81 | 178 | 21.3%38 W · 140 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 68c | 1,034$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.98 | 129 | 23.3%30 W · 99 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed Yes | 73c | 1,011$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.15 | 198 | 36.4%72 W · 126 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed No | 29c | 1,005$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.81 | 194 | 40.2%78 W · 116 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95cc…f215backed Yes | 77c | 718$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.14 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…691fbacked No | 27c | 681$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.94 | 246 | 34.6%85 W · 161 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 26c | 625.08$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.69 | 299 | 26.4%79 W · 220 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82dd…5514backed No | 23c | 520$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.6 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -42%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 28c | 515.99$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.63 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked No | 24c | 509$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.24 | 266 | 41.7%111 W · 155 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a2…7b65backed Yes | 75c | 500.41$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.78 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b8…84e3backed No | 23c | 471$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.33 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac7…78c7backed Yes | 77c | 471$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +80.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12ef…f5cebacked No | 21c | 452$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.92 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4628…ee62backed Yes | 79c | 452$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.92 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c41…133ebacked No | 30c | 405.71$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.51 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf40b…7181backed Yes | 73c | 383$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.41 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7feb…6bc2backed No | 27c | 383$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.41 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fae…6853backed Yes | 68c | 379$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.28 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e15…7ff5backed Yes | 77c | 357$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.11 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7635…9ae0backed No | 23c | 357$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.11 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…cd55backed No | 22c | 331$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.82 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +4.1wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +21%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1617…ec98backed No | 31c | 271$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.01 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…9c76backed Yes | 53c | 270$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.11 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 23c | 267.91$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.02 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c48…e7c1backed No | 31c | 258$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed Yes | 75c | 255.62$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.01 | 206 | 68.9%142 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7d…d6ebbacked Yes | 80c | 242.18$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.15 | 331 | 23.9%79 W · 252 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b37…def5backed No | 16c | 238$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2f…c453backed Yes | 78c | 223$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.06 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa734…e45fbacked No | 28c | 216$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 285 | 28.8%82 W · 203 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca3…9546backed No | 23c | 198$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.54 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc713…891fbacked Yes | 69c | 194$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.14 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6499…05d2backed No | 47c | 191$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.77 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fff…c142backed No | 31c | 187$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd091…e046backed No | 39c | 168$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.96 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -64%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecc…53a9backed Yes | 72c | 163.54$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 237 | 41.4%98 W · 139 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a10…e442backed Yes | 69c | 161$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.91 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c58…8b31backed No | 31c | 156$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x111f…af00backed Yes | 78c | 151.65$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.65 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfef6…e212backed Yes | 74c | 148.12$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.12 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3359…2273backed No | 31c | 146$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.26 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd40d…b2fabacked Yes | 61c | 143$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.77 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5458…538abacked Yes | 69c | 134$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66a8…fe5cbacked No | 18c | 130$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 72c | 128.95$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.62 | 231 | 30.3%70 W · 161 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 74c | 127.47$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.59 | 1,218 | 17.8%217 W · 1,001 L | -124.0wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…1a3ebacked Yes | 75c | 123.51$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.4 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3556…7326backed No | 30c | 120$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd45…c05ebacked No | 24c | 118.4$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.87 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 16cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa15a…9916backed No | 30c | 118$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab1…ba9dbacked Yes | 69c | 111$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x796a…a22bbacked Yes | 70c | 109$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc1…9eddbacked No | 30c | 109$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa400…ec34backed Yes | 78c | 108$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a7…4d86backed No | 31c | 108$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.48 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f5…a0d9backed No | 31c | 105$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58eb…bc39backed No | 31c | 104$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5232…2d1bbacked No | 30c | 103$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 220 | 30.5%67 W · 153 L | -13.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf9…6244backed Yes | 72c | 98$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a65…100bbacked No | 18c | 97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ee…421bbacked Yes | 71c | 95.02$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.47 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4af4…d522backed No | 30c | 95$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d82…398abacked No | 30c | 92$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf419…65a0backed Yes | 72c | 92$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 66c | 91$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.94 | 870 | 33.3%290 W · 580 L | -77.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf136…6530backed No | 31c | 89$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7205…1be6backed No | 30c | 86$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 20c | 85.03$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.81 | 672 | 32%215 W · 457 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d2b…fd2cbacked Yes | 69c | 85$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.35 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7d…7e38backed Yes | 69c | 81$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c57…c2e0backed No | 46c | 79$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.34 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 23c | 77.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 111 | 29.7%33 W · 78 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9cb…e6b8backed No | 30c | 77$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3c…7b35backed No | 18c | 77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked No | 21c | 75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4705…9ba7backed No | 32c | 74$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x863b…1961backed No | 33c | 73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf40f…7fc6backed Yes | 69c | 72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.32 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f92…4b18backed No | 30c | 70$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4516…ea0ebacked Yes | 69c | 69$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.39 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5518…1211backed No | 31c | 69$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.39 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54ff…7792backed No | 30c | 68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73ce…0b1fbacked Yes | 69c | 67$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 25c | 66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 346 | 51.2%177 W · 169 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc677…677abacked No | 21c | 65.81$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -77%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked Yes | 72c | 61.82$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.41 | 131 | 30.5%40 W · 91 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47ff…ee01backed Yes | 69c | 59$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 22c | 59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 237 | 51.9%123 W · 114 L | +16.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x849a…eedbbacked No | 34c | 57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb4f…7b30backed No | 31c | 54$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87fb…bcdfbacked No | 30c | 53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x460d…6232backed Yes | 69c | 52$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde23…62e9backed No | 31c | 52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…c8d4backed Yes | 69c | 52$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab6f…6316backed No | 28c | 51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…2c56backed No | 31c | 51$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 65c | 50.1$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.53 | 142 | 12%17 W · 125 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Nina Gold (Hamnet) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?this page
- Will Bret Howe & Mary Vernieu (Wake Up Dead Man) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Cassandra Kulukundis (One Battle After Another) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes won
- Will Douglas Aibel & Nina Gold (Jay Kelly) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Francine Maisler (Sinners) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes won
- Will Jennifer Venditti (Marty Supreme) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes won
- Will Kei Kawamura & Yumi Takada (Rental Family) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Lucy Bevan & Emily Brockmann (F1) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Margery Simkin (Avatar: Fire and Ash) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Robin D. Cook (Frankenstein) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Tiffany Little Canfield & Bernard Telsey (Wicked: For Good) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Yngvill Kolset Haga & Avy Kaufman (Sentimental Value) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.